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19:45 Cork

Ireland

Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden

1m2½f · Flat · Good · 11 runners · €9,000 · Friday, 14 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 9 · score 53.8 · +10.5 clear of next best · best 12/1·13.00

Drawn 6, inside the favoured middle third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

No book currently stands out from the market consensus in this race. Prices refresh every few minutes.

Each-way53.8/100 rating
Serendipia
13.00Betfred
Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Serendipia

W J Lee · W McCreery · 3yo

Top-rated of 11
score 53.8 · +10.5 clear of next best (43.3)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Trainer20% weight
    53average
    W McCreery: 3/14 winners last 14d (21%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    50average
    OR 75 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    42below average
    Last 6: 6-8-4-3
MarketBest price 13.00 (Betfred) · 5th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Mixed shape — pace likely to be honest but not lightning.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Cork 1m2½f

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.21).

Low (1–4)
IV 0.79
Mid (5–8)
IV 1.21
High (9–12)
IV 1.04

Today: Serendipia (draw 6) and Saxony Charms (draw 8) get the bias; Chosen One (draw 4) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 49 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
9
J: W J Lee · T: W McCreery · draw 6 · combo 4/49 (8%)
3yo · F · b
6843
7553.816/1·16.3612/1·13.00
Betfred · -20% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
1
J: Paddy Harnett(5) · T: Donnacha Aidan O'Brien · draw 4 · combo 1/19 (5%)
3yo · F · bpFT POnly ride
0562
7443.39/1·10.079/1·10.00
SmarketsSBK
All 29 books ▾
5
J: Ryan Moore · T: A P O'Brien · draw 3 · combo 28/83 (34%)
3yo · F · b
22
32.16/4·2.522.1·2.10
Betfair Exchange · -16% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
4
J: Wayne Lordan · T: A P O'Brien · draw 2 · combo 10/79 (13%)
3yo · F · b
27.07/1·8.187.4·7.40
Betfair Exchange · -9% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
J: Colin Keane · T: A Oliver · draw 8
3yo · F · bOnly pairing
35
26.5
12
J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 12 · combo 6/56 (11%)
3yo · F · bhFT HOnly runner
43
23.510/3·4.403.9·3.90
Betfair Exchange · -11% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
3
J: Adam Browne-Souza(7) · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 9 · combo 2/16 (13%)
3yo · F · ghOnly ride
0
15.0150/1·127.07100/1·101.00
Boyle Sports · -20% vs fair
All 28 books ▾
10
J: Robbie Colgan · T: A J Martin · draw 1 · combo 1/19 (5%)
3yo · F · chOnly runner
15.0100/1·101.91100/1·101.00
Bet365
All 29 books ▾
11
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 7 · combo 18/140 (13%)
3yo · F · b
80
14.2150/1·158.53125/1·126.00
Unibet · -20% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
7
J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Joseph Patrick O'Brien · draw 11 · combo 39/191 (20%)
3yo · F · b
0
13.518/1·18.8733/1·34.00
SmarketsSBK · +80% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
2
J: Nicola Burns(5) · T: Thomas Gibney · draw 10
3yo · F · bOnly rideOnly runner
0
10.0150/1·127.07100/1·101.00
CopyBet · -20% vs fair
All 29 books ▾
6
J: Siobhan Rutledge · T: John C McConnell · draw 5 · combo 0/23 (0%)
3yo · F · brOnly runner
00
10.0150/1·127.07300·300.00
Betfair Exchange · +136% vs fair
All 29 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 28–29 bookmakers per horse with the 26% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden?

The Irish Stallion Farms EBF Fillies Maiden is off at 19:45 on 14 August 2026 at Cork (Ireland).

What is the field size and distance of the 19:45 Cork?

1m2½f, Flat, 11 runners declared.

What is the going for the 19:45 Cork?

Going is reported as Good on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 19:45 Cork?

The AI top-rated runner is Serendipia (score 53.8, best price 13.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 19:45 Cork?

The market favourite is Garden Party at a best price of 2.10. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Serendipia.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org