18:03 Cork

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Firville Stakes (Listed)

7f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 9 runners · €30,000 · Friday, 14 August 2026

Compare all prices

E/W terms3 places at 1/5 odds (9 runners)· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Madam Secretary

No. 7 · score 65.5 · +0.6 clear of next best · best 8/1·9.00

Best value vs consensus

Nevermindtherain

9.6·9.60 Betfair Exchange · +13% vs fair (consensus 8.46)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 29 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Other selections

Head-to-head dashboard →

Each-way65.5/100 rating

Madam Secretary

9.00Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party

Pundit pick: BeibhinnDiffers from our pick

Beibhinn and Alwaysanangel are narrowly ahead of the remainder on these ratings, but it is Beibhinn's progressive profile that tips the balance in her favour, suggesting there is more to come from her at this level over the Cork seven furlongs on good ground. Alwaysanangel is the obvious principal threat, sharing the top rating and likely to be competitive, while Shi Yang and Maire Rua are the pick of the rest but have seven or eight pounds to find. Beibhinn is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Madam Secretary

Ryan Moore · A P O'Brien · 2yo

Top-rated of 9

score 65.5 · +0.6 clear of next best (64.9)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Freshness10% weight
100very strong
17d since last run (race-fit window)
Form20% weight
69strong
Last 6: 3-3-2
Trainer20% weight
60average
A P O'Brien: 7/29 winners last 14d (24%)
Ratings50% weight
59average
OR 89

MarketBest price 9.00 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 9.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Front-runners(2)
3Beibhinn 10Nevermindtherain
Prominent(5)
1Alpine Wedding 4Celtic Moon 5Damsel In Distress 7Madam Secretary 11Shi Yang
Mid-division(0)—
Hold-up / closers(1)
9Maire Rua
Unknown(1)
2Alwaysanangel

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Cork 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)

IV 0.96

Mid (5–8)

IV 1.07

High (9–11)

IV 0.97

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 65 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
7	Madam SecretaryPick J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 11 · combo 28/83 (34%) 2yo · F · b	332	9-02	89	—	—	65.5	8/1·9.07	9·9.00 Betfair Exchange All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange9·9.00 SmarketsSBK15/2·8.50 Star Sports7/1·8.00 Unibet7/1·8.00 10 Bet7/1·8.00 PricedUp Bet7/1·8.00 Bet3657/1·8.00 Bet Victor7/1·8.00 talkSPORT BET7/1·8.00 Betano7/1·8.00 Midnite13/2·7.50 BetTom13/2·7.50 BetAhoy13/2·7.50Octobet13/2·7.50BresBet13/2·7.50BestOdds13/2·7.50SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Quinn Bet13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Coral13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Boyle Sports13/2·7.50 Ladbrokes13/2·7.50Virgin Bet13/2·7.50BetWright13/2·7.50 LiveScore Bet13/2·7.50 Dragon Bet13/2·7.50 William Hill6/1·7.00 CopyBet6/1·7.00
10	Nevermindtherain J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 4 · combo 10/79 (13%) 2yo · F · bp	5533	9-02	98	—	—	64.9	15/2·8.46	9.6·9.60 Betfair Exchange · +13% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange9.6·9.60 SmarketsSBK8/1·9.00 Bet36515/2·8.50 SportingIndex13/2·7.50 Spreadex13/2·7.50 Betfred13/2·7.50 Unibet13/2·7.50 PricedUp Bet13/2·7.50 Midnite6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 Dragon Bet6/1·7.00Octobet6/1·7.00BresBet6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00BestOdds6/1·7.00William Hill6/1·7.00 Coral6/1·7.00 Boyle Sports6/1·7.00 Ladbrokes6/1·7.00 BetTom6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00 BetAhoy6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00 CopyBet11/2·6.50 LiveScore Bet11/2·6.50Virgin Bet11/2·6.50
3	Beibhinn J: Declan McDonogh · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 3 · combo 5/59 (8%) 2yo · F · bpFT PD	4133	9-02	95	—	—	61.5	22/1·22.97	24·24.00 Betfair Exchange · +5% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange24·24.00 SmarketsSBK20/1·21.00 Unibet18/1·19.00 talkSPORT BET18/1·19.00 Ladbrokes18/1·19.00 Bet Victor18/1·19.00 10 Bet18/1·19.00 Betano18/1·19.00 Midnite18/1·19.00 BetTom18/1·19.00 PricedUp Bet18/1·19.00Octobet18/1·19.00Quinn Bet18/1·19.00 BetAhoy18/1·19.00 Spreadex18/1·19.00 SportingIndex18/1·19.00 Star Sports18/1·19.00 Bet36518/1·19.00 William Hill18/1·19.00 Coral18/1·19.00 Betfred18/1·19.00 Boyle Sports18/1·19.00 Dragon Bet16/1·17.00BestOdds16/1·17.00LiveScore Bet16/1·17.00 CopyBet16/1·17.00 BresBet16/1·17.00Virgin Bet16/1·17.00BetWright16/1·17.00
11	Shi Yang J: Donagh O'Connor · T: Robson De Aguiar · draw 9 · combo 4/53 (8%) 2yo · F · bD	541	9-02	80	—	—	55.7	66/1·61.66	90/1·91.00 SmarketsSBK · +48% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK90/1·91.00 Midnite50/1·51.00 SportingIndex50/1·51.00 Quinn Bet50/1·51.00 Bet36550/1·51.00 Betfred50/1·51.00 BresBet50/1·51.00 William Hill50/1·51.00 Ladbrokes50/1·51.00 Unibet50/1·51.00 BetTom50/1·51.00 Bet Victor50/1·51.00 10 Bet50/1·51.00 Coral50/1·51.00 talkSPORT BET50/1·51.00BestOdds50/1·51.00Star Sports50/1·51.00 Dragon Bet50/1·51.00 CopyBet50/1·51.00 PricedUp Bet50/1·51.00 BetAhoy50/1·51.00 Spreadex50/1·51.00Octobet50/1·51.00BetWright50/1·51.00 Betano50/1·51.00 Boyle Sports40/1·41.00Virgin Bet40/1·41.00LiveScore Bet40/1·41.00 Betfair Exchange28·28.00
4	Celtic Moon J: Seamie Heffernan · T: J P Murtagh · draw 2 · combo 0/12 (0%) 2yo · F · bGoing 1/2	417	9-02	75	—	—	49.2	100/1·122.10	250/1·251.00 SmarketsSBK · +106% vs fair All 29 books ▾ SmarketsSBK250/1·251.00 Bet365125/1·126.00 Star Sports100/1·101.00 Quinn Bet100/1·101.00 Unibet100/1·101.00 Bet Victor100/1·101.00 BresBet100/1·101.00BestOdds100/1·101.00SportingIndex100/1·101.00 BetWright100/1·101.00 BetTom100/1·101.00 Betano100/1·101.00 Dragon Bet100/1·101.00 Spreadex100/1·101.00Octobet100/1·101.00Midnite100/1·101.00 talkSPORT BET100/1·101.00 CopyBet100/1·101.00 William Hill100/1·101.00 Coral100/1·101.00 Betfred100/1·101.00 Boyle Sports100/1·101.00 Ladbrokes100/1·101.00 10 Bet100/1·101.00 PricedUp Bet100/1·101.00 BetAhoy100/1·101.00Virgin Bet80/1·81.00LiveScore Bet80/1·81.00 Betfair Exchange29·29.00
1	Alpine Wedding J: W J Lee · T: P Twomey · draw 10 · combo 10/63 (16%) 2yo · F · ch	53	9-02	—	—	—	34.5	28/1·27.81	29·29.00 Betfair Exchange · +4% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange29·29.00 SmarketsSBK25/1·26.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 Bet36525/1·26.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 BetAhoy22/1·23.00 talkSPORT BET22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00BestOdds22/1·23.00Star Sports22/1·23.00 SportingIndex22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 Spreadex22/1·23.00Octobet22/1·23.00Midnite22/1·23.00 Coral22/1·23.00Virgin Bet20/1·21.00LiveScore Bet20/1·21.00 PricedUp Bet20/1·21.00 CopyBet20/1·21.00
9	Maire Rua J: Colin Keane · T: G M Lyons · draw 7 · combo 18/72 (25%) 2yo · F · gD	1	9-02	—	—	—	33.5	9/4·3.32	3.1·3.10 Betfair Exchange · -7% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange3.1·3.10 SmarketsSBK2/1·3.00BestOdds15/8·2.88Spreadex15/8·2.88 BresBet15/8·2.88 CopyBet15/8·2.88 PricedUp Bet15/8·2.88 SportingIndex15/8·2.88 10 Bet15/8·2.88 Unibet15/8·2.88 BetWright15/8·2.88 Dragon Bet15/8·2.88 Coral7/4·2.75Octobet7/4·2.75Star Sports7/4·2.75 William Hill7/4·2.75 Betano7/4·2.75 BetAhoy7/4·2.75 Quinn Bet7/4·2.75 Betfred7/4·2.75 Ladbrokes7/4·2.75 BetTom7/4·2.75 Bet Victor7/4·2.75Virgin Bet7/4·2.75talkSPORT BET7/4·2.75 LiveScore Bet7/4·2.75 Bet36513/8·2.63 Midnite13/8·2.63 Boyle Sports13/8·2.63
2	Alwaysanangel J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 1 · combo 39/191 (20%) 2yo · F · bt	13	9-02	—	—	—	29.7	2/1·3.02	13/8·2.63 PricedUp Bet · -13% vs fair All 29 books ▾ PricedUp Bet13/8·2.63 Betfair Exchange2.56·2.56Virgin Bet6/4·2.50BetAhoy6/4·2.50 Bet3656/4·2.50Octobet6/4·2.50Quinn Bet6/4·2.50 BetTom6/4·2.50 Betfred6/4·2.50 Boyle Sports6/4·2.50 Ladbrokes6/4·2.50 CopyBet6/4·2.50BestOdds6/4·2.50Star Sports6/4·2.50 William Hill6/4·2.50 Coral6/4·2.50 BetWright6/4·2.50 LiveScore Bet6/4·2.50 SmarketsSBK7/5·2.40 talkSPORT BET11/8·2.38 Spreadex11/8·2.38 SportingIndex11/8·2.38 Bet Victor11/8·2.38 10 Bet11/8·2.38 Betano11/8·2.38 Dragon Bet11/8·2.38 BresBet11/8·2.38 Midnite11/8·2.38 Unibet6/5·2.20
5	Damsel In Distress J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 8 · combo 2/18 (11%) 2yo · F · bDGoing 1/2	51	9-02	—	—	—	23.8	28/1·27.81	38·38.00 Betfair Exchange · +37% vs fair All 29 books ▾ Betfair Exchange38·38.00 SmarketsSBK33/1·34.00 Bet36528/1·29.00 Unibet25/1·26.00 PricedUp Bet25/1·26.00 Spreadex25/1·26.00 Midnite25/1·26.00 SportingIndex25/1·26.00 LiveScore Bet22/1·23.00 BresBet22/1·23.00BestOdds22/1·23.00Coral22/1·23.00 10 Bet22/1·23.00Virgin Bet22/1·23.00talkSPORT BET22/1·23.00 William Hill22/1·23.00 Ladbrokes22/1·23.00 Betfred22/1·23.00 Boyle Sports22/1·23.00 BetTom22/1·23.00 Bet Victor22/1·23.00 BetWright22/1·23.00 Quinn Bet22/1·23.00 Betano22/1·23.00 Dragon Bet22/1·23.00 BetAhoy22/1·23.00Octobet22/1·23.00Star Sports22/1·23.00 CopyBet20/1·21.00
—	Film SetNon-runner J: Ronan Whelan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 5 2yo · F · b	5	9-02	—	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn
—	Maeda MatsuNon-runner J: Robbie Colgan · T: Ms Sheila Lavery · draw 6 2yo · F · b	2	9-02	—	—	—	—	—	Withdrawn

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 29 bookmakers per horse with the 21% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Firville Stakes (Listed)?

The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Firville Stakes (Listed) is off at 18:03 on 14 August 2026 at Cork (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:03 Cork?

7f, Class 1, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:03 Cork?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:03 Cork?

The AI top-rated runner is Madam Secretary (score 65.5, best price 9.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:03 Cork?

The market favourite is Alwaysanangel at a best price of 2.63. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Madam Secretary.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org