Who won the 15:10 Southwell (AW) on 16 August 2026?
Prosperity (GB) won the 15:10 Southwell (AW) at SP 1.67. Ridden by Pierre-Louis Jamin. Trained by K. R. Burke.
15:10 Southwell (AW)
LNAA Critical Care Novice Stakes (Div II) (GBB Race)
1m · Flat · Class 4 · Standard · 9 runners · £5,400 · Sunday, 16 August 2026
Result
AI top pick placed 3rdRace report
- 1stProsperity (GB)Pierre-Louis Jamin·K. R. Burke4/6F·1.67SP
- 2ndAl Jolson (GB)Jack Mitchell·Simon & Ed Crisford·beaten 0.3 lengths6/4·2.50SP
- 3rdSavile Row (IRE)AI top pick · 51.9Harry Russell·Antony Brittain·beaten 6.5 lengths17/2·9.50SP
Race time
1m 41.91s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Prosperity (GB))
“Sat close to front-runner from the off - asked for effort 2f out and battled gamely to the line - got up close home to prevail”
Settled · 1pt level stake = 8.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Why the model rates this top
Savile Row
Harry Russell · Antony Brittain · 3yo
Top-rated of 10
score 51.9 · +13.4 clear of next best (38.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight54averageLast 6: 9-2-4-3
- Ratings50% weight53averageOR 80 — highest combined rating in the field
- Trainer20% weight50small sample (n=5)Antony Brittain: 1/5 winners last 14d (20%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight45below average308d since last run (long absence)
MarketBest price 25.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 10.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–4)
IV 0.96
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.04
High (9–11)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 2 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: K. R. Burke · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 1 | — | 38.5 | 4/6F·1.67 SP |
| 2 | 4 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 2 3yo · G · ch | — | — | 35.0 | 6/4·2.50 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Harry Russell · T: Antony Brittain · draw 3 3yo · C · btvFT TVFirst after wind op | 9243 | 80 | 51.9 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Taryn Langley(5) · T: Joey Ramsden · draw 11 3yo · G · gr | 4 | — | 15.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 5 | 5 | J: Jason Watson · T: Jonjo & A.J. O'Neill · draw 4 3yo · G · cht | 7 | — | 24.0 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 6 | 3 | J: Sean Kirrane · T: Lawrence Mullaney · draw 8 4yo · F · b | 64 | — | 29.8 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 7 | 7 | J: Dylan Hogan · T: Julia & Shelley Birkett · draw 9 3yo · G · cht | 6 | — | 23.0 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 8 | 11 | J: Callum Hutchinson · T: David Killahena & Graeme McPherson · draw 10 3yo · F · b | 85 | — | 11.7 | 200/1·201.00 SP |
| 9 | 10 | J: Sean D Bowen · T: Martin Dunne · draw 1 3yo · G · ch | 0 | — | 20.0 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Ray Dawson · T: Sam England · draw 5 4yo · G · ch | 055 | — | 18.0 | — |
| — | — | J: Joe Leavy · T: Brian Meehan · draw 6 3yo · C · b | — | — | 20.5 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:10 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Savile Row) finished 3.
What were the placings in the 15:10 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Prosperity (GB) (1.67), 2. Al Jolson (GB) (2.50), 3. Savile Row (IRE) (9.50).
What was the winning time for the 15:10 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 41.91s.
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