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18:10 Ffos Las

Dress For The Occasions Handicap Stakes

1m4f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 6 runners · £3,454 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated
Noble Grace · No. 3 · best 13/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK

Highest AI score (58.7) in the field, 9.8 clear of the next best. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Racing Alpha pick

Noble Grace

Ashley Lewis(3) · Warren Greatrex · 5yo

58.7/100
+9.8 vs next best (48.9)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    Warren Greatrex: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Form20% weight
    61average
    Last 6: 4-7-4-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    40below average
    OR 60
MarketBest price 7.50 (SmarketsSBK) — 4th pick of 6 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Ffos Las 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.95
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.01
High (5–6)
IV 1.04

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 43 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 5
5yo · M · bC&DGoing 1/2Only pairing
4741
6058.713/2·7.646.5·7.50
SmarketsSBK · -2% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
6yo · G · btpClass dropOnly pairing
65753
6248.913/2·7.647·8.00
SmarketsSBK · +5% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Darragh Keenan · T: David Flood · draw 2
3yo · F · bOn last winning markC&DGoing 1/3Only pairing
311501
5447.27/4·2.806/4·2.50
Bet365 · -11% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Millie Wonnacott(5) · T: J S Moore · draw 3
5yo · M · chDOnly runner
337311
5445.911/2·6.465/1·6.00
Bet365 · -7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: J F Egan · T: David Evans · draw 6 · combo 1/19 (5%)
5yo · G · b
678732
6241.311/2·6.465/1·6.00
Bet365 · -7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
3yo · G · bClass dropOnly runner
63479
5933.014/1·14.1011/1·12.00
BetTom · -15% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 18% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Dress For The Occasions Handicap Stakes?

The Dress For The Occasions Handicap Stakes is off at 18:10 on 12 August 2026 at Ffos Las (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:10 Ffos Las?

1m4f, Class 6, Flat, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:10 Ffos Las?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:10 Ffos Las?

The AI top-rated runner is Noble Grace (score 58.7, best price 7.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:10 Ffos Las?

The market favourite is A Daughters Love at a best price of 2.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Noble Grace.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Bulldog Spirit holds a clear edge on our figures over this modest Class 6 field at Ffos Las, rated narrowly ahead of Meet Me In Meraki and comfortably clear of the remainder over this twelve-furlong trip on good ground. Meet Me In Meraki is the most obvious threat, with Noble Grace and A Daughters Love also capable of making their presence felt if Bulldog Spirit fails to fire. On balance, the form book points firmly enough in one direction. **Bulldog Spirit** is our selection.

Racing Post pick: Bulldog Spirit

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org