Who won the 15:00 Newbury on 14 August 2026?
We Ride At Dawn (GB) won the 15:00 Newbury at SP 1.91. Ridden by Harry Vigors. Trained by Robert Edwards.
15:00 Newbury
Chapel Down Apprentice Handicap Stakes
1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £5,757 · Friday, 14 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 2ndRace report
- 1stWe Ride At Dawn (GB)Harry Vigors·Robert Edwards10/11F·1.91SP
- 2ndRaintown (IRE)AI top pick · 56.6Kyle McHugh·J S Moore·beaten 0.3 lengths9/4·3.25SP
- 3rdGrey Fox (IRE)Taryn Langley·Emma Lavelle·beaten 6.5 lengths100/30·4.33SP
Race time
2m 5.69s
Race time recorded.
In-running (We Ride At Dawn (GB))
“Set the pace from the start - driven approaching final furlong while drifting right under pressure - stayed on to prevail”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 2.25 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Raintown
Raintown heads this Newbury Class 5 contest over ten furlongs on good-to-firm ground narrowly ahead of Grey Fox on ratings, and the form behind that pair suggests the selection has the edge over the rest of the field. Grey Fox represents the most obvious threat, with We Ride At Dawn and Decalogue also requiring respect in what looks a clearly tiered small field, though neither has the profile to unsettle the principals on current evidence. The going should pose no issue and the trip looks ideal for a horse of Raintown's standing. Raintown is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Raintown
Kyle McHugh(3) · J S Moore · 6yo
Top-rated of 4
score 56.6 · +6.7 clear of next best (49.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight70strongLast 6: 8-3-4-2-3-1
- Trainer20% weight53averageJ S Moore: 4/19 winners last 14d (21%)
- Ratings50% weight44below averageOR 66
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newbury 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.15
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.91
High (5–5)
IV 0.92
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 109 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Harry Vigors · T: Robert Edwards · draw 4 3yo · F · ch | 50241 | 67 | 44.9 | 10/11F·1.91 SP |
| 2 | 1 | J: Kyle McHugh(3) · T: J S Moore · draw 2 6yo · G · grp | 834231 | 66 | 56.6 | 9/4·3.25 SP |
| 3 | 2 | J: Taryn Langley · T: Emma Lavelle · draw 3 9yo · G · grt | 49662 | 66 | 49.8 | 100/30·4.33 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Travis Ford(7) · T: Harry Eustace · draw 5 3yo · F · bpFT P | 0546 | 64 | 35.3 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Conor Whiteley · T: Jamie Osborne · draw 1 3yo · G · bpFT P | 86843 | 69 | 46.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:00 Newbury?
No — the AI top pick (Raintown) finished 2.
What were the placings in the 15:00 Newbury?
Top finishers: 1. We Ride At Dawn (GB) (1.91), 2. Raintown (IRE) (3.25), 3. Grey Fox (IRE) (4.33).
What was the winning time for the 15:00 Newbury?
The winning time was 2m 5.69s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org