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15:13 Yarmouth

Download The QuinnBet App Handicap Stakes

1m3½f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 4 runners · £4,397 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 53.2 · +3.2 clear of next best · best 5/4·2.25

Drawn 1, inside the favoured low third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Arcturus FlameAgrees with our pick

Arcturus Flame heads this small Yarmouth field on good-to-firm ground over a mile and a half and is narrowly ahead of Zachary Hickes on our assessment, with Divot and Good Onya Mate a further step below. Zachary Hickes represents the principal threat and cannot be dismissed, but the selection's edge in quality should tell over this stamina-testing trip on a surface that ought to suit a horse of his calibre. The others are up against it on these figures. Arcturus Flame is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Arcturus Flame

Cieren Fallon · James Owen · 4yo

Top-rated of 4
score 53.2 · +3.2 clear of next best (50.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    28d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    51average
    Last 6: 3-5-3-2-5
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    40below average
    James Owen: 7/45 winners last 14d (16%)
MarketBest price 2.25 (Coral) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Yarmouth 1m3½f

full course data →

Moderate: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.18).

Low (1–2)
IV 1.18
Mid (3–3)
IV 1.09
High (4–4)
IV 0.72

Today: Arcturus Flame (draw 1) and Divot (draw 2) get the bias; Good Onya Mate (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 100 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

No.HorseFormORAIBestAdd to betslip
1
J: Cieren Fallon · T: James Owen · draw 1 · combo 7/40 (18%)
4yo · G · btpClass drop
35325
7553.25/4·2.25
Coral
All 30 books ▾
2
J: Ray Dawson · T: Roger Varian · draw 3 · combo 21/94 (22%)
4yo · G · chClass drop
464
7450.03.2·3.20
Betfair Exchange
All 30 books ▾
4
J: Jamie Spencer · T: William Knight · draw 2
4yo · G · bCGoing 2/2Only runner
235711
6548.55.7·5.70
Betfair Exchange
All 30 books ▾
3
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Michael Bell · draw 4
4yo · G · bOnly runner
59020
6737.611·11.00
Betfair Exchange
All 30 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Download The QuinnBet App Handicap Stakes?

The Download The QuinnBet App Handicap Stakes is off at 15:13 on 14 August 2026 at Yarmouth (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 15:13 Yarmouth?

1m3½f, Class 5, Flat, 4 runners declared.

What is the going for the 15:13 Yarmouth?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 15:13 Yarmouth?

The AI top-rated runner is Arcturus Flame (score 53.2, best price 2.25). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 15:13 Yarmouth?

The market favourite is Arcturus Flame at a best price of 2.25.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org