Who won the 16:20 Newbury on 15 August 2026?
Explode (FR) won the 16:20 Newbury at SP 7.00. Ridden by William Buick. Trained by Faye Bramley.
16:20 Newbury
Swings & Smiles Supported By Ap&c Handicap Stakes (GBBPlus Race)
1m4f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £10,468 · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 5thRace report
- 1stExplode (FR)William Buick·Faye Bramley6/1·7.00SP
- 2ndMasterinthewoods (IRE)Marco Ghiani·Emma Lavelle·beaten 4.75 lengths11/8F·2.38SP
- 3rdGreat Bedwyn (GB)Seamus Cronin·Richard Hannon·beaten .75 lengths3/1·4.00SP
Race time
2m 34.23s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Explode (FR))
“Set the pace throughout - pushed on to open up a couple of furlongs from home - drew away in the closing stages to score easily”
AI top-rated Tryfan (score 66.1) finished 5th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Masterinthewoods
Masterinthewoods arrives here on a progressive profile that makes the six-pound gap to Great Bedwyn less daunting than it might appear on paper, and a fitness edge over the top-rated rival adds further appeal at this trip of a mile and a half on good-to-firm ground at Newbury. Great Bedwyn and Explode are the obvious dangers given their superior ratings, while Tryfan also warrants respect, but neither of those rivals offers the same upward trajectory that makes our selection an interesting proposition in this Class 4 contest. The selection is Masterinthewoods.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Tryfan
Callum Rodriguez · Harry Charlton · 5yo
Top-rated of 5
score 66.1 · +14.2 clear of next best (51.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight100small sample (n=9)Harry Charlton: 4/9 winners last 14d (44%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight85very strong35d since last run (fresh)
- Ratings50% weight56averageOR 84
- Form20% weight48below averageLast 6: 9-2-0-7-1
MarketBest price 5.00 (CopyBet) · 3rd in the market of 5.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newbury 1m4f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–2)
IV 1.15
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.91
High (5–6)
IV 0.92
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 109 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: William Buick · T: Faye Bramley · draw 4 4yo · G · b | 16081 | 85 | 47.4 | 6/1·7.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Emma Lavelle · draw 6 4yo · G · gr | 37122 | 82 | 51.9 | 11/8F·2.38 SP |
| 3 | 4 | J: Seamus Cronin(5) · T: Richard Hannon · draw 5 6yo · G · b | 28283 | 84 | 50.5 | 3/1·4.00 SP |
| 4 | 1 | J: Dylan Hogan · T: Sir Mark Prescott Bt · draw 1 4yo · F · bay f. | 46960 | 86 | 45.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Callum Rodriguez · T: Harry Charlton · draw 2 5yo · G · bp | 92071 | 84 | 66.1 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| — | — | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 3 4yo · G · ch | 22427 | 77 | 47.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:20 Newbury?
No — the AI top pick (Tryfan) finished 5.
What were the placings in the 16:20 Newbury?
Top finishers: 1. Explode (FR) (7.00), 2. Masterinthewoods (IRE) (2.38), 3. Great Bedwyn (GB) (4.00).
What was the winning time for the 16:20 Newbury?
The winning time was 2m 34.23s.
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