17:00 Salisbury

Champagne Joseph Perrier Handicap Stakes

1m2f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £5,888 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 7-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated

Londoner · No. 1 · best 4/1·5.00 Bet365

Highest AI score (65.1) in the field, 8.2 clear of the next best. Drawn 6, inside the favoured high third at this course and trip. Best price is currently 9% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way65.1/100 rating

Londoner

5.00Bet365

Place portion settles at 1.80 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Londoner

Tom Marquand · Daniel & Claire Kubler · 6yo

65.1/100

+8.2 vs next best (56.9)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
Daniel & Claire Kubler: 7/16 winners last 14d (44%)
Freshness10% weight
70strong
11d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
57average
OR 86 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
47below average
Last 6: 1-5-9-5-4-2

MarketBest price 5.00 (Bet365) — 2nd favourite. AI sees slight value vs consensus.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(4)
1Londoner 2Fox Avatar 5Eupator 7Mythical Bird
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
3Miss Tonnerre
Unknown(2)
4Almekarem 6Carnival Day

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Salisbury 1m2f

full course data →

Strong: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.39).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.74

Mid (4–5)

IV 0.87

High (6–7)

IV 1.39

Today: Londoner (draw 6) and Eupator (draw 7) get the bias; Almekarem (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 62 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	LondonerPick J: Tom Marquand · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 6 · combo 0/6 (0%) 6yo · G · chpOnly runner	159542	9-10	86	—	—	65.1	9/2·5.52	4/1·5.00 Bet365 · -9% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet3654/1·5.00 William Hill7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50BestOdds7/2·4.50talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 CopyBet7/2·4.50 BetAhoy7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Octobet7/2·4.50BresBet7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK3.5·4.50 PricedUp Bet10/3·4.33 Betfair Exchange3.75·3.75
2	Fox Avatar J: Oisin Murphy · T: Roger Varian · draw 5 5yo · G · bOnly runner	15167	9-07	83	—	—	56.9	3/1·3.99	3.65·3.65 Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.65·3.65 SmarketsSBK2.6·3.60 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 talkSPORT BET5/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 BetWright12/5·3.40 Dragon Bet12/5·3.40 BresBet12/5·3.40BestOdds12/5·3.40William Hill9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 Betfred9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25 BetTom9/4·3.25Virgin Bet9/4·3.25LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 CopyBet9/4·3.25 BetAhoy9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25Octobet9/4·3.257Bet9/4·3.25 Star Sports9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25 PricedUp Bet2/1·3.00
4	Almekarem J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 1 · combo 11/61 (18%) 4yo · G · bClass dropDGoing 1/2	36417	9-02	78	—	—	51.0	15/2·8.59	7.5·8.50 SmarketsSBK All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK7.5·8.50 Betfair Exchange8.2·8.20 Midnite13/2·7.50 William Hill6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 CopyBet6/1·7.00 BetAhoy6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00Octobet6/1·7.00BresBet6/1·7.00BestOdds6/1·7.007Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet11/2·6.50LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 PricedUp Bet11/2·6.50
5	Eupator J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 7 · combo 14/96 (15%) 4yo · G · chpFT P	942563	9-01	77	—	—	49.8	7/1·7.98	6.5·7.50 SmarketsSBK · -6% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK6.5·7.50 Bet3656/1·7.00 William Hill11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50BestOdds11/2·6.507Bet11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 CopyBet5/1·6.00 PricedUp Bet5/1·6.00 BetAhoy5/1·6.00Octobet5/1·6.00Star Sports5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00
3	Miss Tonnerre J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 3 · combo 19/117 (16%) 4yo · F · bhClass drop	77040	9-07	83	—	—	47.7	22/1·23.33	20/1·21.00 Betfred · -10% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfred20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 talkSPORT BET20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 BresBet20/1·21.00BestOdds20/1·21.007Bet20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 CopyBet18/1·19.00 PricedUp Bet18/1·19.00 BetAhoy18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00Octobet18/1·19.00SmarketsSBK18·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange11·11.00
6	Carnival Day J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Jim Boyle · draw 4 · combo 1/21 (5%) 5yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	24374	9-01	77	—	—	47.6	13/2·7.37	5/1·6.00 talkSPORT BET · -18% vs fair All 29 books ▾ talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 CopyBet5/1·6.00 BetAhoy5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00Octobet5/1·6.007Bet5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5·6.00BestOdds5/1·6.00Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70 Bet3659/2·5.50 PricedUp Bet9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50
7	Mythical Bird J: Rob Hornby · T: Hughie Morrison · draw 2 · combo 1/14 (7%) 4yo · F · grOnly runner	13003	8-12	74	—	—	41.6	11/2·6.75	6·7.00 SmarketsSBK · +4% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK6·7.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 William Hill9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 talkSPORT BET9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 CopyBet9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 BresBet9/2·5.50BestOdds9/2·5.507Bet9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 Unibet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 PricedUp Bet4/1·5.00 BetAhoy4/1·5.00Octobet4/1·5.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 23% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Champagne Joseph Perrier Handicap Stakes?

The Champagne Joseph Perrier Handicap Stakes is off at 17:00 on 12 August 2026 at Salisbury (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:00 Salisbury?

1m2f, Class 4, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:00 Salisbury?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:00 Salisbury?

The AI top-rated runner is Londoner (score 65.1, best price 5.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:00 Salisbury?

The market favourite is Fox Avatar at a best price of 3.65. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Londoner.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Miss Tonnerre heads this Salisbury mile-and-a-quarter heat on a rating clearly ahead of Londoner, and she has run over this trip on good-to-firm ground before. Londoner, Eupator and Carnival Day represent the chief dangers, though none of the trio can match her on these figures. Miss Tonnerre is the selection.

Racing Post pick: Miss Tonnerre

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org