18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

17:48 Epsom

Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 9 runners · £4,449 · Friday, 14 August 2026

Compare all prices

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 8 · score 57.6 · +6.4 clear of next best · best 9/2·5.70
Best value vs consensus
5.2·5.20 Betfair Exchange · +3% vs fair (consensus 5.04)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way57.6/100 rating
Spacewoman
5.70Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Red MirageDiffers from our pick

Red Mirage is preferred here despite sitting a pound behind the top-rated A La Noche, as a progressive profile and a fitness edge tip the scales in favour of this selection on the Epsom seven-furlong trip on good-to-firm ground. A La Noche remains the primary danger given that narrow rating advantage, while Ararat and Freddie's Star are not without claims in a competitive nine-runner Class 5 field, though both are held on these figures. The combination of improving form and race-readiness makes Red Mirage the call.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Spacewoman

Hector Crouch · Henry Candy · 3yo

Top-rated of 9
score 57.6 · +6.4 clear of next best (51.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=6)
    Henry Candy: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Form20% weight
    51average
    Last 6: 8-5-1-3-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    42below average
    OR 63
MarketBest price 5.70 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Epsom 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.95
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.90
High (7–9)
IV 1.14

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 62 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
8
J: Hector Crouch · T: Henry Candy · draw 3
3yo · F · chpGoing 1/3Only runner
85135
6357.611/2·6.415.7·5.70
Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
9
J: Charles Bishop · T: Richard Spencer · draw 9
3yo · G · grhC&DGoing 1/3Only runner
356561
6251.24/1·5.045.2·5.20
Betfair Exchange · +3% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
7
J: Alistair Rawlinson · T: Edward Smyth-Osbourne · draw 8 · combo 1/18 (6%)
3yo · G · bbC&DGoing 1/3Only rideOnly runner
555541
6642.711/2·6.416·6.00
Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
2
J: Jason Hart · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 5 · combo 2/66 (3%)
8yo · G · chb
36684
6741.59/1·9.908.8·8.80
Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
3
J: J F Egan · T: Michael Wigham · draw 4 · combo 2/15 (13%)
7yo · G · btpClass dropDGoing 1/4Only runner
31530
6740.214/1·15.1415·15.00
Betfair Exchange
All 30 books ▾
5
6yo · G · bOnly runner
643085
6537.616/1·17.4715.5·15.50
Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
1
J: Pat Cosgrave · T: Oliver Cole · draw 6
5yo · G · bOnly pairing
656
6836.86/1·6.996.8·6.80
Betfair Exchange · -3% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
6
J: Donagh Murphy(7) · T: Jim Boyle · draw 7 · combo 2/12 (17%)
4yo · G · bClass dropOnly ride
344159
6436.618/1·19.8018.5·18.50
Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
4
J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Roger Teal · draw 2
4yo · G · bbFT B
96054
6635.712/1·13.9812.5·12.50
Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 17% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap Stakes?

The Betfred 'Follow Us On X' Handicap Stakes is off at 17:48 on 14 August 2026 at Epsom (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:48 Epsom?

7f, Class 5, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:48 Epsom?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:48 Epsom?

The AI top-rated runner is Spacewoman (score 57.6, best price 5.70). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:48 Epsom?

The market favourite is Ice Cube at a best price of 5.20. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Spacewoman.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org