Who won the 14:10 Newmarket (July) on 15 August 2026?
Havana Blue (GB) won the 14:10 Newmarket (July) at SP 2.50. Ridden by Ryan Sexton. Trained by Julie Camacho.
14:10 Newmarket (July)
Betway Grey Horse Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 4 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £10,308 · Saturday, 15 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 9thRace report
- 1stHavana Blue (GB)Ryan Sexton·Julie Camacho6/4F·2.50SP
- 2ndArchduke Ferdinand (IRE)Shay Farmer·Seb Spencer·beaten .5 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdAct Of Violence (GB)Silvestre De Sousa·Tony Carroll·beaten 3.25 lengths5/1·6.00SP
Race time
1m 11.48s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Havana Blue (GB))
“Settled handy in the pack early - pushed along to hit the front a furlong out - kept finding under pressure to the line - won going away”
AI top-rated Nevasca Cinza (score 57.7) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 14.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way54.7/100 rating
Archduke Ferdinand
7.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Havana Blue
Three runners share the top rating here, but Havana Blue gets the nod on balance over this quick six furlongs at Newmarket's July course on good to firm ground. First Folio and Maelstrom are the obvious dangers, rated equally and capable of making this a genuine three-way affair at the top of the field, while Archduke Ferdinand, a few pounds adrift, should not be dismissed lightly if the principals cancel each other out. The confidence is measured rather than absolute, but Havana Blue represents the most compelling case at this level and is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Nevasca Cinza
Jonny Peate · James Fanshawe · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 57.7 · +3.0 clear of next best (54.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong32d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight65strongJames Fanshawe: 5/19 winners last 14d (26%)
- Form20% weight61averageLast 6: 4-3-4-2-3
- Ratings50% weight48below averageOR 72
MarketBest price 15.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 7th in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 6f
full course data →Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.24).
Low (1–4)
IV 0.95
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.80
High (8–10)
IV 1.24
Today: Havana Blue (draw 8) and Maelstrom (draw 10) get the bias; Archduke Ferdinand (draw 7) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 92 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 8 6yo · G · gr | 654222 | 80 | 49.4 | 6/4F·2.50 SP |
| 2 | 3 | J: Shay Farmer(5) · T: Seb Spencer · draw 7 7yo · G · bp | 983041 | 79 | 54.7 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Tony Carroll · draw 5 5yo · G · grt | 96841 | 62 | 47.3 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 4 | 5 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Bryan Smart · draw 9 6yo · G · gr | 586500 | 73 | 36.5 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 5 | 2 | J: Jack Doughty · T: Stuart Williams · draw 10 4yo · G · grt | 17308 | 80 | 46.5 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 6 8yo · G · gr | 283241 | 70 | 45.3 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Clifford Lee · T: Julie Camacho · draw 2 8yo · G · grp | 64604 | 73 | 42.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: Sean D Bowen · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3 4yo · G · gr | 129357 | 72 | 43.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 9 | 8 | J: Jonny Peate · T: James Fanshawe · draw 1 3yo · G · grv | 43423 | 72 | 57.7 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 10 | 10 | J: Tyler Heard · T: Hayley Burton · draw 4 4yo · F · grp | 57852 | 49 | 34.3 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:10 Newmarket (July)?
No — the AI top pick (Nevasca Cinza) finished 9.
What were the placings in the 14:10 Newmarket (July)?
Top finishers: 1. Havana Blue (GB) (2.50), 2. Archduke Ferdinand (IRE) (6.50), 3. Act Of Violence (GB) (6.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:10 Newmarket (July)?
The winning time was 1m 11.48s.
Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org