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7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 6 runners · £5,234 · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Cherry Cobbler (GB)
    Chloe Lyons·Stuart Williams
    2/1F·3.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Norcross Brow (GB)AI top pick · 64.7
    Liam Wright·Charlie Clover·beaten 6 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Mister Mojito (IRE)
    Billy Loughnane·T J Kent·beaten 3.75 lengths
    5/2·3.50
    SP
Race time
1m 24.89s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Cherry Cobbler (GB))

Settled in the pack early - pushed along over 2f out and made ground to hit the front inside the final furlong - drew away from the field - won going away

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way64.7/100 rating
Norcross Brow
4.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Cherry Cobbler

Cherry Cobbler heads into this seven-furlong Class 5 at Newmarket's July course on a progressive profile that gives connections reason for optimism, and a fitness edge over the top-rated Jersey Maverick makes a compelling case for preferring him here despite sitting just a pound behind on ratings. Jersey Maverick is the most obvious threat and cannot be dismissed lightly, while Electrical and Aspull, both rated six pounds off the pace, could outrun expectations on the day. On balance, however, Cherry Cobbler's upward trajectory and readiness to run point him out as the one to side with, and he is our selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Norcross Brow

Liam Wright(5) · Charlie Clover · 3yo

Top-rated of 6
score 64.7 · +6.3 clear of next best (58.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Form20% weight
    88very strong
    Last 6: 8-3-1-2-1-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    73small sample (n=7)
    Charlie Clover: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    7d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Ratings50% weight
    51average
    OR 77 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 4.80 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newmarket (July) 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–3)
IV 0.91
Mid (4–5)
IV 1.06
High (6–7)
IV 1.05

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 167 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
J: Chloe Lyons(7) · T: Stuart Williams · draw 4
4yo · G · chtp
017222
7553.5
2/1F·3.00
SP
24
J: Liam Wright(5) · T: Charlie Clover · draw 6
3yo · G · b
831211
7764.7
3/1·4.00
SP
32
J: Billy Loughnane · T: T J Kent · draw 3
5yo · G · bt
45621
7252.5
5/2·3.50
SP
43
J: Paddy Bradley · T: Charlie Fellowes · draw 2
4yo · G · bv
62823
7158.1
4/1·5.00
SP
55
J: Grace McEntee · T: Phil McEntee · draw 7
4yo · G · b
29060
7032.6
66/1·67.00
SP
67
J: Clifford Lee · T: Brian Toomey · draw 1
3yo · G · ch
47675
6751.4
28/1·29.00
SP
J: Callum Shepherd · T: Charles Hills · draw 5
3yo · G · cht
1034
7458.4

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:00 Newmarket (July) on 15 August 2026?

Cherry Cobbler (GB) won the 17:00 Newmarket (July) at SP 3.00. Ridden by Chloe Lyons. Trained by Stuart Williams.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Newmarket (July)?

No — the AI top pick (Norcross Brow) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 17:00 Newmarket (July)?

Top finishers: 1. Cherry Cobbler (GB) (3.00), 2. Norcross Brow (GB) (4.00), 3. Mister Mojito (IRE) (3.50).

What was the winning time for the 17:00 Newmarket (July)?

The winning time was 1m 24.89s.

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