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15:15 Beverley

Hornsea Ladies At The Races Nursery Handicap Stakes

7½f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £4,004 · Thursday, 13 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    State of Gold (IRE)
    William Pyle·Craig Lidster
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Court Legend (GB)
    Billy Garritty·Michael & David Easterby·beaten 2.25 lengths
    8/1·9.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Ariane Sky (IRE)AI top pick · 53.5
    Mason Paetel·James Owen·beaten .5 lengths
    1/1F·2.00
    SP
Race time
1m 33.63s

Race time recorded.

In-running (State of Gold (IRE))

Set the pace from the start - driven on with two furlongs left - powered clear approaching the line to score

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way46.4/100 rating
Sovereign Beach
12.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: State Of Gold

State Of Gold is preferred here on the strength of a progressive profile that the clock has consistently backed up, suggesting the bare form figures may understate the mare's current ability. Ariane Sky holds a six-pound edge on our ratings and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Sovereign Beach and Amantha are capable of making this competitive at this level. Confidence is modest, but the evidence of genuine improvement makes State Of Gold worth siding with.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Ariane Sky

Mason Paetel(5) · James Owen · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 53.5 · +7.1 clear of next best (46.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    63average
    Last 6: 5-5-4-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    50average
    James Owen: 9/45 winners last 14d (20%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    42below average
    OR 63 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 2.38 (Unibet) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Beverley 7½f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.09).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.08
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.80
High (9–11)
IV 1.09

Today: Claret And Blues (draw 11) and Farndale (draw 10) get the bias; Sovereign Beach (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 95 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: William Pyle · T: Craig Lidster · draw 7
2yo · F · ch
8572
6338.0
11/2·6.50
SP
25
2yo · G · b
050
6036.0
8/1·9.00
SP
31
J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: James Owen · draw 4
2yo · F · b
5541
6353.5
1/1F·2.00
SP
46
J: Sam James · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 8
2yo · F · b
5603
5946.4
11/1·12.00
SP
53
J: Ben Robinson · T: Brian Ellison · draw 1
2yo · F · b
661233
6245.9
9/2·5.50
SP
67
J: Faye McManoman · T: Brian Ellison · draw 3
2yo · F · ch
5704
5535.6
28/1·29.00
SP
78
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10
2yo · F · b
6585
5434.6
33/1·34.00
SP
811
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 6
2yo · F · b
708
4532.5
100/1·101.00
SP
910
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Ben Haslam · draw 9
2yo · G · b
570
4831.0
14/1·15.00
SP
109
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 5
2yo · F · ch
059
5231.9
40/1·41.00
SP
2yo · C · ch
53665
6042.9

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:15 Beverley on 13 August 2026?

State of Gold (IRE) won the 15:15 Beverley at SP 6.50. Ridden by William Pyle. Trained by Craig Lidster.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Beverley?

No — the AI top pick (Ariane Sky) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 15:15 Beverley?

Top finishers: 1. State of Gold (IRE) (6.50), 2. Court Legend (GB) (9.00), 3. Ariane Sky (IRE) (2.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:15 Beverley?

The winning time was 1m 33.63s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org