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14:38 Yarmouth

Off in 1h 28m

British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £7,020 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 2 · score 29.5 · +3.5 clear of next best · best 5/1·6.00
Best value vs consensus
22·22.00 Betfair Exchange · +14% vs fair (consensus 19.29)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Junior Again

Jamie Spencer · George Boughey · 2yo

Top-rated of 6
score 29.5 · +3.5 clear of next best (26.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Trainer20% weight
    73strong
    George Boughey: 6/21 winners last 14d (29%)
  • Form20% weight
    50average
    Last 6: first run
  • Freshness10% weight
    50average
    no recent-run data
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 6.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.08
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.02
High (5–6)
IV 0.89

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 189 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
2
J: Jamie Spencer · T: George Boughey · draw 4
2yo · C · bOnly runner
29.59/2·5.676·6.00
Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
7
J: Jack Mitchell · T: Saeed bin Suroor · draw 5
2yo · C · grOnly runner
4
26.07/1·7.948.4·8.40
Betfair Exchange · +6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
4
J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: Marco Botti · draw 6 · combo 0/7 (0%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
65
25.316/1·17.0217.5·17.50
Betfair Exchange · +3% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
6
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 1 · combo 21/94 (22%)
2yo · C · b
24.54/5·1.781.63·1.63
Betfair Exchange · -8% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
5
J: Darragh Keenan · T: George Scott · draw 2 · combo 5/41 (12%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
6
21.518/1·19.2922·22.00
Betfair Exchange · +14% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
1
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: John Ryan · draw 3
2yo · C · bOnly pairing
15.040/1·38.5850/1·51.00
SmarketsSBK · +32% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
Majestic JudeNon-runner
J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 7
2yo · C · b
5
Withdrawn

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 30 bookmakers per horse with the 14% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race)?

The British Stallion Studs EBF Novice Stakes (GBB Race) is off at 14:38 on 14 August 2026 at Yarmouth (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 14:38 Yarmouth?

7f, Class 3, Flat, 6 runners declared.

What is the going for the 14:38 Yarmouth?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 14:38 Yarmouth?

The AI top-rated runner is Junior Again (score 29.5, best price 6.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 14:38 Yarmouth?

The market favourite is Rock Montreal at a best price of 1.63. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Junior Again.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org