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16:53 Cork

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden

5f · Flat · Good · 16 runners · €13,200 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 9 · score 43.3 · +14.8 clear of next best · best 15/8·2.86
Best value vs consensus
38·38.00 Betfair Exchange · +7% vs fair (consensus 35.46)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way24.2/100 rating
Walk On Harry
9.00SmarketsSBK

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Arrowstock

Ben Coen · Daniel McLoughlin · 2yo

Top-rated of 16
score 43.3 · +14.8 clear of next best (28.5)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    34d since last run (fresh)
  • Ratings50% weight
    55average
    OR 83 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    36below average
    Last 6: 6-5-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    0small sample (n=7)
    Daniel McLoughlin: 0/7 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 2.86 (Betfair Exchange) · market favourite.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: No confirmed front-runner — likely a slow start, race may turn into a sprint.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Cork 5f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)
IV 1.13
Mid (7–11)
IV 0.95
High (12–16)
IV 0.90

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 86 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 3 · combo 2/18 (11%)
2yo · F · b
654
8343.35/2·3.592.86·2.86
Betfair Exchange · -20% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Nathan Crosse · T: John S O'Donoghue · draw 16 · combo 0/5 (0%)
2yo · G · bOnly pairing
07
28.550/1·46.3740/1·41.00
SmarketsSBK · -12% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
14
J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 7 · combo 18/72 (25%)
2yo · F · rn
53
25.05/2·3.593·3.00
Betfair Exchange · -16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
J: Ronan Whelan · T: Henry De Bromhead · draw 6 · combo 1/20 (5%)
2yo · C · btFT TOnly pairing
83
24.210/1·10.918/1·9.00
SmarketsSBK · -17% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Leigh Roche · T: W McCreery · draw 2 · combo 2/13 (15%)
2yo · G · bvOnly ride
776
24.0150/1·137.74200/1·201.00
SmarketsSBK · +46% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
13
J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 8 · combo 4/49 (8%)
2yo · F · b
8
19.016/1·17.7314/1·15.00
Boyle Sports · -15% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
11
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 1 · combo 18/140 (13%)
2yo · F · ch
18.516/1·17.7317.5·17.50
Betfair Exchange
All 29 books ▾
12
J: Rory Mulligan(5) · T: J P Murtagh · draw 14 · combo 2/19 (11%)
2yo · F · bOnly pairing
60
15.850/1·55.9190/1·91.00
SmarketsSBK · +63% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
3
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J A Stack · draw 9 · combo 3/21 (14%)
2yo · C · bOnly runner
15.09/1·10.239/1·10.00
SmarketsSBK · -2% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
16
J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: Charles Weld · draw 13 · combo 0/5 (0%)
2yo · F · brOnly runner
15.0100/1·91.3766/1·67.00
PricedUp Bet · -27% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
J: Jamie Powell · T: Eddie & Patrick Harty · draw 11 · combo 0/8 (0%)
2yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
0U4
14.533/1·35.4638·38.00
Betfair Exchange · +7% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
8
J: Luke McAteer · T: James Dowling · draw 4
2yo · F · chOnly runner
8
10.5100/1·91.37150/1·151.00
SmarketsSBK · +65% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
5
J: Scott McCullagh · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 15 · combo 2/15 (13%)
2yo · G · bOnly pairing
0
10.0150/1·137.741000·1000.00
Betfair Exchange · +626% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
1
J: James Ryan · T: Jack W Davison · draw 10 · combo 0/24 (0%)
2yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
8
8.550/1·46.3790/1·91.00
SmarketsSBK · +96% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
15
J: Keithen Kennedy(5) · T: P A Fahy · draw 12
2yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
0
8.5150/1·137.741000·1000.00
Betfair Exchange · +626% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
6
J: Robert Whearty · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 5 · combo 0/27 (0%)
2yo · G · bOnly pairing
0
7.0150/1·137.741000·1000.00
Betfair Exchange · +626% vs fair
All 28 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28–29 bookmakers per horse with the 36% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden?

The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Maiden is off at 16:53 on 14 August 2026 at Cork (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 16:53 Cork?

5f, Flat, 16 runners declared.

What is the going for the 16:53 Cork?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 16:53 Cork?

The AI top-rated runner is Arrowstock (score 43.3, best price 2.86). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 16:53 Cork?

The market favourite is Arrowstock at a best price of 2.86.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org