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Next · 10h 7m19:08Worcester

16:15 Catterick

racingtv.com Handicap Stakes

5f · Flat · Class 5 · Good · 11 runners · £4,187 · Monday, 17 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 11th
  1. 1st
    Our Absent Friends (IRE)
    David Allan·Tristan Davidson
    7/2·4.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Canaria Queen (GB)
    Duran Fentiman·Tim Easterby·beaten 4 lengths
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Cheerleader (GB)
    Andrew Mullen·Tina Jackson·beaten 1 length
    9/1·10.00
    SP
Race time
58.60s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Our Absent Friends (IRE))

Settled in the front rank early - hit the front before the 1f marker - pushed forward with a furlong left - drew away inside the final furlong to score comfortably

AI top-rated Invincible Crown (score 49.6) finished 11th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 22.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Staniel Cay

Staniel Cay sits just a pound behind the top-rated Miss Brazen but is preferred here on the strength of a progressive profile that suggests there is more to come, making her an appealing proposition over this sharp five furlongs at Catterick on good ground. Miss Brazen cannot be dismissed lightly at the head of the ratings, while Tees Aggregates and Beaumadier, both rated alongside each other a pound in arrears of the top-rated, will make this competitive in an open-looking Class 5 heat. The selection's upward trajectory gives the edge in what promises to be a tight finish, and Staniel Cay is the call.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Invincible Crown

Tom Eaves · Ruth Carr · 4yo

Top-rated of 11
score 49.6 · +0.2 clear of next best (49.4)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 7-4-2-1-4-4
  • Trainer20% weight
    43below average
    Ruth Carr: 5/29 winners last 14d (17%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    39below average
    OR 58
MarketBest price 101.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 5th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Catterick 5f

full course data →

Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.36).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.36
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.79
High (9–11)
IV 0.80

Today: Staniel Cay (draw 1) and Cheerleader (draw 3) get the bias; Beaumadier (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 150 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
13
J: David Allan · T: Tristan Davidson · draw 4
8yo · G · ch
637919
6937.1
7/2·4.50
SP
26
J: Duran Fentiman · T: Tim Easterby · draw 2
6yo · M · blp
215528
6845.1
13/2·7.50
SP
311
J: Andrew Mullen · T: Tina Jackson · draw 3
4yo · F · b
28943
5446.0
9/1·10.00
SP
48
J: Oisin Orr · T: Grant Tuer · draw 1
3yo · G · b
45413
6647.5
100/30F·4.33
SP
54
6yo · M · b
81365
6941.3
22/1·23.00
SP
65
J: James Sullivan · T: Ruth Carr · draw 7
6yo · G · bp
296234
6848.0
8/1·9.00
SP
710
J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 5
6yo · G · cht
182383
5638.2
12/1·13.00
SP
87
J: Hope Regan(7) · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 6
6yo · G · b
743255
6848.5
10/1·11.00
SP
92
5yo · G · bh
369410
7049.4
20/1·21.00
SP
101
J: Jack Garritty · T: Adrian Nicholls · draw 8
4yo · G · b
533170
7041.0
11/2·6.50
SP
119
J: Tom Eaves · T: Ruth Carr · draw 10
4yo · G · b
742144
5849.6
22/1·23.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:15 Catterick on 17 August 2026?

Our Absent Friends (IRE) won the 16:15 Catterick at SP 4.50. Ridden by David Allan. Trained by Tristan Davidson.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:15 Catterick?

No — the AI top pick (Invincible Crown) finished 11.

What were the placings in the 16:15 Catterick?

Top finishers: 1. Our Absent Friends (IRE) (4.50), 2. Canaria Queen (GB) (7.50), 3. Cheerleader (GB) (10.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:15 Catterick?

The winning time was 58.60s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org