18:27 Newmarket (July)

Maritime Cargo Sts Freight Frenzy Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £5,154 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Rising Force

No. 1 · score 56.0 · +4.2 clear of next best · best 13/8·2.63

Best value vs consensus

Mr Ubiquitous

11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK · +3% vs fair (consensus 11.65)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way46.0/100 rating

Sir Edward Lear

6.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: CalyxohDiffers from our pick

Calyxoh heads this eight-runner Class 5 contest over a mile at Newmarket on good-to-firm ground with a rating narrowly ahead of the chasing pack, and that edge, combined with the experience that has shaped his profile, makes him the one to be on. The Sweet Escape is the most prominent danger on a rating of 78, with Sir Edward Lear and Special Ghaiyyath both on 76 and capable of making life uncomfortable if Calyxoh fails to reproduce his best. Connections will be hoping the track and conditions bring out a polished performance, though the compress of the chasing trio means there is little room for error. Calyxoh is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Rising Force

Marco Ghiani · John Butler · 5yo

Top-rated of 8

score 56.0 · +4.2 clear of next best (51.7)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
14d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
58average
John Butler: 6/26 winners last 14d (23%)
Ratings50% weight
49below average
OR 74 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
49below average
Last 6: 0-1-8-4-5-2

MarketBest price 2.63 (BestOdds) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
5The Sweet Escape 7Currumbin
Prominent(1)
3Sir Edward Lear
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(3)
1Rising Force 2Mr Ubiquitous 6Special Ghaiyyath
Unknown(2)
4Calyxoh 8Triggerman

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)

IV 0.91

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.06

High (7–8)

IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Rising ForcePick J: Marco Ghiani · T: John Butler · draw 3 5yo · G · chOnly runner	018452	9-09	74	—	—	56.0	2/1·3.06	13/8·2.63 BestOdds · -14% vs fair All 30 books ▾ BestOdds13/8·2.63talkSPORT BET13/8·2.63 BetAhoy13/8·2.63Octobet13/8·2.63BresBet13/8·2.63 Betfred13/8·2.63 Boyle Sports13/8·2.63 CopyBet13/8·2.63 BetTom13/8·2.63 BetWright13/8·2.63 7Bet13/8·2.63 Dragon Bet13/8·2.63 Ladbrokes13/8·2.63 Bet Victor13/8·2.63 10 Bet13/8·2.63 Betano13/8·2.63 Quinn Bet13/8·2.63 Bet36513/8·2.63 Coral13/8·2.63 Betfair Exchange2.54·2.54 Unibet6/4·2.50 Spreadex6/4·2.50 PricedUp Bet6/4·2.50 Star Sports6/4·2.50 LiveScore Bet6/4·2.50Virgin Bet6/4·2.50Midnite6/4·2.50 SportingIndex6/4·2.50 SmarketsSBK6/4·2.50 William Hill6/4·2.50
5	The Sweet Escape J: Laura Pearson · T: David Loughnane · draw 2 · combo 2/28 (7%) 4yo · G · btDGoing 2/2Only rideOnly runner	446112	9-05	70	—	—	51.7	5/2·3.49	12/5·3.40 SmarketsSBK · -3% vs fair All 30 books ▾ SmarketsSBK12/5·3.40 Betfair Exchange3.4·3.40 Spreadex9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25 PricedUp Bet9/4·3.25 Bet3652/1·3.00 William Hill2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 BresBet2/1·3.00BestOdds2/1·3.007Bet2/1·3.00 Midnite2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00Octobet2/1·3.00Betfred2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 BetTom2/1·3.00 Bet Victor2/1·3.00 10 Bet2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00talkSPORT BET2/1·3.00 BetWright2/1·3.00 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00 Betano2/1·3.00 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00 CopyBet2/1·3.00 BetAhoy2/1·3.00
3	Sir Edward Lear J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: James Owen · draw 6 · combo 6/32 (19%) 5yo · G · bv	13054	9-07	72	—	—	46.0	13/2·7.57	6.8·6.80 Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.8·6.80 Coral11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 BetAhoy11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50Octobet11/2·6.50SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 PricedUp Bet11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 CopyBet11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 BresBet11/2·6.50BestOdds11/2·6.507Bet11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50
2	Mr Ubiquitous J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Harry Eustace · draw 8 · combo 5/27 (19%) 4yo · G · b	91505	9-08	73	—	—	40.3	11/1·11.65	11/1·12.00 SmarketsSBK · +3% vs fair All 30 books ▾ SmarketsSBK11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange12·12.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 Star Sports9/1·10.00 William Hill9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 talkSPORT BET9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 Unibet9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 BetAhoy17/2·9.50 CopyBet17/2·9.50 7Bet17/2·9.50 PricedUp Bet17/2·9.50 BresBet17/2·9.50BestOdds17/2·9.50Virgin Bet17/2·9.50BetWright17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50Octobet17/2·9.50
6	Special Ghaiyyath J: Rose Dawes(5) · T: P Charalambous & J Clutterbuck · draw 1 4yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	368974	9-02	67	—	—	37.1	25/1·26.79	33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK · +27% vs fair All 30 books ▾ SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange34·34.00Octobet25/1·26.00SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 CopyBet22/1·23.00 BetAhoy22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 talkSPORT BET22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 PricedUp Bet22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00BestOdds22/1·23.00Star Sports22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 Bet36522/1·23.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00
4	Calyxoh J: Dylan Hogan · T: Patrick Morris · draw 5 4yo · G · bvClass dropOnly pairing	097304	9-07	72	—	—	36.4	11/1·11.65	11.5·11.50 Betfair Exchange All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50 SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00 Bet36510/1·11.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Boyle Sports9/1·10.00 Ladbrokes9/1·10.00 7Bet9/1·10.00 Coral9/1·10.00BestOdds9/1·10.00Star Sports9/1·10.00 SportingIndex9/1·10.00 talkSPORT BET9/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 BresBet9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 PricedUp Bet9/1·10.00 Spreadex9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00Octobet17/2·9.50William Hill17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 Unibet17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 CopyBet17/2·9.50 BetAhoy17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.0010 Bet8/1·9.00
7	Currumbin J: Harry Davies · T: Michael Keady · draw 4 5yo · G · bhOnly pairing	63046	8-11	62	—	—	36.3	40/1·39.60	35/1·36.00 7Bet · -9% vs fair All 30 books ▾ 7Bet35/1·36.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00 talkSPORT BET33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 BetAhoy33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00Octobet33/1·34.00Star Sports33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00BestOdds33/1·34.00Bet36533/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 CopyBet33/1·34.00 PricedUp Bet33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00Unibet28/1·29.00 LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Betfair Exchange27·27.00
8	Triggerman J: Finlay Bassett(7) · T: Patrick Morris · draw 7 5yo · G · bvOnly ride	39680	8-09	60	—	—	32.3	50/1·47.75	90/1·91.00 SmarketsSBK · +91% vs fair All 30 books ▾ SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 Betfair Exchange48·48.00 talkSPORT BET40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 10 Bet40/1·41.00 BetAhoy40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00Octobet40/1·41.00BresBet40/1·41.00BestOdds40/1·41.007Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 CopyBet40/1·41.00 PricedUp Bet40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet33/1·34.00Virgin Bet33/1·34.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 17% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Maritime Cargo Sts Freight Frenzy Handicap Stakes?

The Maritime Cargo Sts Freight Frenzy Handicap Stakes is off at 18:27 on 14 August 2026 at Newmarket (July) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:27 Newmarket (July)?

1m, Class 5, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:27 Newmarket (July)?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:27 Newmarket (July)?

The AI top-rated runner is Rising Force (score 56.0, best price 2.63). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:27 Newmarket (July)?

The market favourite is Rising Force at a best price of 2.63.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org