20:10 Newmarket (July)

Racing Welfare Apprentice Handicap Stakes

2m · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £5,234 · Friday, 14 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 7-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Laravie

No. 5 · score 51.3 · +0.2 clear of next best · best 6/1·7.00

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way51.3/100 rating

Laravie

7.00Bet365

Place portion settles at 2.20 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: An Bradan FeasaDiffers from our pick

An Bradan Feasa heads this seven-runner Newmarket staying contest on form and rates narrowly ahead of the dangers, with Rogue Empire the most obvious threat on a rating four pounds below, and Laravie and Tarbat Ness also capable of making their presence felt over the extended two miles on good-to-firm ground. The selection may need to produce a tidy performance to see off those challengers, but the edge in quality looks genuine enough to count on this evidence. An Bradan Feasa is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Laravie

Mason Paetel · James Owen · 7yo

Top-rated of 6

score 51.3 · +0.2 clear of next best (51.1)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
70strong
13d since last run (quick turnaround)
Form20% weight
68strong
Last 6: 1-1-2-2-4-3
Ratings50% weight
45below average
OR 68
Trainer20% weight
40below average
James Owen: 7/45 winners last 14d (16%)

MarketBest price 7.00 (Bet365) · 3rd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
6Free World
Prominent(1)
7The Craftymaster
Mid-division(1)
Rogue Empire
Hold-up / closers(1)
5Laravie
Unknown(3)
2Tarbat Ness 3An Bradan Feasa 4Mio Amico

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
5	LaraviePick J: Mason Paetel · T: James Owen · draw 6 · combo 6/32 (19%) 7yo · M · bv	112243	9-07	68	—	—	51.3	13/2·7.34	6/1·7.00 Bet365 · -5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Bet3656/1·7.00 PricedUp Bet6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00 William Hill11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 BetAhoy11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50Octobet11/2·6.50BresBet11/2·6.50BestOdds11/2·6.507Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 SmarketsSBK11/2·6.50 CopyBet5/1·6.00 LiveScore Bet9/2·5.50 10 Bet9/2·5.50Virgin Bet9/2·5.50Midnite9/2·5.50
3	An Bradan Feasa J: Jake Dickson(5) · T: Jack Jones · draw 4 6yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	41222	9-12	73	—	—	51.1	5/2·3.39	9/4·3.25 Bet365 · -4% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Bet3659/4·3.25 Betfair Exchange3.05·3.05 BresBet2/1·3.00 Betfred2/1·3.00 Bet Victor2/1·3.00 Ladbrokes2/1·3.00 Unibet2/1·3.00 talkSPORT BET2/1·3.00BestOdds2/1·3.00Betano2/1·3.00 William Hill2/1·3.00 Coral2/1·3.00 Boyle Sports2/1·3.00 BetWright2/1·3.00 PricedUp Bet2/1·3.00 Spreadex2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 SmarketsSBK2/1·3.00 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00 CopyBet2/1·3.00 7Bet2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00 SportingIndex2/1·3.00Virgin Bet15/8·2.88LiveScore Bet15/8·2.88 BetAhoy15/8·2.88Octobet15/8·2.88BetTom15/8·2.88 10 Bet15/8·2.88 Midnite15/8·2.88
7	The Craftymaster J: Myla Coppins(5) · T: Tony Carroll · draw 1 · combo 10/50 (20%) 6yo · G · chtDGoing 1/2Only ride	465121	8-10	57	—	—	49.4	13/2·7.34	6/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK · -5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 Betfair Exchange7·7.00 BresBet11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50BestOdds11/2·6.507Bet11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 PricedUp Bet11/2·6.50 BetAhoy11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50Octobet11/2·6.50Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 CopyBet11/2·6.50
—	Rogue Empire J: Owen Lewis(5) · T: Roger Teal · draw 3 · combo 2/19 (11%) 4yo · G · bClass dropDOnly rideOnly runner	31119	9-12	73	—	—	47.5	—	—
2	Tarbat Ness J: Luke Catton · T: John Berry · draw 7 7yo · G · brbClass dropOnly rideOnly runner	645310	9-12	73	—	—	43.3	18/1·19.20	17.5·17.50 Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange17.5·17.50 PricedUp Bet16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 CopyBet16/1·17.00BestOdds16/1·17.00BetAhoy16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00Octobet16/1·17.00BresBet16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.007Bet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Unibet14/1·15.00
6	Free World J: Ryan Kavanagh · T: Ian Williams · draw 5 · combo 7/41 (17%) 5yo · G · chOn last winning markDGoing 1/4	90941	9-04	60	—	—	41.9	15/8·2.82	2.8·2.80 Betfair Exchange All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange2.8·2.80 Spreadex13/8·2.63 SportingIndex13/8·2.63 William Hill13/8·2.63 Unibet13/8·2.63 SmarketsSBK13/8·2.62 Betano6/4·2.50 Dragon Bet6/4·2.50Octobet6/4·2.50Ladbrokes6/4·2.50 BetAhoy6/4·2.50BestOdds6/4·2.50BresBet6/4·2.50 7Bet6/4·2.50 Betfred6/4·2.50 Boyle Sports6/4·2.50 10 Bet6/4·2.50 CopyBet6/4·2.50 Star Sports6/4·2.50 Midnite6/4·2.50 Quinn Bet6/4·2.50 talkSPORT BET6/4·2.50 BetWright6/4·2.50 LiveScore Bet6/4·2.50 Bet3656/4·2.50 Coral6/4·2.50 BetTom6/4·2.50 Bet Victor6/4·2.50Virgin Bet6/4·2.50PricedUp Bet11/8·2.38
4	Mio Amico J: Alfie Redman(7) · T: Michael Keady · draw 2 4yo · G · bOnly pairing	131256	9-07	68	—	—	39.7	40/1·38.39	50/1·51.00 SmarketsSBK · +33% vs fair All 30 books ▾ SmarketsSBK50/1·51.00 Betfair Exchange50·50.00 7Bet35/1·36.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 talkSPORT BET33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00Octobet33/1·34.00BresBet33/1·34.00 PricedUp Bet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 CopyBet33/1·34.00 BetAhoy33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 10 Bet33/1·34.00BestOdds33/1·34.00Star Sports33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 Betfred28/1·29.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 13% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Racing Welfare Apprentice Handicap Stakes?

The Racing Welfare Apprentice Handicap Stakes is off at 20:10 on 14 August 2026 at Newmarket (July) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 20:10 Newmarket (July)?

2m, Class 5, Flat, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 20:10 Newmarket (July)?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:10 Newmarket (July)?

The AI top-rated runner is Laravie (score 51.3, best price 7.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 20:10 Newmarket (July)?

The market favourite is Free World at a best price of 2.80. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Laravie.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org