19:18 Thirsk

Andrew Seaton Celebration Cup Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Good · 8 runners · £5,234 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (8 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Return Of The Gods

No. 2 · score 64.9 · +2.9 clear of next best · best 11/8·2.34

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way62.0/100 rating

Raging Raj

7.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: Return Of The GodsAgrees with our pick

Return Of The Gods arrives at Thirsk narrowly behind the two top-rated runners on paper but the progressive profile and fitness edge tip the balance in his favour, making him the most compelling proposition in this Class 4 seven-furlong contest on good ground. Substance and Zarvali, both rated a pound ahead, are the obvious dangers, with Shadow Run also worth keeping onside at a pound further back, yet neither of the top pair can match the upward trajectory that makes our selection so appealing at this stage of the campaign. Return Of The Gods is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Return Of The Gods

Daniel Tudhope · Edward Bethell · 3yo

Top-rated of 8

score 64.9 · +2.9 clear of next best (62.0)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
20d since last run (race-fit window)
Trainer20% weight
78strong
Edward Bethell: 8/26 winners last 14d (31%)
Form20% weight
65strong
Last 6: 1-8-2-1-4
Ratings50% weight
53average
OR 79

MarketBest price 2.34 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
5Raging Raj
Prominent(1)
8Indefensible
Mid-division(1)
4Substance
Hold-up / closers(2)
3Zarvali 6Shadow Run
Unknown(3)
1Enchant 2Return Of The Gods 7Derrygarran Lad

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Thirsk 7f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–3)

IV 0.82

Mid (4–6)

IV 1.04

High (7–8)

IV 1.16

Today: Raging Raj (draw 7) and Enchant (draw 8) get the bias; Indefensible (draw 3) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 129 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	Return Of The GodsPick J: Daniel Tudhope · T: Edward Bethell · draw 5 · combo 6/23 (26%) 3yo · C · bDOnly runner	18214	9-08	79	—	—	64.9	11/8·2.39	2.34·2.34 Betfair Exchange · -2% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange2.34·2.34 BetTom5/4·2.25Octobet5/4·2.25SmarketsSBK5/4·2.25 BetAhoy5/4·2.25 Unibet6/5·2.20 PricedUp Bet6/5·2.20 BetWright6/5·2.20 Betano11/10·2.10BestOdds11/10·2.10SportingIndex11/10·2.10 Bet Victor11/10·2.10 Spreadex11/10·2.10 Bet36511/10·2.10 talkSPORT BET11/10·2.10 William Hillevn·2.00 Coralevn·2.00 Betfredevn·2.00 Boyle Sportsevn·2.00 Ladbrokesevn·2.00 BresBetevn·2.00 7Betevn·2.00 Star Sportsevn·2.00 Midniteevn·2.00 Quinn BetEvens·2.00 10 Betevn·2.00 Dragon Betevn·2.00 CopyBetEvens·2.00Virgin Bet10/11·1.91LiveScore Bet10/11·1.91
5	Raging Raj J: Tom Eaves · T: Michael Herrington · draw 7 3yo · G · chDOnly runner	76315	9-04	75	—	—	62.0	15/2·8.74	7.8·7.80 Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange7.8·7.80 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 10 Bet13/2·7.50 talkSPORT BET13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 William Hill13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Bet36513/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 PricedUp Bet13/2·7.50 BetAhoy13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 BresBet13/2·7.50Octobet13/2·7.50Coral13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50BestOdds13/2·7.507Bet13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 CopyBet6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Star Sports6/1·7.00 Unibet6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00
7	Derrygarran Lad J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 4 · combo 5/63 (8%) 3yo · G · bpFT POnly ride	322	9-00	71	—	—	52.2	14/1·15.15	14/1·15.00 Betfred All 30 books ▾ Betfred14/1·15.00 William Hill14/1·15.00 Coral14/1·15.00 Ladbrokes14/1·15.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 7Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 PricedUp Bet12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 10 Bet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet12/1·13.00talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 LiveScore Bet12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 CopyBet12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00BestOdds12/1·13.00Betfair Exchange13·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 SmarketsSBK12/1·13.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 BetWright11/1·12.00 BetTom9/1·10.00 BetAhoy9/1·10.00Octobet9/1·10.00
1	Enchant J: James Doyle · T: K. R. Burke · draw 8 · combo 4/15 (27%) 3yo · F · bClass dropOnly pairing	16	9-10	81	—	—	50.8	5/1·5.83	5.4·5.40 Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.4·5.40 Coral4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 SportingIndex4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 7Bet4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 William Hill4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 PricedUp Bet4/1·5.00 BetAhoy4/1·5.00 Spreadex4/1·5.00Octobet4/1·5.00BresBet4/1·5.00BestOdds4/1·5.00Bet3654/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 BetTom4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 CopyBet3.75/1·4.75 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50
8	Indefensible J: Harry Russell · T: Ollie Pears · draw 3 · combo 2/28 (7%) 3yo · G · b1lb below win markDOnly rideOnly runner	725331	9-00	71	—	—	47.0	22/1·24.48	22/1·23.00 William Hill · -6% vs fair All 30 books ▾ William Hill22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 BresBet20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 talkSPORT BET20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00Coral20/1·21.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 CopyBet20/1·21.00 PricedUp Bet20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00BestOdds20/1·21.007Bet20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Bet36520/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Betfair Exchange20·20.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 BetAhoy14/1·15.00Octobet14/1·15.00BetTom14/1·15.00
4	Substance J: Jack Garritty · T: Mark Walford · draw 1 · combo 4/26 (15%) 3yo · C · btOnly runner	64103	9-05	76	—	—	46.8	25/1·26.81	25/1·26.00 Bet Victor · -3% vs fair All 30 books ▾ Bet Victor25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 talkSPORT BET25/1·26.00 Betano25/1·26.00 PricedUp Bet25/1·26.00 Betfair Exchange25·25.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Unibet22/1·23.00BestOdds22/1·23.0010 Bet22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 BetAhoy22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00Octobet22/1·23.00BresBet22/1·23.00 Star Sports22/1·23.00 Midnite22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 CopyBet20/1·21.00 7Bet20/1·21.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00
6	Shadow Run J: Luke Morris · T: Scott Dixon · draw 6 3yo · G · bpFT POnly runner	62402	9-01	72	—	—	44.9	18/1·19.82	18/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK · -4% vs fair All 30 books ▾ SmarketsSBK18/1·19.00 Betfair Exchange18.5·18.50 Betfred16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 10 Bet16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00BestOdds16/1·17.007Bet16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 CopyBet16/1·17.00 PricedUp Bet16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00BetWright14/1·15.00Octobet12/1·13.00BetAhoy12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00
3	Zarvali J: Oisin Orr · T: Roger Fell · draw 2 3yo · G · bOnly pairing	16370	9-07	78	—	—	41.6	9/1·9.91	8/1·9.00 SmarketsSBK · -9% vs fair All 30 books ▾ SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00 10 Bet15/2·8.50 Coral15/2·8.50 Betfred15/2·8.50 PricedUp Bet15/2·8.50 Ladbrokes15/2·8.50 CopyBet15/2·8.50 Spreadex15/2·8.50 SportingIndex15/2·8.50 talkSPORT BET15/2·8.50 BetWright15/2·8.50 Betano15/2·8.50 Dragon Bet15/2·8.50 Bet36515/2·8.50 William Hill15/2·8.50 Bet Victor15/2·8.50 BresBet15/2·8.50BestOdds15/2·8.507Bet15/2·8.50 Star Sports15/2·8.50 Quinn Bet15/2·8.50 BetAhoy7/1·8.00Octobet7/1·8.00Unibet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00Virgin Bet13/2·7.50LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 17% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Andrew Seaton Celebration Cup Handicap Stakes?

The Andrew Seaton Celebration Cup Handicap Stakes is off at 19:18 on 14 August 2026 at Thirsk (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:18 Thirsk?

7f, Class 4, Flat, 8 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:18 Thirsk?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:18 Thirsk?

The AI top-rated runner is Return Of The Gods (score 64.9, best price 2.34). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:18 Thirsk?

The market favourite is Return Of The Gods at a best price of 2.34.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org