15:23 Epsom

Betfred 'Bet Builder' EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £7,020 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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E/W terms4 runners — win only, no each-way offered· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Diplomata

No. 3 · score 24.0 · +4.1 clear of next best · best 11/4·3.75

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Diplomata

David Probert · William Haggas · 2yo

Top-rated of 4

score 24.0 · +4.1 clear of next best (19.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
21d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
35below average
William Haggas: 6/43 winners last 14d (14%)
Form20% weight
35below average
Last 6: 4-5
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 3.75 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 4.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(1)
4Secret Flite
Hold-up / closers(1)
2Desert Symphony
Unknown(2)
3Diplomata 5Tansy Lane

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Epsom 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)

IV 0.95

Mid (3–4)

IV 0.90

High (5–5)

IV 1.14

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 62 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Best
3	DiplomataPick J: David Probert · T: William Haggas · draw 2 2yo · F · grOnly runner	45	9-02	—	—	—	24.0	3.75·3.75 Betfair Exchange All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.75·3.75 SmarketsSBK13/5·3.60 Spreadex5/2·3.50 Midnite5/2·3.50 Bet Victor5/2·3.50 LiveScore Bet5/2·3.50 10 Bet5/2·3.50Virgin Bet5/2·3.50talkSPORT BET5/2·3.50 Betano5/2·3.50 PricedUp Bet5/2·3.50 BetAhoy5/2·3.50 Quinn Bet5/2·3.50 Ladbrokes5/2·3.50 Unibet5/2·3.50 Betfred5/2·3.50Octobet5/2·3.50BetTom5/2·3.50 7Bet5/2·3.50 Star Sports5/2·3.50 SportingIndex5/2·3.50 Bet3655/2·3.50 William Hill5/2·3.50 Coral5/2·3.50 BresBet12/5·3.40BestOdds12/5·3.40Dragon Bet12/5·3.40 BetWright12/5·3.40 CopyBet9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25
4	Secret Flite J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Tom Ward · draw 3 2yo · F · chOnly pairing	95	9-02	—	—	—	19.9	8.6·8.60 Betfair Exchange All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange8.6·8.60 SmarketsSBK7/1·8.00 Spreadex13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 BresBet6/1·7.00BestOdds6/1·7.00talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Coral6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 PricedUp Bet6/1·7.00 BetAhoy6/1·7.00 7Bet6/1·7.00Octobet6/1·7.00Midnite6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 Betfred11/2·6.50 CopyBet11/2·6.50
5	Tansy Lane J: Kieran Shoemark · T: James Owen · draw 1 2yo · F · bOnly pairing	67	9-02	—	—	—	19.8	8/11·1.73 Virgin Bet All 30 books ▾ Virgin Bet8/11·1.73LiveScore Bet8/11·1.73 Betfair Exchange1.7·1.70 Bet3654/6·1.67 William Hill8/13·1.62 Unibet8/13·1.62 Betano8/13·1.62 Dragon Bet8/13·1.62 CopyBet8/13·1.62BestOdds8/13·1.62Bet Victor8/13·1.62 BresBet8/13·1.62 SmarketsSBK8/13·1.62 SportingIndex8/13·1.62 Quinn Bet8/13·1.62 Boyle Sports8/13·1.62 7Bet8/13·1.62 Star Sports8/13·1.62 Ladbrokes8/13·1.62 talkSPORT BET8/13·1.62 BetWright8/13·1.62 BetAhoy8/13·1.62 Spreadex8/13·1.62Octobet8/13·1.62Coral8/13·1.62 BetTom8/13·1.62 Betfred4/7·1.57 10 Bet4/7·1.57 Midnite4/7·1.57 PricedUp Bet4/7·1.57
2	Desert Symphony J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Jim Boyle · draw 5 · combo 1/22 (5%) 2yo · F · chOnly pairing	89	9-02	—	—	—	11.5	24·24.00 Betfair Exchange All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange24·24.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 talkSPORT BET20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 10 Bet20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 PricedUp Bet20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Octobet18/1·19.00BresBet18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 BetAhoy18/1·19.00BestOdds18/1·19.007Bet18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 CopyBet18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00
—	Tiora TimeNon-runner J: Charles Bishop · T: Tom Clover · draw 4 2yo · F · b	312	9-06	75	—	—	—	Withdrawn

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Betfred 'Bet Builder' EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?

The Betfred 'Bet Builder' EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 15:23 on 14 August 2026 at Epsom (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:23 Epsom?

7f, Class 3, Flat, 4 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:23 Epsom?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:23 Epsom?

The AI top-rated runner is Diplomata (score 24.0, best price 3.75). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:23 Epsom?

The market favourite is Tansy Lane at a best price of 1.73. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Diplomata.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org