18:43 Thirsk

Heineken 0% Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 9 runners · £5,234 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Moulin Booj

No. 1 · score 56.6 · +3.4 clear of next best · best 5/2·3.40

Drawn 9, inside the favoured high third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Winchurch

25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK · +18% vs fair (consensus 22.13)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way53.3/100 rating

Accrual

4.70Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Emerald HarmonyDiffers from our pick

Emerald Harmony is level on our ratings with Moulin Booj, and a fitness edge combined with a progressive profile tips the balance in her favour over the joint top-rated rival in what is an evenly matched sprint at Thirsk. Moulin Booj represents the most obvious threat and cannot be discounted, while Managing Director and Accrual, each two pounds below the joint leaders, are capable of making this competitive on good ground over five furlongs. This is a close call and punters should be aware confidence is not high, but the progressive profile of Emerald Harmony is the deciding factor, and she is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Moulin Booj

Daniel Tudhope · George Scott · 6yo

Top-rated of 9

score 56.6 · +3.4 clear of next best (53.3)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Form20% weight
71strong
Last 6: 6-3-2-5-2-1
Freshness10% weight
70strong
3d since last run (quick turnaround)
Ratings50% weight
54average
OR 81 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
43below average
George Scott: 2/12 winners last 14d (17%)

MarketBest price 3.40 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: 4 confirmed front-runners — expect a pace duel; closers from the rear advantaged.

Front-runners(4)
2Accrual 5Rock Of England 8Managing Director 9Our Absent Friends
Prominent(3)
3Emerald Harmony 4Winchurch 7Hover On The Wind
Mid-division(1)
6Equity Law
Hold-up / closers(1)
1Moulin Booj

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Thirsk 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.22).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.73

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.08

High (7–9)

IV 1.22

Today: Moulin Booj (draw 9) and Accrual (draw 7) get the bias; Rock Of England (draw 1) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 163 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Moulin BoojPick J: Daniel Tudhope · T: George Scott · draw 9 · combo 2/5 (40%) 6yo · G · bOn last winning markDOnly runner	632521	10-01	81	—	—	56.6	11/4·3.78	3.4·3.40 Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.4·3.40Octobet9/4·3.25Quinn Bet9/4·3.25 10 Bet9/4·3.25 Midnite9/4·3.25 SportingIndex9/4·3.25 7Bet9/4·3.25 Star Sports9/4·3.25 Spreadex9/4·3.25BestOdds9/4·3.25BresBet9/4·3.25 SmarketsSBK9/4·3.25 Coral9/4·3.25 Boyle Sports9/4·3.25 Ladbrokes9/4·3.25 Unibet9/4·3.25 BetTom9/4·3.25 Bet Victor9/4·3.25 BetWright9/4·3.25 Betano9/4·3.25 Dragon Bet9/4·3.25 CopyBet9/4·3.25 PricedUp Bet9/4·3.25 BetAhoy9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25 William Hill9/4·3.25 talkSPORT BET9/4·3.25Virgin Bet2/1·3.00Betfred2/1·3.00 LiveScore Bet2/1·3.00
2	Accrual J: William Pyle · T: Ruth Carr · draw 7 · combo 1/13 (8%) 5yo · G · bC&DOnly pairing	U53051	9-08	79	—	—	53.3	4/1·5.24	4.7·4.70 Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange4.7·4.70 William Hill7/2·4.50 talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50 7Bet7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50Octobet7/2·4.50BresBet7/2·4.50BestOdds7/2·4.50LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes7/2·4.50 Unibet7/2·4.50 BetTom7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 10 Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50Star Sports7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 SmarketsSBK7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 BetAhoy7/2·4.50 CopyBet7/2·4.50 Bet36510/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 PricedUp Bet10/3·4.33
4	Winchurch J: Tom Eaves · T: Michael Appleby · draw 5 4yo · G · bD	161410	9-07	78	—	—	49.2	22/1·22.13	25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK · +18% vs fair All 30 books ▾ SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange26·26.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 talkSPORT BET18/1·19.00 BetWright18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00Octobet18/1·19.00BresBet18/1·19.00BestOdds18/1·19.007Bet18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet18/1·19.00 CopyBet18/1·19.00 PricedUp Bet18/1·19.00 BetAhoy18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00
6	Equity Law J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 · combo 19/186 (10%) 5yo · G · bpDGoing 1/2	336021	9-04	75	—	—	48.7	12/1·13.97	12.5·12.50 Betfair Exchange · -10% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange12.5·12.50 BetTom11/1·12.00BestOdds11/1·12.007Bet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Betano11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 Bet36511/1·12.00 William Hill11/1·12.00 Coral11/1·12.00 CopyBet11/1·12.00 PricedUp Bet11/1·12.00 BetAhoy11/1·12.00Octobet11/1·12.00BresBet11/1·12.00 Betfred11/1·12.00 Boyle Sports11/1·12.00 Ladbrokes11/1·12.00 Unibet11/1·12.00 Bet Victor11/1·12.00 10 Bet11/1·12.00 talkSPORT BET11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 Quinn Bet11/1·12.00 SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00 LiveScore Bet10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00Virgin Bet10/1·11.00SmarketsSBK10/1·11.00
5	Rock Of England J: Luke Morris · T: Paul Midgley · draw 1 6yo · G · chDGoing 1/3Only pairing	131214	9-05	76	—	—	47.6	14/1·15.14	15.5·15.50 Betfair Exchange · +2% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50Virgin Bet14/1·15.00LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 PricedUp Bet14/1·15.00 SmarketsSBK14/1·15.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 BetAhoy12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00Octobet12/1·13.00BestOdds12/1·13.007Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 CopyBet12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 Betfred11/1·12.00
3	Emerald Harmony J: David Nolan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 3 · combo 4/42 (10%) 5yo · M · bC&DGoing 1/2Only ride	031236	9-07	78	—	—	47.0	13/2·7.57	7.2·7.20 Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.2·7.20 SmarketsSBK6/1·7.00 PricedUp Bet11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 BetAhoy11/2·6.50BestOdds11/2·6.507Bet11/2·6.50 Star Sports11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 Bet36511/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 CopyBet11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50Octobet11/2·6.50BresBet11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50 10 Bet11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50Virgin Bet5/1·6.00LiveScore Bet5/1·6.00
7	Hover On The Wind J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Paul Midgley · draw 6 · combo 0/12 (0%) 6yo · G · bClass dropDGoing 2/3Only pairing	045117	9-04	75	—	—	46.1	28/1·30.28	27·27.00 Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange27·27.00 CopyBet25/1·26.00 PricedUp Bet25/1·26.00 BetAhoy25/1·26.00 Boyle Sports25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 William Hill25/1·26.00 Coral25/1·26.00 Betfred25/1·26.00 BetTom25/1·26.00BestOdds25/1·26.007Bet25/1·26.00 Dragon Bet25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 Star Sports25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 Quinn Bet25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Ladbrokes25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Bet Victor25/1·26.00 10 Bet25/1·26.00 talkSPORT BET25/1·26.00 BetWright25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00Octobet25/1·26.00BresBet25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00
8	Managing Director J: P J McDonald · T: Geoff Oldroyd · draw 2 · combo 1/13 (8%) 4yo · G · chOnly runner	01853	9-02	73	—	—	43.0	5/1·5.82	6·6.00 Betfair Exchange · +3% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6·6.00 SmarketsSBK9/2·5.50 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00BestOdds4/1·5.00William Hill4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 LiveScore Bet4/1·5.00 Bet3654/1·5.00 CopyBet4/1·5.00 PricedUp Bet4/1·5.00 BetAhoy4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00Octobet4/1·5.00SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Coral4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00
9	Our Absent Friends J: Shane Gray · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 4 8yo · G · chDOnly runner	063791	8-12	69	—	—	40.2	40/1·39.59	35/1·36.00 7Bet · -9% vs fair All 30 books ▾ 7Bet35/1·36.00 Bet36533/1·34.00 Dragon Bet33/1·34.00 BetAhoy33/1·34.00 CopyBet33/1·34.00BestOdds33/1·34.0010 Bet33/1·34.00 talkSPORT BET33/1·34.00 BetWright33/1·34.00 Betano33/1·34.00 PricedUp Bet33/1·34.00 William Hill33/1·34.00 Spreadex33/1·34.00 Midnite33/1·34.00Octobet33/1·34.00Star Sports33/1·34.00 Coral33/1·34.00 Betfred33/1·34.00 Boyle Sports33/1·34.00 Ladbrokes33/1·34.00 Unibet33/1·34.00 BetTom33/1·34.00 Bet Victor33/1·34.00 BresBet33/1·34.00 SportingIndex33/1·34.00 Quinn Bet33/1·34.00 SmarketsSBK30/1·31.00Virgin Bet28/1·29.00LiveScore Bet28/1·29.00 Betfair Exchange22·22.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 17% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Heineken 0% Handicap Stakes?

The Heineken 0% Handicap Stakes is off at 18:43 on 14 August 2026 at Thirsk (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:43 Thirsk?

5f, Class 4, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:43 Thirsk?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:43 Thirsk?

The AI top-rated runner is Moulin Booj (score 56.6, best price 3.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:43 Thirsk?

The market favourite is Moulin Booj at a best price of 3.40.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org