18:00 Kempton (AW)

Unibet/Breeders Backing Racing EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)

1m4f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard To Slow · 5 runners · £6,480 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 5-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated

Manaar · No. 2 · best 8/15·1.55 Betfair Exchange

Highest AI score (63.9) in the field, 11.6 clear of the next best. Best price is currently 12% below the market's fair price — no value at the current quote. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Racing Alpha pick

Manaar

Cieren Fallon · William Haggas · 3yo

63.9/100

+11.6 vs next best (52.3)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
25d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
85very strong
Last 6: 1-2
Ratings50% weight
59average
OR 88 — highest combined rating in the field
Trainer20% weight
38below average
William Haggas: 8/53 winners last 14d (15%)

MarketBest price 1.55 (Betfair Exchange) — market favourite. AI agrees with the market.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Front-runners(1)
2Manaar
Prominent(1)
4Ladykirk
Mid-division(1)
3Arrivera
Hold-up / closers(1)
5Lunella
Unknown(1)
1It Would Be You

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 1m4f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–2)

IV 0.99

Mid (3–4)

IV 1.21

High (5–5)

IV 0.83

Today: Lunella (draw 3) and It Would Be You (draw 4) get the bias; Manaar (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 242 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	ManaarPick J: Cieren Fallon · T: William Haggas · draw 5 · combo 13/60 (22%) 3yo · F · bClass dropOnly runner	12	9-09	88	—	—	63.9	8/11·1.76	1.55·1.55 Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange1.55·1.55 Bet3658/15·1.53 BetAhoy1/2·1.50 Spreadex1/2·1.50Octobet1/2·1.50BresBet1/2·1.50BestOdds1/2·1.507Bet1/2·1.50 SportingIndex1/2·1.50 Quinn Bet1/2·1.50 SmarketsSBK0.5·1.50 William Hill1/2·1.50 Coral1/2·1.50 Betfred1/2·1.50 Boyle Sports1/2·1.50 Ladbrokes1/2·1.50 Unibet1/2·1.50 BetTom1/2·1.50 Bet Victor1/2·1.50Virgin Bet1/2·1.50talkSPORT BET1/2·1.50 BetWright1/2·1.50 LiveScore Bet1/2·1.50 Betano1/2·1.50 Midnite1/2·1.50 Dragon Bet1/2·1.50 CopyBet1/2·1.50 Star Sports4/9·1.44 PricedUp Bet4/9·1.44
4	Ladykirk J: Edward Greatrex · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 2 3yo · F · bOnly pairing	255	9-02	74	—	—	52.3	13/2·7.62	6·7.00 SmarketsSBK · -8% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK6·7.00 Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60 Bet36511/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Coral11/2·6.50 Betfred11/2·6.50 Boyle Sports11/2·6.50 Ladbrokes11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50 Bet Victor11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50BresBet11/2·6.50BestOdds11/2·6.507Bet11/2·6.50 Midnite11/2·6.50 SportingIndex11/2·6.50 Quinn Bet11/2·6.50 talkSPORT BET11/2·6.50 BetWright11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50 Betano11/2·6.50 Dragon Bet11/2·6.50 CopyBet11/2·6.50 BetAhoy11/2·6.50 Spreadex11/2·6.50Octobet11/2·6.50Star Sports5/1·6.00 PricedUp Bet5/1·6.00
5	Lunella J: Jack Mitchell · T: Ollie Sangster · draw 3 · combo 1/6 (17%) 3yo · F · bOnly runner	32	9-02	—	—	—	36.9	7/1·8.20	7/1·8.00 Bet365 · -2% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet3657/1·8.00 William Hill13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 Bet Victor13/2·7.50 Betano13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK6.5·7.50 talkSPORT BET13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 CopyBet6/1·7.00BestOdds6/1·7.007Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Midnite6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00BetWright6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 PricedUp Bet6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00 Unibet11/2·6.50 BetTom11/2·6.50Octobet11/2·6.50BetAhoy11/2·6.50
1	It Would Be You J: George Wood · T: Jennie Candlish · draw 4 · combo 2/21 (10%) 4yo · F · bOnly runner	—	9-12	—	—	—	36.5	14/1·14.06	14/1·15.00 Bet365 · +7% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet36514/1·15.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 SmarketsSBK12·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 BetTom11/1·12.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00BetWright11/1·12.00 LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 Dragon Bet11/1·12.00 CopyBet11/1·12.00 PricedUp Bet11/1·12.00 BetAhoy11/1·12.00Octobet11/1·12.00BresBet11/1·12.00BestOdds11/1·12.007Bet11/1·12.00 Star Sports11/1·12.00 Midnite11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange11.5·11.50 Unibet10/1·11.00
3	Arrivera J: David Egan · T: Tom Clover · draw 1 · combo 3/15 (20%) 3yo · F · bOnly runner	62	9-02	—	—	—	29.2	17/2·9.37	7/1·8.00 Bet365 · -15% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet3657/1·8.00 William Hill7/1·8.00Virgin Bet7/1·8.00talkSPORT BET7/1·8.00 BetWright7/1·8.00 SportingIndex7/1·8.00 Quinn Bet7/1·8.00 BetTom7/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 Coral7/1·8.00 Betfred7/1·8.00 Boyle Sports7/1·8.00 Ladbrokes7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 LiveScore Bet7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Dragon Bet7/1·8.00 BetAhoy7/1·8.00 Spreadex7/1·8.00Octobet7/1·8.00BresBet7/1·8.00BestOdds7/1·8.007Bet7/1·8.00 Midnite7/1·8.00 CopyBet13/2·7.50 PricedUp Bet13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 SmarketsSBK5.5·6.50 Betfair Exchange6.2·6.20

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 17% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Unibet/Breeders Backing Racing EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race)?

The Unibet/Breeders Backing Racing EBF Fillies' Novice Stakes (GBB/GBBPlus Race) is off at 18:00 on 12 August 2026 at Kempton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:00 Kempton (AW)?

1m4f, Class 3, Flat, 5 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:00 Kempton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard To Slow on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:00 Kempton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Manaar (score 63.9, best price 1.55). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:00 Kempton (AW)?

The market favourite is Manaar at a best price of 1.55.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org