18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

19:04 Salisbury

Tattersalls £40,000 EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 4 runners · £20,616 · Thursday, 13 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 2/5F·1.40
  1. 1st
    Siena Storm (GER)AI top pick · 28.0
    Kieran Shoemark·Ed Walker
    2/5F·1.40
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Clarity (IRE)
    Oisin Murphy·Andrew Balding·beaten .5 lengths
    4/1·5.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Orchard Hatches (GB)
    Edward Greatrex·Marcus Tregoning·beaten 6 lengths
    18/1·19.00
    SP
Race time
1m 44.91s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Siena Storm (GER))

“Held up at rear - driven into second inside final furlong before hitting front with 110yds left - challenged again but held on to prevail”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.40 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Siena Storm

Kieran Shoemark · Ed Walker · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 28.0 · +1.5 clear of next best (26.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Ed Walker: 8/44 winners last 14d (18%)
  • Form20% weight
    45below average
    Last 6: 4
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 1.60 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Salisbury 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.89
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.16
High (5–5)
IV 0.98

Today: Siena Storm (draw 4) and Caelan's Rose (draw 3) get the bias; Orchard Hatches (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 90 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
15
Siena Storm
J: Kieran Shoemark · T: Ed Walker · draw 4
2yo · F · b
4
—28.0
2/5F·1.40
SP
22
Clarity
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
2yo · F · b
35
—25.0
4/1·5.00
SP
34
Orchard Hatches
J: Edward Greatrex · T: Marcus Tregoning · draw 1
2yo · F · b
8
—26.5
18/1·19.00
SP
43
Indian Lights
J: Ben Coen · T: Michael Bell · draw 2
2yo · F · b
4
—21.5
6/1·7.00
SP
——
Caelan's Rose
J: William Carver · T: Andrew Balding · draw 3
2yo · F · ch
——22.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 19:04 Salisbury on 13 August 2026?

Siena Storm (GER) won the 19:04 Salisbury at SP 1.40. Ridden by Kieran Shoemark. Trained by Ed Walker.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:04 Salisbury?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Siena Storm, won the race (AI score 28.0).

What were the placings in the 19:04 Salisbury?

Top finishers: 1. Siena Storm (GER) (1.40), 2. Clarity (IRE) (5.00), 3. Orchard Hatches (GB) (19.00).

What was the winning time for the 19:04 Salisbury?

The winning time was 1m 44.91s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org