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RacingAlpha

18:08 Thirsk

Jw 4x4 Northallerton Irish EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good · 5 runners · £6,804 · Friday, 14 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 1/5F·1.20
  1. 1st
    National Honour (IRE)AI top pick · 45.6
    James Doyle·Charlie Appleby
    1/5F·1.20
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Gold Key (IRE)
    Tom Eaves·Kevin Ryan·beaten 0.3 lengths
    20/1·21.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Work Like Hell (GB)
    Daniel Tudhope·James Tate·beaten 5 lengths
    9/2·5.50
    SP
Race time
1m 26.70s

Race time recorded.

In-running (National Honour (IRE))

“Handy on the outside in second - asked for effort 3f out without gaining ground - driven approaching final furlong and made up ground - hit the front inside the last 110 yards and won comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.20 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

National Honour

James Doyle · Charlie Appleby · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 45.6 · +15.5 clear of next best (30.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    100very strong
    Charlie Appleby: 10/24 winners last 14d (42%)
  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketNo market price available yet.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Thirsk 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–2)
IV 0.82
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.04
High (5–6)
IV 1.16

Today: Work Like Hell (draw 6) and Gold Key (draw 5) get the bias; Varzi (draw 2) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: James Doyle · T: Charlie Appleby · draw 4
2yo · C · b
2
—45.6
1/5F·1.20
SP
22
J: Tom Eaves · T: Kevin Ryan · draw 5
2yo · C · ch
9
—14.2
20/1·21.00
SP
35
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: James Tate · draw 6
2yo · C · b
——27.5
9/2·5.50
SP
41
J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 3
2yo · G · gr
3
—22.5
33/1·34.00
SP
56
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Michael Dods · draw 1
2yo · F · b
——18.0
33/1·34.00
SP
——
J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke · draw 2
2yo · C · bt
2
—30.1—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 18:08 Thirsk on 14 August 2026?

National Honour (IRE) won the 18:08 Thirsk at SP 1.20. Ridden by James Doyle. Trained by Charlie Appleby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 18:08 Thirsk?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, National Honour, won the race (AI score 45.6).

What were the placings in the 18:08 Thirsk?

Top finishers: 1. National Honour (IRE) (1.20), 2. Gold Key (IRE) (21.00), 3. Work Like Hell (GB) (5.50).

What was the winning time for the 18:08 Thirsk?

The winning time was 1m 26.70s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org