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18:15 Tramore

Ireland

Majestic Hotel Maiden Hurdle

2m½f · Hurdle · Good · 11 runners · €7,200 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 13 · score 54.1 · +3.6 clear of next best · best 2/1·2.94
Best value vs consensus
25/1·26.00 SmarketsSBK · +23% vs fair (consensus 21.07)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way36.5/100 rating
World As One
5.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Simple Things

Peter Smithers(5) · J P Dempsey · 4yo

Top-rated of 11
score 54.1 · +3.6 clear of next best (50.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    16d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    71strong
    OR 107 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    42below average
    Last 6: 6-2-2-5-6
  • Trainer20% weight
    0small sample (n=3)
    J P Dempsey: 0/3 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 2.94 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
13
J: Peter Smithers(5) · T: J P Dempsey · draw 0
4yo · F · chOnly ride
62256
10754.15/2·3.412.94·2.94
Betfair Exchange · -14% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Eoin Staples(5) · T: Paul Nolan · draw 0
5yo · G · gtb
40U59
9450.425/1·26.0330/1·31.00
SmarketsSBK · +19% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Brian Hayes · T: W P Mullins · draw 0 · combo 7/30 (23%)
5yo · G · cht
2453
36.54/1·4.965·5.00
Betfair Exchange
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Ricky Doyle · T: Colin Bowe · draw 0 · combo 1/13 (8%)
5yo · G · b
2
34.114/1·14.8717·17.00
Betfair Exchange · +14% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Darragh O'Keeffe · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 0 · combo 20/86 (23%)
6yo · G · bh
842
26.62/1·3.102.68·2.68
Betfair Exchange · -13% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
5yo · G · bOnly runner
P3834
18.220/1·21.0725/1·26.00
SmarketsSBK · +23% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
12
J: Ethan O'Sullivan(7) · T: Peter Fahey · draw 0 · combo 0/6 (0%)
6yo · M · chhOnly rideOnly runner
43419
16.7150/1·156.17200/1·201.00
SmarketsSBK · +29% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Jack Gilligan(5) · T: Barry T Murphy · draw 0
5yo · G · btOnly rideOnly runner
P
16.5200/1·187.16200/1·201.00
SmarketsSBK · +7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
9
J: Daniel King · T: James M Barrett · draw 0
4yo · G · bOnly runner
97
12.4100/1·125.19200/1·201.00
SmarketsSBK · +61% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
10
J: Thomas O'Connor(7) · T: Mark Fahey · draw 0 · combo 3/10 (30%)
8yo · M · bOnly rideOnly runner
6P5P
8.7200/1·187.16200/1·201.00
SmarketsSBK · +7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
11
J: Brian Barry(7) · T: Miss Katy Brown · draw 0
6yo · M · bhOnly rideOnly runner
06
5.2250/1·249.13200/1·201.00
Betfred · -19% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
Seven TowersNon-runner
J: Keith Donoghue · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 0
5yo · G · b
63339
Withdrawn
Jack SprigginsNon-runner
J: Kevin Healy · T: Dermot P O'Brien · draw 0
5yo · G · b
Withdrawn

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 24% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Majestic Hotel Maiden Hurdle?

The Majestic Hotel Maiden Hurdle is off at 18:15 on 14 August 2026 at Tramore (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:15 Tramore?

2m½f, Hurdle, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:15 Tramore?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:15 Tramore?

The AI top-rated runner is Simple Things (score 54.1, best price 2.94). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:15 Tramore?

The market favourite is Chasing Blues at a best price of 2.68. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Simple Things.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org