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Become A Friend Of Racing Welfare Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m2f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 9 runners · £6,480 · Thursday, 13 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Dove Tale (GER)
    Robert Havlin·John & Thady Gosden
    11/8F·2.38
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Walking On Stars (IRE)
    Dylan Hogan·Sir Mark Prescott Bt·beaten .75 lengths
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Shangri La (GB)AI top pick · 41.5
    Callum Shepherd·David Simcock·beaten 2 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
Race time
2m 5.28s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Dove Tale (GER))

Set the pace from the off - roused along with 2f left - driven out in the closing stages to hold on

Settled · 1pt level stake = 4.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way33.0/100 rating
Neswick
5.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

Shangri La

Callum Shepherd · David Simcock · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 41.5 · +8.5 clear of next best (33.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    30d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    49below average
    OR 73 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    44below average
    Last 6: 4-4-3-5
  • Trainer20% weight
    0small sample (n=9)
    David Simcock: 0/9 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 4.30 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Lingfield (AW) 1m2f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.25).

Low (1–3)
IV 0.82
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.25
High (7–9)
IV 0.97

Today: Shangri La (draw 4) and Neswick (draw 5) get the bias; Walking On Stars (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 251 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
3yo · F · bhFT H
93
22.4
11/8F·2.38
SP
29
3yo · F · b
54
27.5
7/2·4.50
SP
38
J: Callum Shepherd · T: David Simcock · draw 4
3yo · F · b
4435
7341.5
4/1·5.00
SP
44
J: David Probert · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 5
3yo · F · b
3
33.0
7/2·4.50
SP
51
3yo · F · ch
54
16.5
14/1·15.00
SP
67
J: Jack Callan · T: John Butler · draw 9
3yo · F · b
7
24.5
100/1·101.00
SP
72
J: Joe Leavy · T: Patrick Chamings · draw 8
3yo · F · b
98
10.2
200/1·201.00
SP
85
J: Jason Watson · T: David Menuisier · draw 6
3yo · F · bh
55
14.5
80/1·81.00
SP
96
J: Finley Marsh · T: Heather Main · draw 7
3yo · F · ch
15.0
100/1·101.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:28 Lingfield (AW) on 13 August 2026?

Dove Tale (GER) won the 19:28 Lingfield (AW) at SP 2.38. Ridden by Robert Havlin. Trained by John & Thady Gosden.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:28 Lingfield (AW)?

No — the AI top pick (Shangri La) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 19:28 Lingfield (AW)?

Top finishers: 1. Dove Tale (GER) (2.38), 2. Walking On Stars (IRE) (4.50), 3. Shangri La (GB) (5.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:28 Lingfield (AW)?

The winning time was 2m 5.28s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org