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RacingAlpha

16:45 Beverley

Racing Again On Saturday 29 August Handicap Stakes

1m½f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £4,004 · Thursday, 13 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 6/5F·2.20
  1. 1st
    Saxon Grace (IRE)AI top pick · 47.5
    Shane Gray·Daragh Bourke
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Copper And Five (GB)
    Joanna Mason·Ruth Carr·beaten 4.25 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Back From Dubai (IRE)
    Lewis Edmunds·Roy Bowring·beaten 2 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
Race time
1m 47.69s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Saxon Grace (IRE))

Settled second early - hit front approaching 3f out - eased away inside final furlongs to score comfortably

Settled · 1pt level stake = 1.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way47.1/100 rating
Back From Dubai
10.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Dumfries

Dumfries heads this Class 6 contest on a rating three points clear of Amarachi and four ahead of Harswell River, though the gap is narrow enough that any of the chief dangers could turn the tables on the day. Amarachi and Harswell River both carry strong claims, and Copper And Five at the same level as several rivals could complicate matters further on good-to-firm ground at Beverley. The case for Dumfries rests on that slender rating edge in a competitive, open-looking affair, and confidence is modest. Dumfries is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Saxon Grace

Shane Gray · Daragh Bourke · 3yo

Top-rated of 10
score 47.5 · +0.4 clear of next best (47.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    5d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Daragh Bourke: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    53average
    Last 6: 4-6-4-0-3-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    35weak
    OR 52
MarketBest price 2.70 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Beverley 1m½f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.10
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.98
High (8–10)
IV 0.90

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 146 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: Shane Gray · T: Daragh Bourke · draw 2
3yo · F · ch
464031
5247.5
6/5F·2.20
SP
25
J: Joanna Mason · T: Ruth Carr · draw 4
10yo · G · chp
022468
4943.8
6/1·7.00
SP
34
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Roy Bowring · draw 9
9yo · G · b
831406
5047.1
15/2·8.50
SP
41
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 8
6yo · G · b
45655
5544.6
10/1·11.00
SP
56
J: Mark Winn · T: David O'Meara · draw 7
3yo · F · b
97946
5339.1
16/1·17.00
SP
62
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Joseph Parr · draw 3
4yo · F · b
22629
5433.0
9/2·5.50
SP
79
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 1
3yo · F · bh
5004
5032.4
22/1·23.00
SP
810
J: Cian Horgan(5) · T: Roger Fell · draw 10
3yo · F · bp
236525
4938.9
14/1·15.00
SP
97
J: William Pyle · T: Mike Sowersby · draw 5
4yo · F · bp
000964
4528.8
125/1·126.00
SP
108
J: Faye McManoman · T: Brian Rothwell · draw 6
4yo · F · bh
006995
4524.8
250/1·251.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:45 Beverley on 13 August 2026?

Saxon Grace (IRE) won the 16:45 Beverley at SP 2.20. Ridden by Shane Gray. Trained by Daragh Bourke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:45 Beverley?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Saxon Grace, won the race (AI score 47.5).

What were the placings in the 16:45 Beverley?

Top finishers: 1. Saxon Grace (IRE) (2.20), 2. Copper And Five (GB) (7.00), 3. Back From Dubai (IRE) (8.50).

What was the winning time for the 16:45 Beverley?

The winning time was 1m 47.69s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org