17:58 Newbury

Christopher Smith Associates LLP Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £7,328 · Friday, 14 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 7-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Zatsgood

No. 1 · score 64.2 · +2.6 clear of next best · best 9/2·5.50

Best value vs consensus

Assaranca

16·16.00 Betfair Exchange · +8% vs fair (consensus 14.88)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way64.2/100 rating

Zatsgood

5.50Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Lightning PolkaDiffers from our pick

Lightning Polka heads this seven-furlong Newbury contest on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Zatsgood and a few pounds clear of Assaranca and Stratocracy, though the confidence in her doing so is modest and she will need to be at her best to prevail. Zatsgood represents the most pressing threat given he is only two pounds adrift, while Assaranca and Stratocracy cannot be dismissed on ground that should suit several runners in this competitive Class 4. The unrated Scutari adds an element of uncertainty that is worth bearing in mind. Lightning Polka is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Zatsgood

Billy Loughnane · George Boughey · 4yo

Top-rated of 7

score 64.2 · +2.6 clear of next best (61.6)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
20d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
73strong
George Boughey: 6/21 winners last 14d (29%)
Form20% weight
62average
Last 6: 2-4-1-7-3-2
Ratings50% weight
55average
OR 82 — highest combined rating in the field

MarketBest price 5.50 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(0)—
Prominent(2)
3Stratocracy 7Lyra Lea
Mid-division(1)
1Zatsgood
Hold-up / closers(3)
2Walson's Law 5Assaranca 6Lightning Polka
Unknown(1)
8Media Legend

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newbury 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.99

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.16

High (7–8)

IV 0.86

Today: Media Legend (draw 4) and Lyra Lea (draw 6) get the bias; Lightning Polka (draw 8) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	ZatsgoodPick J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 1 · combo 20/98 (20%) 4yo · G · chtpFT TP	241732	10-02	82	—	—	64.2	4/1·5.15	5.5·5.50 Betfair Exchange · +7% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.5·5.50 Betfred4/1·5.00 PricedUp Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00BestOdds4/1·5.00talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50Octobet7/2·4.50Betano7/2·4.50 William Hill7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 BetAhoy7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 CopyBet7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Bet36510/3·4.33
8	Media Legend J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Harry Charlton · draw 4 · combo 9/37 (24%) 3yo · G · bOnly runner	5235	9-04	76	—	—	61.6	11/2·6.29	5/1·6.00 PricedUp Bet · -5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ PricedUp Bet5/1·6.00 Bet3655/1·6.00 Betfair Exchange5.8·5.80 SportingIndex9/2·5.50 Quinn Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50BetTom9/2·5.50 10 Bet9/2·5.50 talkSPORT BET9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports9/2·5.50 Ladbrokes9/2·5.50 Bet Victor9/2·5.50 Star Sports9/2·5.50 BetAhoy9/2·5.50 Coral9/2·5.50 BetWright9/2·5.50 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 Betano9/2·5.50 Dragon Bet9/2·5.50 CopyBet9/2·5.50 William Hill9/2·5.50 Spreadex9/2·5.50Octobet9/2·5.50BresBet9/2·5.50BestOdds9/2·5.507Bet9/2·5.50 Midnite9/2·5.50 Betfred9/2·5.50 Unibet4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00
7	Lyra Lea J: Oisin Murphy · T: Rod Millman · draw 6 · combo 9/20 (45%) 3yo · F · bDGoing 1/2Only runner	34221	9-06	78	—	—	56.5	13/2·7.44	6.8·6.80 Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80 Coral11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 7Bet11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50BestOdds11/2·6.50William Hill11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 BetAhoy11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Betfred5/1·6.00 CopyBet5/1·6.00 PricedUp Bet5/1·6.00Octobet5/1·6.00SmarketsSBK5/1·6.00
6	Lightning Polka J: Tom Marquand · T: Ed Walker · draw 8 · combo 0/7 (0%) 3yo · F · chhClass dropOnly pairing	03934	9-06	78	—	—	54.5	7/1·8.01	7.8·7.80 Betfair Exchange · -3% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.8·7.80 7Bet6/1·7.00 talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 William Hill6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Betfred6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 Bet3656/1·7.00Octobet6/1·7.00BresBet6/1·7.00BestOdds6/1·7.00BetWright6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 CopyBet6/1·7.00 PricedUp Bet6/1·7.00 BetAhoy6/1·7.00 Spreadex6/1·7.00 SportingIndex6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Midnite11/2·6.50 10 Bet5/1·6.00
2	Walson's Law J: Callum Hutchinson · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 3 · combo 12/38 (32%) 5yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	63004	10-00	80	—	—	49.0	6/1·6.87	6.2·6.20 Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20 BetAhoy5/1·6.00 Spreadex5/1·6.00Octobet5/1·6.0010 Bet5/1·6.00Virgin Bet5/1·6.00Bet3655/1·6.00 William Hill5/1·6.00 Coral5/1·6.00 talkSPORT BET5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00 Betano5/1·6.00 Dragon Bet5/1·6.00 PricedUp Bet5/1·6.00 BresBet5/1·6.00 SportingIndex5/1·6.00 Betfred5/1·6.00 Boyle Sports5/1·6.00 Ladbrokes5/1·6.00 Unibet5/1·6.00 BetTom5/1·6.00 Bet Victor5/1·6.00 7Bet5/1·6.00 Star Sports5/1·6.00 Midnite5/1·6.00 Quinn Bet5/1·6.00 BetWright9/2·5.50 CopyBet9/2·5.50BestOdds9/2·5.50SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50
5	Assaranca J: Sean Levey · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5 · combo 14/98 (14%) 3yo · F · bClass drop	631579	9-08	80	—	—	45.1	14/1·14.88	16·16.00 Betfair Exchange · +8% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange16·16.00 Spreadex14/1·15.00 SportingIndex14/1·15.00 SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 Bet36514/1·15.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00BestOdds12/1·13.007Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 PricedUp Bet12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 BetAhoy11/1·12.00Octobet11/1·12.00CopyBet11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 BetTom11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00
3	Stratocracy J: Joe Leavy · T: Kevin & Lauren Frost · draw 7 5yo · G · bOnly runner	16553	9-11	77	—	—	44.3	9/2·5.72	6·6.00 Betfair Exchange · +5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6·6.00 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 BetAhoy4/1·5.00 CopyBet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00Octobet4/1·5.00BresBet4/1·5.00BestOdds4/1·5.007Bet4/1·5.00 PricedUp Bet7/2·4.50
—	ScutariNon-runner J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 2 3yo · C · bay f.	62661	9-10	82	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 14% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Christopher Smith Associates LLP Handicap Stakes?

The Christopher Smith Associates LLP Handicap Stakes is off at 17:58 on 14 August 2026 at Newbury (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:58 Newbury?

7f, Class 4, Flat, 7 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:58 Newbury?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:58 Newbury?

The AI top-rated runner is Zatsgood (score 64.2, best price 5.50). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:58 Newbury?

The market favourite is Zatsgood at a best price of 5.50.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org