17:40 Ffos Las

Golwg Gwendraeth "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Not Won A Flat Race In 2026)

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 6 runners · £4,187 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 6-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated

Port Louis · No. 1 · best 12/1·13.00 Virgin Bet

Highest AI score (48.0) in the field, 0.3 clear of the next best. Best price is currently 3% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Racing Alpha pick

Port Louis

Charlie Tucker(7) · Bernard Llewellyn · 5yo

48.0/100

+0.3 vs next best (47.7)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
20d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
63average
Bernard Llewellyn: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%)
Ratings50% weight
42below average
OR 63
Form20% weight
22weak
Last 6: 2-0-8-0-3-8

MarketBest price 13.00 (Virgin Bet) — 6th pick of 6 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(2)
2Next Guilian 4Royal Bodyguard
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(2)
5John Harrison 6Brave New World
Unknown(2)
1Port Louis 3The Stone Power

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)

IV 0.91

Mid (3–4)

IV 1.08

High (5–6)

IV 1.03

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 56 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Port LouisPick J: Charlie Tucker(7) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 1 · combo 0/6 (0%) 5yo · G · bpOnly ride	208038	9-09	63	—	—	48.0	12/1·13.41	12/1·13.00 Virgin Bet · -3% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Virgin Bet12/1·13.00LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00BestOdds10/1·11.007Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 CopyBet10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 talkSPORT BET9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00Octobet9/1·10.00Midnite9/1·10.00 PricedUp Bet9/1·10.00 BetAhoy9/1·10.00 Unibet17/2·9.50 Betfair Exchange9·9.00 SmarketsSBK8·9.00
5	John Harrison J: Luke Catton(3) · T: Alan King · draw 3 · combo 0/7 (0%) 3yo · G · b	82433	9-02	63	—	—	47.7	10/3·4.27	5/2·3.50 Bet365 · -18% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet3655/2·3.50 William Hill5/2·3.50 Coral5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50 Boyle Sports5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 BetTom5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 talkSPORT BET5/2·3.50 BetWright5/2·3.50 Dragon Bet5/2·3.50 CopyBet5/2·3.50 BetAhoy5/2·3.50 Spreadex5/2·3.50Octobet5/2·3.50BestOdds5/2·3.507Bet5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 SmarketsSBK2.5·3.50 Betfair Exchange3.5·3.50 BresBet5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50Virgin Bet9/4·3.25LiveScore Bet9/4·3.25 PricedUp Bet9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25
2	Next Guilian J: Darragh Keenan · T: Rod Millman · draw 5 · combo 1/17 (6%) 3yo · G · b	3865	9-09	70	—	—	42.5	11/1·11.58	10·11.00 SmarketsSBK · -5% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK10·11.00 Betfair Exchange11·11.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Bet36517/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50BetWright17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 CopyBet17/2·9.50 BetAhoy17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50Octobet17/2·9.50BresBet17/2·9.50BestOdds17/2·9.507Bet17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 Bet Victor8/1·9.00 talkSPORT BET8/1·9.00 Betano8/1·9.00 PricedUp Bet8/1·9.00
6	Brave New World J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Ed Walker · draw 6 · combo 12/38 (32%) 3yo · G · chClass drop	077	8-12	59	—	—	41.2	11/2·6.71	5.7·5.70 Betfair Exchange · -15% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.7·5.70 Bet3659/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Unibet9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 BetAhoy9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50Octobet9/2·5.50BresBet9/2·5.50BestOdds9/2·5.50Star Sports9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50 SmarketsSBK4.5·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50talkSPORT BET9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 CopyBet9/2·5.50 7Bet9/2·5.50 BetTom9/2·5.50 Betfred4/1·5.00 PricedUp Bet4/1·5.00
4	Royal Bodyguard J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Michael Bell · draw 2 3yo · G · bOnly runner	28364	9-06	67	—	—	41.1	9/2·5.49	4/1·5.00 Bet365 · -9% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet3654/1·5.00 Betfair Exchange4.8·4.80 William Hill7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50BetWright7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 CopyBet7/2·4.50 BetAhoy7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50Octobet7/2·4.50BresBet7/2·4.50BestOdds7/2·4.507Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK3.5·4.50 Bet Victor10/3·4.33 talkSPORT BET10/3·4.33 Betano10/3·4.33 PricedUp Bet10/3·4.33
3	The Stone Power J: Rhys Clutterbuck · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 4 · combo 5/20 (25%) 3yo · G · b	3374P	9-08	69	—	—	40.4	11/4·3.66	3.33·4.33 SmarketsSBK · +18% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK3.33·4.33 Betfair Exchange3.95·3.95 Bet3655/2·3.50 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 Bet Victor85/40·3.13 talkSPORT BET85/40·3.13 Betano85/40·3.13 CopyBet85/40·3.13 Betfred2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00BetWright2/1·3.00 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00 BetAhoy2/1·3.00 Spreadex2/1·3.00Octobet2/1·3.00BresBet2/1·3.00BestOdds2/1·3.007Bet2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00 SportingIndex2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 William Hill2/1·3.00 Unibet2/1·3.00 BetTom2/1·3.00 PricedUp Bet15/8·2.88

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 22% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Golwg Gwendraeth "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Not Won A Flat Race In 2026)?

The Golwg Gwendraeth "Confined" Handicap Stakes (For Horses Which Have Not Won A Flat Race In 2026) is off at 17:40 on 12 August 2026 at Ffos Las (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:40 Ffos Las?

1m, Class 5, Flat, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:40 Ffos Las?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:40 Ffos Las?

The AI top-rated runner is Port Louis (score 48.0, best price 13.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:40 Ffos Las?

The market favourite is John Harrison at a best price of 3.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Port Louis.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Port Louis arrives at Ffos Las with a progressive profile that makes the narrow rating deficit to Royal Bodyguard less telling than it appears on paper, and a fitness edge over rivals who may not be at their sharpest adds further appeal over this mile trip on good ground. Royal Bodyguard and The Stone Power, rated just a pound clear and level respectively, represent the primary dangers and will need to be seen off, while John Harrison merits respect if running to a better level than his rating suggests. Port Louis is the selection.

Racing Post pick: Port Louis

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org