15:35 Newbury

TPT Fire Supports St Michaels Hospice EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £8,100 · Friday, 14 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 7-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Camelot Castle

No. 1 · score 30.0 · +5.5 clear of next best · best 33/1·32.00

Best value vs consensus

Mulvaney's Return

21·21.00 Betfair Exchange · +23% vs fair (consensus 17.10)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 28 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way24.5/100 rating

King High

6.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Camelot Castle

Jason Watson · Charles Hills · 2yo

Top-rated of 7

score 30.0 · +5.5 clear of next best (24.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
75strong
Charles Hills: 6/20 winners last 14d (30%)
Form20% weight
50average
Last 6: first run
Freshness10% weight
50average
no recent-run data
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 32.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 7th in the market of 7.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(0)—
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
3King High
Unknown(6)
1Camelot Castle 2Dontlookbackinanga 4Mulvaney's Return 5Quicken Away 6Rupert The Brave 7Sockdolager

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newbury 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.99

Mid (4–5)

IV 1.16

High (6–7)

IV 0.86

Today: King High (draw 4) and Sockdolager (draw 5) get the bias; Mulvaney's Return (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Camelot CastlePick J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 3 · combo 10/41 (24%) 2yo · C · bOnly rideOnly runner	—	9-07	—	—	—	30.0	33/1·33.06	32·32.00 Betfair Exchange · -3% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange32·32.00 7Bet30/1·31.00 Midnite28/1·29.00 Bet Victor28/1·29.00 Betfred28/1·29.00 10 Bet28/1·29.00 Spreadex28/1·29.00 SportingIndex28/1·29.00 talkSPORT BET28/1·29.00 BetWright28/1·29.00Octobet28/1·29.00BresBet28/1·29.00BestOdds28/1·29.00Bet36528/1·29.00 William Hill28/1·29.00 Boyle Sports28/1·29.00 Ladbrokes28/1·29.00 Unibet28/1·29.00 BetTom28/1·29.00 Quinn Bet28/1·29.00 Star Sports28/1·29.00 Coral28/1·29.00 Betano28/1·29.00 Dragon Bet28/1·29.00 PricedUp Bet28/1·29.00 BetAhoy28/1·29.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 CopyBet25/1·26.00
3	King High J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Owen Burrows · draw 4 · combo 5/30 (17%) 2yo · C · bOnly runner	4	9-07	—	—	—	24.5	6/1·6.84	6.8·6.80 Betfair Exchange All 25 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80 PricedUp Bet11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 CopyBet5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00BestOdds5/1·6.00Bet3655/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00
5	Quicken Away J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 2 · combo 19/92 (21%) 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	24.5	6/5·2.18	2.16·2.16 Betfair Exchange All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange2.16·2.16 SportingIndexevn·2.00 PricedUp Betevn·2.00 Spreadexevn·2.00 SmarketsSBKevn·2.00 Betfredevn·2.00 Bet365evn·2.00 William Hillevn·2.00 Unibet10/11·1.91 BetTom10/11·1.91 Midnite10/11·1.91BestOdds10/11·1.917Bet10/11·1.91 Quinn Bet10/11·1.91 BetAhoy10/11·1.91Octobet10/11·1.91BresBet10/11·1.91 Star Sports10/11·1.91 Ladbrokes10/11·1.91 Dragon Bet10/11·1.91 Boyle Sports10/11·1.91 BetWright10/11·1.91 Coral10/11·1.91 CopyBet10/11·1.91 Bet Victor5/6·1.83 talkSPORT BET5/6·1.83 Betano5/6·1.83 10 Bet5/6·1.83
7	Sockdolager J: Robbie Downey · T: Roger Varian · draw 5 · combo 2/14 (14%) 2yo · C · chOnly rideOnly runner	—	9-07	—	—	—	24.5	12/1·12.54	12·12.00 Betfair Exchange · -4% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange12·12.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 PricedUp Bet10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 BetAhoy10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00Octobet10/1·11.00BresBet10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00BestOdds10/1·11.007Bet10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00 CopyBet19/2·10.50 Bet36517/2·9.50
4	Mulvaney's Return J: Joe Leavy · T: Brian Meehan · draw 7 · combo 2/22 (9%) 2yo · C · b	—	9-07	—	—	—	22.0	16/1·17.10	21·21.00 Betfair Exchange · +23% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange21·21.00 SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 PricedUp Bet16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 talkSPORT BET14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 10 Bet14/1·15.00 Unibet14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet14/1·15.00 CopyBet14/1·15.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 BetWright14/1·15.00 Star Sports14/1·15.00 Midnite14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 Quinn Bet14/1·15.00 Betfred14/1·15.00 BresBet14/1·15.00BestOdds14/1·15.007Bet14/1·15.00Octobet12/1·13.00BetTom12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 BetAhoy12/1·13.00
2	Dontlookbackinanga J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 1 · combo 14/98 (14%) 2yo · C · bClass drop	4	9-07	—	—	—	21.0	6/1·6.84	6.2·6.20 Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20 Betano5/1·6.00 BetAhoy5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 CopyBet5/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00Octobet5/1·6.00BresBet5/1·6.00BestOdds5/1·6.00PricedUp Bet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 10 Bet5/1·6.00 talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00 BetWright5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Bet3659/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50 SportingIndex9/2·5.50
6	Rupert The Brave J: Tom Marquand · T: Oliver Cole · draw 6 · combo 0/5 (0%) 2yo · C · bClass dropOnly runner	9	9-07	—	—	—	15.2	12/1·12.54	11.5·11.50 Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair All 28 books ▾ Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00Octobet10/1·11.00Betano10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 CopyBet10/1·11.00 PricedUp Bet10/1·11.00 BetAhoy10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00BestOdds10/1·11.00Midnite10/1·11.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 10 Bet10/1·11.00 talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 William Hill17/2·9.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 25–28 bookmakers per horse with the 14% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the TPT Fire Supports St Michaels Hospice EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)?

The TPT Fire Supports St Michaels Hospice EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) is off at 15:35 on 14 August 2026 at Newbury (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:35 Newbury?

1m, Class 3, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:35 Newbury?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:35 Newbury?

The AI top-rated runner is Camelot Castle (score 30.0, best price 32.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:35 Newbury?

The market favourite is Quicken Away at a best price of 2.16. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Camelot Castle.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org