18:30 Kempton (AW)

Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div I)

7f · Flat · Class 4 · Standard To Slow · 12 runners · £6,281 · Wednesday, 12 August 2026

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E/W terms3 places at 1/4 odds (12 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

AI top-rated

Percy's Lad · No. 1 · best 11/2·6.40 Betfair Exchange

Highest AI score (63.5) in the field, 8.5 clear of the next best. Best price sits ~10% above the market's de-overrounded fair price. Not on today's published card — the v1.0 filter rejects this race profile.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way63.5/100 rating

Percy's Lad

6.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Racing Alpha pick

Percy's Lad

Ebrahim Nader · Daniel & Claire Kubler · 8yo

63.5/100

+8.5 vs next best (55.0)

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100very strong
Daniel & Claire Kubler: 7/16 winners last 14d (44%)
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
32d since last run (fresh)
Ratings50% weight
57average
OR 86 — highest combined rating in the field
Form20% weight
31weak
Last 6: 0-0-6-2-6

MarketBest price 6.40 (Betfair Exchange) — 3rd pick of 12 in market. AI is contrarian here.

v1.3 rating · weights and method explained on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
1Percy's Lad 8Sea Founder
Prominent(3)
2Dapper Guest 4Cogitate 6Orchid
Mid-division(1)
11Peter The Wolf
Hold-up / closers(2)
3Eminency 5Brosay
Unknown(4)
7Flag Of St George 9Longlai 10Arctician 12Nezeeh

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Kempton (AW) 7f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.17).

Low (1–4)

IV 1.05

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.17

High (9–12)

IV 0.80

Today: Dapper Guest (draw 5) and Brosay (draw 8) get the bias; Cogitate (draw 9) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 665 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
1	Percy's LadPick J: Ebrahim Nader · T: Daniel & Claire Kubler · draw 3 · combo 2/11 (18%) 8yo · G · chOnly rideOnly runner	00626	9-10	86	—	—	63.5	5/1·5.80	6.4·6.40 Betfair Exchange · +10% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange6.4·6.40 SmarketsSBK5·6.00 Bet3657/2·4.50 Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33 BetWright10/3·4.33 Dragon Bet10/3·4.33 CopyBet10/3·4.33 BetAhoy10/3·4.33 BresBet10/3·4.33BestOdds10/3·4.337Bet10/3·4.33 Star Sports10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33Octobet10/3·4.33Unibet3/1·4.00Virgin Bet3/1·4.00LiveScore Bet3/1·4.00 PricedUp Bet3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 William Hill3/1·4.00 Betfred3/1·4.00
7	Flag Of St George J: Kaiya Fraser · T: Jane Chapple-Hyam · draw 1 5yo · G · bpOnly pairing	02587	9-04	80	—	—	55.0	12/1·12.72	11·12.00 SmarketsSBK · -6% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK11·12.00 Bet36517/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 Coral17/2·9.50 Betfred17/2·9.50 Ladbrokes17/2·9.50 BetTom17/2·9.50 Bet Victor17/2·9.50 CopyBet17/2·9.50 BetAhoy17/2·9.50 Spreadex17/2·9.50Octobet17/2·9.50BresBet17/2·9.50BestOdds17/2·9.507Bet17/2·9.50 Star Sports17/2·9.50 Midnite17/2·9.50 SportingIndex17/2·9.50 Quinn Bet17/2·9.50 talkSPORT BET17/2·9.50 BetWright17/2·9.50 Betano17/2·9.50 Dragon Bet17/2·9.50 Boyle Sports8/1·9.00 Unibet8/1·9.00 PricedUp Bet8/1·9.00Virgin Bet8/1·9.00LiveScore Bet8/1·9.00 Betfair Exchange6.6·6.60
11	Peter The Wolf J: Edward Greatrex · T: Warren Greatrex · draw 4 · combo 1/17 (6%) 4yo · G · chp	10607	8-11	73	—	—	54.0	22/1·22.76	22/1·23.00 Bet365 All 29 books ▾ Bet36522/1·23.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00BetWright16/1·17.00 LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 CopyBet16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00BestOdds16/1·17.007Bet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK15·16.00 BetTom14/1·15.00 Bet Victor14/1·15.00 talkSPORT BET14/1·15.00 Betano14/1·15.00 PricedUp Bet14/1·15.00 BetAhoy14/1·15.00Octobet14/1·15.00Unibet12/1·13.00 Betfair Exchange11·11.00
4	Cogitate J: Charles Bishop · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 9 · combo 13/106 (12%) 5yo · G · bvFT V	207354	9-07	83	—	—	53.1	5/1·5.80	7/2·4.50 Boyle Sports · -22% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Boyle Sports7/2·4.50 Bet Victor7/2·4.50 talkSPORT BET7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50BestOdds7/2·4.507Bet7/2·4.50 BetWright7/2·4.50 Betano7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 Betfair Exchange4.5·4.50 William Hill10/3·4.33 Coral10/3·4.33 Betfred10/3·4.33 Ladbrokes10/3·4.33 BetTom10/3·4.33Virgin Bet10/3·4.33Star Sports10/3·4.33 Midnite10/3·4.33 LiveScore Bet10/3·4.33 CopyBet10/3·4.33 BetAhoy10/3·4.33Octobet10/3·4.33Quinn Bet10/3·4.33 SmarketsSBK3.33·4.33 Bet3653/1·4.00 Unibet3/1·4.00 SportingIndex3/1·4.00 PricedUp Bet3/1·4.00 Spreadex3/1·4.00
6	Orchid J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 11 · combo 19/96 (20%) 4yo · F · btpFT TPOnly runner	54694	9-05	81	—	—	51.7	16/1·17.41	15·16.00 SmarketsSBK · -8% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK15·16.00 Bet Victor12/1·13.00 talkSPORT BET12/1·13.00 BresBet12/1·13.00BestOdds12/1·13.007Bet12/1·13.00 Star Sports12/1·13.00 Midnite12/1·13.00 SportingIndex12/1·13.00 Quinn Bet12/1·13.00 William Hill12/1·13.00 Bet36512/1·13.00 Coral12/1·13.00 Betfred12/1·13.00 Boyle Sports12/1·13.00 Ladbrokes12/1·13.00 Unibet12/1·13.00 BetTom12/1·13.00 BetWright12/1·13.00 Betano12/1·13.00 Dragon Bet12/1·13.00 CopyBet12/1·13.00 BetAhoy12/1·13.00 Spreadex12/1·13.00Octobet12/1·13.00Virgin Bet11/1·12.00LiveScore Bet11/1·12.00 PricedUp Bet11/1·12.00 Betfair Exchange9·9.00
2	Dapper Guest J: Tom Queally · T: George Margarson · draw 5 4yo · G · bvOnly rideOnly runner	086408	9-09	85	—	—	47.9	5/1·6.03	5·6.00 SmarketsSBK All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK5·6.00 Betfair Exchange6·6.00 talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Ladbrokes4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 Boyle Sports4/1·5.00 CopyBet3.75/1·4.75 Bet3657/2·4.50Virgin Bet7/2·4.50BetWright7/2·4.50 LiveScore Bet7/2·4.50 Dragon Bet7/2·4.50 BetAhoy7/2·4.50 Spreadex7/2·4.50Octobet7/2·4.50BetTom7/2·4.50 Quinn Bet7/2·4.50 BresBet7/2·4.50BestOdds7/2·4.507Bet7/2·4.50 Star Sports7/2·4.50 Midnite7/2·4.50 SportingIndex7/2·4.50 Coral7/2·4.50 Betfred7/2·4.50 PricedUp Bet10/3·4.33 Unibet10/3·4.33 William Hill10/3·4.33
3	Eminency J: Cieren Fallon · T: Stuart Williams · draw 10 6yo · G · grtp	435477	9-07	83	—	—	47.9	14/1·14.73	12·13.00 SmarketsSBK · -12% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK12·13.00 Betfred10/1·11.00 Boyle Sports10/1·11.00 Ladbrokes10/1·11.00 Unibet10/1·11.00 BetTom10/1·11.00 Bet Victor10/1·11.00 talkSPORT BET10/1·11.00 BetWright10/1·11.00 Betano10/1·11.00 Dragon Bet10/1·11.00 CopyBet10/1·11.00 BetAhoy10/1·11.00 Spreadex10/1·11.00 BresBet10/1·11.00BestOdds10/1·11.00SportingIndex10/1·11.00 Quinn Bet10/1·11.00 7Bet10/1·11.00Octobet10/1·11.00Bet36510/1·11.00 William Hill10/1·11.00 Coral10/1·11.00 Star Sports10/1·11.00 Midnite10/1·11.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00LiveScore Bet9/1·10.00 PricedUp Bet9/1·10.00 Betfair Exchange8·8.00
8	Sea Founder J: Finley Marsh · T: Richard Hughes · draw 2 · combo 7/88 (8%) 4yo · G · bOnly pairing	144196	9-01	77	—	—	46.0	9/1·10.04	7/1·8.00 Bet365 · -20% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet3657/1·8.00 William Hill13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 CopyBet13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50 BetWright13/2·7.50 BetAhoy13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50Octobet13/2·7.50BresBet13/2·7.50BestOdds13/2·7.507Bet13/2·7.50 Star Sports13/2·7.50 Midnite13/2·7.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 Betfair Exchange7.4·7.40 Unibet6/1·7.00 PricedUp Bet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00 LiveScore Bet6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 SmarketsSBK6·7.00
9	Longlai J: Benoit de la Sayette · T: George Baker · draw 12 · combo 3/18 (17%) 8yo · G · bClass drop	00704	9-00	76	—	—	39.9	22/1·22.76	20·20.00 Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange20·20.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK18·19.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 CopyBet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 BetAhoy16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00Octobet16/1·17.00BresBet16/1·17.00BestOdds16/1·17.007Bet16/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 PricedUp Bet14/1·15.00
5	Brosay J: Nicola Currie · T: Charlie Pike · draw 8 4yo · G · bbClass dropOnly runner	560609	9-06	82	—	—	39.1	22/1·22.76	16/1·17.00 talkSPORT BET · -25% vs fair All 29 books ▾ talkSPORT BET16/1·17.00 BetWright16/1·17.00 Betano16/1·17.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00 CopyBet16/1·17.00 BetAhoy16/1·17.00 Spreadex16/1·17.00Octobet16/1·17.00BresBet16/1·17.00BestOdds16/1·17.007Bet16/1·17.00 Star Sports16/1·17.00 Midnite16/1·17.00 SportingIndex16/1·17.00 Quinn Bet16/1·17.00 SmarketsSBK16·17.00 Bet36516/1·17.00 William Hill16/1·17.00 Coral16/1·17.00 Betfred16/1·17.00 Boyle Sports16/1·17.00 Ladbrokes16/1·17.00 Unibet16/1·17.00 BetTom16/1·17.00 Bet Victor16/1·17.00Virgin Bet14/1·15.00LiveScore Bet14/1·15.00 PricedUp Bet14/1·15.00 Betfair Exchange9.4·9.40
10	Arctician J: Harry Davies · T: Simon Dow · draw 7 8yo · G · bOnly runner	43478	8-13	75	—	—	37.0	28/1·28.12	22/1·23.00 Bet365 · -18% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet36522/1·23.00 Bet Victor20/1·21.00 talkSPORT BET20/1·21.00 BetWright20/1·21.00 Betano20/1·21.00 Dragon Bet20/1·21.00 CopyBet20/1·21.00 BetAhoy20/1·21.00 Spreadex20/1·21.00Octobet20/1·21.00BresBet20/1·21.00BestOdds20/1·21.007Bet20/1·21.00 Star Sports20/1·21.00 Midnite20/1·21.00 SportingIndex20/1·21.00 Quinn Bet20/1·21.00 William Hill20/1·21.00 Coral20/1·21.00 Betfred20/1·21.00 Boyle Sports20/1·21.00 Ladbrokes20/1·21.00 Unibet20/1·21.00 BetTom20/1·21.00Virgin Bet18/1·19.00LiveScore Bet18/1·19.00 PricedUp Bet18/1·19.00 SmarketsSBK14·15.00 Betfair Exchange11·11.00
12	Nezeeh J: William Cox · T: Jim & Suzi Best · draw 6 5yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner	09088	8-06	68	—	—	32.5	50/1·54.90	40/1·41.00 Bet365 · -25% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Bet36540/1·41.00 William Hill40/1·41.00 Coral40/1·41.00 Betfred40/1·41.00 Spreadex40/1·41.00Octobet40/1·41.00BresBet40/1·41.00 SportingIndex40/1·41.00 Quinn Bet40/1·41.00 SmarketsSBK40·41.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00 Ladbrokes40/1·41.00 Unibet40/1·41.00 BetTom40/1·41.00 Bet Victor40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00BetAhoy40/1·41.00 talkSPORT BET40/1·41.00 BetWright40/1·41.00 LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Betano40/1·41.00 Dragon Bet40/1·41.00 CopyBet40/1·41.00BestOdds40/1·41.007Bet40/1·41.00 Star Sports40/1·41.00 Midnite40/1·41.00 PricedUp Bet33/1·34.00 Betfair Exchange15.5·15.50

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 34% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div I)?

The Unibet Support Safer Gambling Handicap Stakes (Div I) is off at 18:30 on 12 August 2026 at Kempton (AW) (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?

7f, Class 4, Flat, 12 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?

Going is reported as Standard To Slow on AW.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?

The AI top-rated runner is Percy's Lad (score 63.5, best price 6.40). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:30 Kempton (AW)?

The market favourite is Cogitate at a best price of 4.50. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Percy's Lad.

Racing Post verdict

Third-party

Percy's Lad heads this twelve-runner field at Kempton's Polytrack over seven furlongs, sitting narrowly ahead of Cogitate and a more meaningful seven pounds clear of the next pair, Longlai and Eminency, who represent the chief dangers along with Cogitate. The form and ability he brings to this Class 4 contest suggests he is well-equipped to handle both the surface and the distance, and there is little in the opposition's profiles to suggest he will be troubled. **Percy's Lad** is the selection.

Racing Post pick: Percy's Lad

Editorial verdict from Racing Post via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org