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17:23 Newbury

Visit Malta St Hugh's Stakes (Listed Race)

5f · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 13 runners · £28,355 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 3 · score 72.6 · +7.5 clear of next best · best 11/2·6.60
Best value vs consensus
32·32.00 Betfair Exchange · +17% vs fair (consensus 27.40)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way72.6/100 rating
Angels Lane
6.60Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Fast TrackDiffers from our pick

Fast Track heads this thirteen-runner Class 1 sprint at Newbury rated narrowly ahead of the chasing pack, and on good-to-firm ground over five furlongs the conditions look well suited to showing that edge at its best. Wateera and Acclamation Star share the same rating and must be respected as the most likely threats, while Lover Girl is only a pound or so further back and cannot be dismissed in what shapes as a competitive heat. The selection's superiority may be modest, but in a race of this nature even a small advantage in class and ability can prove decisive, and Fast Track is taken to confirm that standing.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Angels Lane

Nicola Currie · Henry Candy · 2yo

Top-rated of 13
score 72.6 · +7.5 clear of next best (65.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    27d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    85very strong
    Last 6: 1-2
  • Trainer20% weight
    83small sample (n=6)
    Henry Candy: 2/6 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    58average
    OR 87
MarketBest price 6.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 13.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 3 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newbury 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 1.00
Mid (6–9)
IV 0.93
High (10–13)
IV 1.07

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
3
J: Nicola Currie · T: Henry Candy · draw 2 · combo 4/30 (13%)
2yo · F · bDOnly rideOnly runner
12
8772.66/1·7.156.6·6.60
Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
12
J: George Wood · T: Richard Spencer · draw 11 · combo 7/37 (19%)
2yo · F · grGoing 1/3Only rideOnly runner
251
8465.125/1·27.4027·27.00
Betfair Exchange
All 30 books ▾
4
J: Daniel Muscutt · T: James Fanshawe · draw 12 · combo 11/56 (20%)
2yo · F · bGoing 1/3Only rideOnly runner
14
8563.522/1·22.6420/1·21.00
PricedUp Bet · -7% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
9
J: Oisin Murphy · T: Andrew Balding · draw 9 · combo 19/92 (21%)
2yo · F · btDGoing 1/4
32012
8962.611/4·3.873.6·3.60
Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
10
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 5 · combo 20/98 (20%)
2yo · F · grtFT TD
510
8559.016/1·17.8719·19.00
Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
13
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 7 · combo 24/95 (25%)
2yo · F · bDGoing 1/3
132
8358.825/1·27.4032·32.00
Betfair Exchange · +17% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
1
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: James Owen · draw 4
2yo · F · bDOnly runner
1062
9455.817/2·9.539·9.00
Betfair Exchange · -6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
8
J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 8 · combo 14/98 (14%)
2yo · F · bDGoing 1/3
291
8451.520/1·20.2520·20.00
Betfair Exchange
All 30 books ▾
6
J: Pat Dobbs · T: Richard Hughes · draw 13
2yo · F · bDGoing 1/3Only pairing
23013
8251.366/1·60.7650/1·51.00
Boyle Sports · -16% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
11
2yo · F · grOnly rideOnly runner
1130
8549.440/1·40.5150/1·51.00
SmarketsSBK · +26% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
2
J: William Buick · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 10 · combo 14/45 (31%)
2yo · F · bGoing 1/2
31
45.816/1·17.8716·16.00
Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
5
J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Archie Watson · draw 3
2yo · F · grOnly runner
4U2
8044.540/1·40.5144·44.00
Betfair Exchange · +9% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
7
J: Tom Marquand · T: George Scott · draw 1 · combo 1/6 (17%)
2yo · F · grtFT TOnly runner
1
34.011/2·6.556.2·6.20
Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 19% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Visit Malta St Hugh's Stakes (Listed Race)?

The Visit Malta St Hugh's Stakes (Listed Race) is off at 17:23 on 14 August 2026 at Newbury (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:23 Newbury?

5f, Class 1, Flat, 13 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:23 Newbury?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:23 Newbury?

The AI top-rated runner is Angels Lane (score 72.6, best price 6.60). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:23 Newbury?

The market favourite is Fast Track at a best price of 3.60. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Angels Lane.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org