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16:07 Ffos Las

Birthday Boy Leighton Happy 80th Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 9 runners · £3,454 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated
Miracleoftheandes · No. 2 · best 17/2·9.60 Betfair Exchange

Highest AI score (56.6) in the field, 0.8 clear of the next best. Best price is currently 6% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Each-way56.6/100 rating
Miracleoftheandes
9.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Miracleoftheandes

Jack Callan · Warren Greatrex · 3yo

56.6/100
+0.8 vs next best (55.8)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    Warren Greatrex: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Form20% weight
    45below average
    Last 6: 8-4-2-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    42below average
    OR 63 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 9.60 (Betfair Exchange) — 5th pick of 9 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 5f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.27).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.81
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.27
High (7–9)
IV 0.97

Today: Happier (draw 5) and Little Jaybee (draw 4) get the bias; Miracleoftheandes (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 40 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
J: Jack Callan · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 3
3yo · F · bClass dropOnly pairing
8425
6356.69/1·10.279.6·9.60
Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
3yo · F · btFT TOnly runner
10865
6355.810/1·10.919·10.00
SmarketsSBK · -8% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
J: Jack Doughty · T: Martin Keighley · draw 5
6yo · M · bDOnly runner
04961
5554.513/2·7.7013/2·7.50
Bet365 · -3% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Laura Coughlan(3) · T: James Bennett · draw 9
5yo · M · bpClass dropDOnly rideOnly runner
744143
5951.317/2·9.639·10.00
SmarketsSBK · +4% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Gina Mangan · T: Christopher Mason · draw 7 · combo 9/31 (29%)
5yo · G · grpFT P
52344
4545.315/2·8.3411/2·6.50
Ladbrokes · -22% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Ryan Kavanagh(3) · T: William Muir & Chris Grassick · draw 8 · combo 1/8 (13%)
5yo · G · bhClass dropOnly pairing
88753
6240.85/2·3.382.76·2.76
Betfair Exchange · -18% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: J F Egan · T: David Evans · draw 4 · combo 1/19 (5%)
3yo · F · b
89693
6035.914/1·15.4012/1·13.00
William Hill · -16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Tyler Heard · T: David Flood · draw 6
3yo · F · btbOnly pairing
8099
4534.5100/1·103.96125/1·126.00
Bet365 · +21% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Grace Harris · draw 1 · combo 3/28 (11%)
5yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner
803
5934.511/1·11.5517/2·9.50
Bet365 · -18% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 28% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Birthday Boy Leighton Happy 80th Handicap Stakes?

The Birthday Boy Leighton Happy 80th Handicap Stakes is off at 16:07 on 12 August 2026 at Ffos Las (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:07 Ffos Las?

5f, Class 6, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:07 Ffos Las?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:07 Ffos Las?

The AI top-rated runner is Miracleoftheandes (score 56.6, best price 9.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:07 Ffos Las?

The market favourite is The Coffee Pod at a best price of 2.76. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Miracleoftheandes.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

The Coffee Pod heads this nine-runner sprint at Ffos Las rated clear of nearest rival Little Jaybee, and his superior profile on good ground over five furlongs makes him a compelling proposition in this class. Little Jaybee and Miracleoftheandes will push him hardest, with Dark Sun also worth keeping onside, but the selection's rating advantage over these rivals looks clear enough to inspire confidence. **The Coffee Pod** is our selection.

Racing Post pick: The Coffee Pod

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org