Who won the 15:40 Southwell (AW) on 16 August 2026?
Valvano (IRE) won the 15:40 Southwell (AW) at SP 6.00. Ridden by Hector Crouch. Trained by Ralph Beckett.
15:40 Southwell (AW)
Coopers Marquees Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 3 · Standard · 13 runners · £9,631 · Sunday, 16 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 11thRace report
- 1stValvano (IRE)Hector Crouch·Ralph Beckett5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndSovereign Ocean (IRE)Marco Ghiani·Marco Botti·beaten 1.75 lengths100/30F·4.33SP
- 3rdAurora Majesty (IRE)Pierre-Louis Jamin·Archie Watson·beaten .5 lengths18/1·19.00SP
Race time
1m 25.63s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Valvano (IRE))
“Held up towards the back of the pack - progress made approaching the last two furlongs moving left and finding a path between rivals - hit the front inside the final furlong - pushed out and finished going away well - clear-cut winner”
AI top-rated Legal Reform (score 67.4) finished 11th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 28.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way64.0/100 rating
Dixieland Blues
5.50Unibet
Place portion settles at 1.90 · 1/5 odds · 4 places
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Valvano
Valvano holds a narrow rating deficit to Tina's Indian but the clock has consistently backed the form, and a progressive profile suggests there is more to come from this horse on the Southwell (AW) surface over seven furlongs. Tina's Indian is the obvious chief danger as the top-rated runner in the field, while Divine Libra and Midnight Thunder also warrant respect at the ratings they carry into this Class 3 contest. The case for our selection rests on trajectory rather than seniority, and with the time figures lending support, Valvano is the pick, though connections will be aware this is a competitive enough heat to keep confidence measured.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Legal Reform
David Probert · Michael Herrington · 9yo
Top-rated of 13
score 67.4 · +3.4 clear of next best (64.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Form20% weight75strongLast 6: 1-2-4-3-1
- Trainer20% weight73small sample (n=7)Michael Herrington: 2/7 winners last 14d (29%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight65strong156d since last run (rusty)
- Ratings50% weight63averageOR 94
MarketBest price 34.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 9th in the market of 13.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Southwell (AW) 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–5)
IV 0.96
Mid (6–10)
IV 1.04
High (11–14)
IV 1.01
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 587 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 1 | J: Hector Crouch · T: Ralph Beckett · draw 10 5yo · G · chFirst after wind op | 40336 | 95 | 57.2 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 11 | J: Marco Ghiani · T: Marco Botti · draw 6 3yo · C · b | 16162 | 93 | 62.6 | 100/30F·4.33 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Pierre-Louis Jamin · T: Archie Watson · draw 12 4yo · G · ch | 32007 | 88 | 43.2 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 4 | 10 | J: Daniel Muscutt · T: Kevin Philippart De Foy · draw 2 4yo · G · bh | 11098 | 88 | 40.8 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 5 | 3 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Saeed bin Suroor · draw 5 4yo · C · btFT T | 1940 | 94 | 47.3 | 10/1·11.00 SP |
| 6 | 7 | J: James Doyle · T: Hamad Al Jehani · draw 9 5yo · G · bbFT B | 56109 | 89 | 58.0 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 7 | 4 | J: Dale Swift · T: Seb Spencer · draw 4 4yo · G · b | 93691 | 92 | 48.6 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 8 | 14 | J: George Wood · T: Harry Eustace · draw 13 4yo · G · ch | 15351 | 87 | 54.8 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 9 | 13 | J: Jason Watson · T: Charles Hills · draw 11 6yo · G · gr | 28850 | 87 | 55.8 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 10 | 8 | J: Jack Mitchell · T: Simon & Ed Crisford · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 10661 | 89 | 64.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 11 | 2 | J: David Probert · T: Michael Herrington · draw 8 9yo · G · bp | 12431 | 94 | 67.4 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 12 | 12 | J: Ray Dawson · T: Stuart Williams · draw 14 3yo · G · bt/ceFT T/CE | 460510 | 93 | 54.2 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 13 | 5 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Brian Toomey · draw 7 5yo · G · brt | 14043 | 92 | 62.6 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Rob Hornby · T: Denis Coakley · draw 1 7yo · G · bv | 09330 | 89 | 45.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:40 Southwell (AW)?
No — the AI top pick (Legal Reform) finished 11.
What were the placings in the 15:40 Southwell (AW)?
Top finishers: 1. Valvano (IRE) (6.00), 2. Sovereign Ocean (IRE) (4.33), 3. Aurora Majesty (IRE) (19.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:40 Southwell (AW)?
The winning time was 1m 25.63s.
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