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20:20 Thirsk

Birra Moretti Handicap Stakes

1m4f · Flat · Class 6 · Good · 3 runners · £3,140 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 48.9 · +9.5 clear of next best · best 4/11·1.37
Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: HalimedeAgrees with our pick

Halimede holds a fitness edge over his rivals here and his progressive profile suggests there is more to come, making him a compelling proposition over this twelve-furlong trip at Thirsk despite sitting six pounds below the top-rated Prince Achille on paper. Prince Achille is the chief danger on ratings alone, though any signs of rustiness could leave the door ajar, while Recobella fills the third spot in the reckoning and should not be entirely dismissed. The vote goes to Halimede.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Halimede

Luke Morris · Sir Mark Prescott Bt · 3yo

Top-rated of 3
score 48.9 · +9.5 clear of next best (39.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    6d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    64average
    Last 6: 9-8-8-1-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    48below average
    Sir Mark Prescott Bt: 5/27 winners last 14d (19%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    39below average
    OR 59
MarketBest price 1.37 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Thirsk 1m4f

full course data →

Sample too small to call at this course and trip.

Low (1–1)
IV 0.71
Mid (2–2)
IV 1.49
High (3–3)
IV 0.87

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 35 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

No.HorseFormORAIBestAdd to betslip
2
J: Luke Morris · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 3 · combo 12/64 (19%)
3yo · F · bOn last winning markDOnly runner
98811
5948.91.37·1.37
Betfair Exchange
All 30 books ▾
3
5yo · M · chGoing 1/2Only runner
352512
5639.410/3·4.33
Quinn Bet
All 30 books ▾
1
J: Jack Garritty · T: Jedd O'Keeffe · draw 1 · combo 1/11 (9%)
7yo · G · bOnly runner
44578
6231.616/1·17.00
Boyle Sports
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Birra Moretti Handicap Stakes?

The Birra Moretti Handicap Stakes is off at 20:20 on 14 August 2026 at Thirsk (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 20:20 Thirsk?

1m4f, Class 6, Flat, 3 runners declared.

What is the going for the 20:20 Thirsk?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 20:20 Thirsk?

The AI top-rated runner is Halimede (score 48.9, best price 1.37). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 20:20 Thirsk?

The market favourite is Halimede at a best price of 1.37.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org