What time is the Chapel Down Apprentice Handicap Stakes?
The Chapel Down Apprentice Handicap Stakes is off at 15:00 on 14 August 2026 at Newbury (Great Britain).
15:00 Newbury
Off in 1h 50mChapel Down Apprentice Handicap Stakes
1m2f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £5,757 · Friday, 14 August 2026
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Best value vs consensus
No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: RaintownAgrees with our pick
Raintown heads this Newbury Class 5 contest over ten furlongs on good-to-firm ground narrowly ahead of Grey Fox on ratings, and the form behind that pair suggests the selection has the edge over the rest of the field. Grey Fox represents the most obvious threat, with We Ride At Dawn and Decalogue also requiring respect in what looks a clearly tiered small field, though neither has the profile to unsettle the principals on current evidence. The going should pose no issue and the trip looks ideal for a horse of Raintown's standing. Raintown is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Raintown
Kyle McHugh(3) · J S Moore · 6yo
Top-rated of 4
score 56.6 · +6.7 clear of next best (49.8)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong22d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight70strongLast 6: 8-3-4-2-3-1
- Trainer20% weight53averageJ S Moore: 4/19 winners last 14d (21%)
- Ratings50% weight44below averageOR 66
MarketBest price 3.75 (Bet365) · 2nd in the market of 4.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Pace map
inferred from last 6 runsShape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.
- Front-runners(1)
- Prominent(0)—
- Mid-division(1)
- Hold-up / closers(2)
Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.
Draw bias — Newbury 1m2f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.15
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.91
High (5–5)
IV 0.92
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 109 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by AI score
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
What is the field size and distance of the 15:00 Newbury?
1m2f, Class 5, Flat, 4 runners declared.
What is the going for the 15:00 Newbury?
Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.
What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:00 Newbury?
The AI top-rated runner is Raintown (score 56.6, best price 3.75). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.
Who is the favourite for the 15:00 Newbury?
The market favourite is We Ride At Dawn at a best price of 2.02. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Raintown.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org