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14:30 Salisbury

Michael Brunton Memorial British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £5,940 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated
Flick Of An Eye · No. 4 · best 7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK

Highest AI score (28.5) in the field, 1.3 clear of the next best. Best price is currently 4% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Each-way28.5/100 rating
Flick Of An Eye
4.50SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Flick Of An Eye

David Probert · Simon & Ed Crisford · 2yo

28.5/100
+1.3 vs next best (27.2)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    68strong
    Simon & Ed Crisford: 6/22 winners last 14d (27%)
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 4.50 (SmarketsSBK) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Salisbury 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.14).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.97
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.88
High (8–10)
IV 1.14

Today: Hackpen Hill (draw 8) and Goodwood Meteor (draw 10) get the bias; Flick Of An Eye (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 93 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
4
2yo · C · b
28.57/2·4.673.5·4.50
SmarketsSBK · -4% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 8 · combo 19/117 (16%)
2yo · C · bhFT H
84
27.220/1·20.0120/1·21.00
Bet365 · +5% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Rob Hornby · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 10 · combo 2/10 (20%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
96
26.133/1·34.6928/1·29.00
Bet365 · -16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Robbie Downey · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 9
2yo · C · bOnly ride
73
24.014/1·14.6816·17.00
SmarketsSBK · +16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 4 · combo 17/87 (20%)
2yo · F · b
22.011/2·6.675.6·5.60
Betfair Exchange · -16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 3 · combo 5/46 (11%)
2yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
86
20.333/1·34.6928/1·29.00
Bet365 · -16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 2 · combo 13/81 (16%)
2yo · C · ch
20.09/2·5.344.7·4.70
Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
2yo · C · bClass dropOnly pairing
77
18.033/1·34.6928/1·29.00
Midnite · -16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Joe Leavy · T: Clive Cox · draw 7
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
86
17.322/1·22.6820·21.00
SmarketsSBK · -7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Callum Shepherd · T: Michael Bell · draw 1
2yo · C · chClass dropOnly runner
30
15.04/1·5.003/1·4.00
Midnite · -20% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 33% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Michael Brunton Memorial British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?

The Michael Brunton Memorial British EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 14:30 on 12 August 2026 at Salisbury (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:30 Salisbury?

6f, Class 4, Flat, 10 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:30 Salisbury?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:30 Salisbury?

The AI top-rated runner is Flick Of An Eye (score 28.5, best price 4.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:30 Salisbury?

The market favourite is Easy Answer at a best price of 4.00. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Flick Of An Eye.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org