18+ • Bet Responsibly • Racing Alpha does not accept betsBeGambleAware.org
RacingAlpha
Next · 4h 35m14:30Lingfield (AW)

15:25 Ripon

William Hill/MND Association Great St Wilfrid Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 2 · Good · 14 runners · £51,540 · Saturday, 15 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 3rd
  1. 1st
    Royal Zabeel (IRE)
    Jason Watson·Michael Appleby
    17/2·9.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    I'm Next (GB)
    J F Egan·Tim Easterby·beaten 2.75 lengths
    33/1·34.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Lord Roxby (IRE)AI top pick · 59.8
    Alex Jary·Nigel Tinkler·beaten 0.3 lengths
    100/30F·4.33
    SP
Race time
1m 10.35s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Royal Zabeel (IRE))

Settled on the near flank early - tracking the front group - roused along nicely with two furlongs left - closed on the front pair before hitting the front inside the final furlong and a half - drew away in the closing stages to score comfortably

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.33 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way59.8/100 rating
Lord Roxby
5.80Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Royal Zabeel

Royal Zabeel arrives here narrowly behind the top-rated Aramram on our figures, but a progressive profile and a fitness edge make a compelling case for preferring him in what shapes as a strongly contested six-furlong affair at Ripon. Aramram remains the chief danger given he sits five pounds clear of our selection on ratings, while Fast Track Harry and Dark Cloud Rising are not without claims in a competitive field of fifteen on good ground. Royal Zabeel is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lord Roxby

Alex Jary(3) · Nigel Tinkler · 4yo

Top-rated of 14
score 59.8 · +1.2 clear of next best (58.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    70strong
    12d since last run (quick turnaround)
  • Form20% weight
    69strong
    Last 6: 0-1-4-5-2-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    60average
    OR 90
  • Trainer20% weight
    45below average
    Nigel Tinkler: 4/22 winners last 14d (18%)
MarketBest price 5.80 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Ripon 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–5)
IV 0.94
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.15
High (11–15)
IV 0.93

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 162 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
12
J: Jason Watson · T: Michael Appleby · draw 5
5yo · G · b
045010
10452.1
17/2·9.50
SP
27
J: J F Egan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 10
4yo · G · b
403116
8953.5
33/1·34.00
SP
36
J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 6
4yo · G · b
014521
9059.8
100/30F·4.33
SP
415
3yo · G · br
135231
8552.8
15/2·8.50
SP
51
J: Joe Leavy · T: Richard Hannon · draw 3
5yo · H · b
11250
10958.6
7/1·8.00
SP
64
J: Daniel Tudhope · T: David O'Meara · draw 15
4yo · G · bv
90U132
9458.5
5/1·6.00
SP
712
3yo · G · ch
241430
8854.4
11/1·12.00
SP
813
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Mark Walford · draw 2
8yo · G · br
022319
8449.1
33/1·34.00
SP
911
J: Cam Hardie · T: Mark Walford · draw 14
5yo · G · bv
010041
8447.8
16/1·17.00
SP
103
J: Jack Nicholls(3) · T: Clive Cox · draw 8
4yo · G · chtp
177002
9555.3
5/1·6.00
SP
1114
J: Amie Waugh(3) · T: Tim Easterby · draw 4
4yo · G · gr
012606
8447.5
22/1·23.00
SP
125
J: Harry Davies · T: Roger Fell · draw 7
4yo · G · b
50044
9143.1
20/1·21.00
SP
139
5yo · G · b
27008
8538.9
28/1·29.00
SP
1410
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 13
7yo · G · bt
732610
8450.5
40/1·41.00
SP
5yo · G · b
01710
8854.9

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:25 Ripon on 15 August 2026?

Royal Zabeel (IRE) won the 15:25 Ripon at SP 9.50. Ridden by Jason Watson. Trained by Michael Appleby.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:25 Ripon?

No — the AI top pick (Lord Roxby) finished 3.

What were the placings in the 15:25 Ripon?

Top finishers: 1. Royal Zabeel (IRE) (9.50), 2. I'm Next (GB) (34.00), 3. Lord Roxby (IRE) (4.33).

What was the winning time for the 15:25 Ripon?

The winning time was 1m 10.35s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org