18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha

15:13 Newmarket (July)

Betway Bet The Responsible Way Fillies' Nursery Handicap Stakes

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £7,988 · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Kodi Bear Light (IRE)
    Clifford Lee·K. R. Burke
    9/1·10.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Fire Thunder (IRE)
    Silvestre De Sousa·Marco Botti·beaten 0.05 lengths
    6/1·7.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Eabha (IRE)AI top pick · 60.8
    Billy Loughnane·Eve Johnson Houghton·beaten .75 lengths
    1/2F·1.50
    SP
Race time
1m 28.60s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Kodi Bear Light (IRE))

“Eager early - up with the front group - roused and challenging over 1f out - pushed to the front in the final 110yds - battled hard to the line - got up by a head”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 0.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Eabha

Eabha holds a narrow edge over the top-rated Kodi Bear Light on a progressive profile, and over seven furlongs on good-to-firm ground at Newmarket's July course the conditions look well suited to her. Kodi Bear Light will be the chief threat given a rating just a pound clear, while Cash Cove and Fire Thunder also merit respect in what is a competitive Class 3 heat. On the strength of her upward trajectory, Eabha is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Eabha

Billy Loughnane · Eve Johnson Houghton · 2yo

Top-rated of 5
score 60.8 · +3.2 clear of next best (57.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    88very strong
    Last 6: 3-3-1-1
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    7d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    57average
    OR 86 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    38below average
    Eve Johnson Houghton: 6/41 winners last 14d (15%)
MarketBest price 1.87 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.06
High (5–5)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
Kodi Bear Light
J: Clifford Lee · T: K. R. Burke · draw 3
2yo · F · b
2160
7748.9
9/1·10.00
SP
25
Fire Thunder
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Marco Botti · draw 1
2yo · F · b
22215
6957.6
6/1·7.00
SP
31
Eabha
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 5
2yo · F · b
3311
8660.8
1/2F·1.50
SP
43
Cash Cove
J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charlie Johnston · draw 2
2yo · F · b
44130
7449.7
10/1·11.00
SP
54
Princess Ivy
J: Sean D Bowen · T: Richard Hannon · draw 4
2yo · F · b
942
6949.0
17/2·9.50
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:13 Newmarket (July) on 15 August 2026?

Kodi Bear Light (IRE) won the 15:13 Newmarket (July) at SP 10.00. Ridden by Clifford Lee. Trained by K. R. Burke.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:13 Newmarket (July)?

No — the AI top pick (Eabha) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 15:13 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Kodi Bear Light (IRE) (10.00), 2. Fire Thunder (IRE) (7.00), 3. Eabha (IRE) (1.50).

What was the winning time for the 15:13 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 1m 28.60s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org