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Next · 54m16:30Lingfield (AW)

16:25 Newmarket (July)

Betway Free Bet Club Fillies' Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £5,154 · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 100/30·4.33
  1. 1st
    Lightning Glory (IRE)AI top pick · 64.6
    Silvestre De Sousa·Simon & Ed Crisford
    100/30·4.33
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Lovers Leap (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·Jane Chapple-Hyam·beaten .75 lengths
    7/4J·2.75
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Stormy Music (GB)
    Alfie Redman·Andrew Balding·beaten .5 lengths
    7/4J·2.75
    SP
Race time
1m 41.46s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Lightning Glory (IRE))

“Set the pace early - lost front spot after 2f but stayed close up - pressed for effort 2f out - moved back in front inside final furlong - powered clear to win comfortably”

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Lightning Glory

Lightning Glory holds a narrow edge over the joint second-rated pair Lovers Leap and Renesmee, and on this good-to-firm mile at Newmarket's July course she has the profile to convert that advantage into a winning margin. Lovers Leap and Renesmee are the chief threats and should not be underestimated, while Stormy Music also merits a second look if the pace suits. On balance, Lightning Glory is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lightning Glory

Silvestre De Sousa · Simon & Ed Crisford · 3yo

Top-rated of 5
score 64.6 · +1.2 clear of next best (63.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    15d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    83very strong
    Simon & Ed Crisford: 8/24 winners last 14d (33%)
  • Form20% weight
    66strong
    Last 6: 4-3-4-2-3-2
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 3.80 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 1m

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 0.91
Mid (3–4)
IV 1.06
High (5–5)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
Lightning Glory
J: Silvestre De Sousa · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 4
3yo · F · ch
434232
7564.6
100/30·4.33
SP
25
Lovers Leap
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 2
3yo · F · ch
63163
6955.9
7/4J·2.75
SP
34
Stormy Music
J: Alfie Redman(7) · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
3yo · F · ch
68631
7251.7
7/4J·2.75
SP
43
Hamda's Joy
J: Cieren Fallon · T: Tom Clover · draw 3
3yo · F · b
33323
7263.5
10/1·11.00
SP
51
Renesmee
J: Kyle McHugh(7) · T: Michael Keady · draw 1
6yo · M · bp
252606
7540.5
20/1·21.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:25 Newmarket (July) on 15 August 2026?

Lightning Glory (IRE) won the 16:25 Newmarket (July) at SP 4.33. Ridden by Silvestre De Sousa. Trained by Simon & Ed Crisford.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:25 Newmarket (July)?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Lightning Glory, won the race (AI score 64.6).

What were the placings in the 16:25 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Lightning Glory (IRE) (4.33), 2. Lovers Leap (IRE) (2.75), 3. Stormy Music (GB) (2.75).

What was the winning time for the 16:25 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 1m 41.46s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org