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RacingAlpha

14:10 Curragh

Ireland

Irish EBF Median Sires Series Maiden

6f · Flat · Good · 18 runners · €15,000 · Sunday, 16 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 7th
  1. 1st
    Fighting Tears (IRE)
    Ronan Whelan·A Oliver
    11/2·6.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Roeillaun (IRE)
    Chris Hayes·Noel Meade·beaten .5 lengths
    50/1·51.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Kindacan (IRE)
    Ben Coen·J P Murtagh·beaten .5 lengths
    12/1·13.00
    SP
Race time
1m 12.89s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Fighting Tears (IRE))

Sat just behind the front group early - third at the halfway point - driven into contention with a furlong and a half left - edged into second and asked for more inside the final furlong before getting on top close home

AI top-rated The Pipeman (score 36.6) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way36.6/100 rating
The Pipeman
6.40Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Why the model rates this top

The Pipeman

Wayne Lordan · Miss Natalia Lupini · 2yo

Top-rated of 18
score 36.6 · +11.6 clear of next best (25.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    85very strong
    36d since last run (fresh)
  • Form20% weight
    78strong
    Last 6: 2
  • Trainer20% weight
    63small sample (n=4)
    Miss Natalia Lupini: 1/4 winners last 14d (25%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
  • Ratings50% weight
    0weak
    no Racing Post ratings on file
MarketBest price 6.40 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 18.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 6f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–7)
IV 1.03
Mid (8–13)
IV 0.84
High (14–19)
IV 1.12

Today: Savannah Sun (draw 15) and Coincidenza (draw 18) get the bias; Fighting Tears (draw 12) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
111
J: Ronan Whelan · T: A Oliver · draw 12
2yo · F · b
24.5
11/2·6.50
SP
216
J: Chris Hayes · T: Noel Meade · draw 2
2yo · F · ch
67
13.3
50/1·51.00
SP
37
J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 6
2yo · F · b
21.0
12/1·13.00
SP
46
J: Luke McAteer · T: David Marnane · draw 1
2yo · G · b
7
11.5
15/2·8.50
SP
517
2yo · F · b
18.5
50/1·51.00
SP
612
J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 5
2yo · F · b
5
19.5
100/30·4.33
SP
71
2yo · C · b
2
36.6
5/1·6.00
SP
82
J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 7
2yo · C · b
49
17.8
28/1·29.00
SP
910
2yo · F · b
15.0
15/8F·2.88
SP
1018
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: T G McCourt · draw 16
2yo · F · bhFT H
59
11.3
200/1·201.00
SP
118
J: Rory Cleary · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 11
2yo · C · b
15.0
66/1·67.00
SP
129
J: James Ryan · T: T G McCourt · draw 10
2yo · G · b
5
16.0
250/1·251.00
SP
135
J: Robert Whearty · T: F G Hand · draw 19
2yo · G · b
00
10.0
250/1·251.00
SP
1419
J: Jimmy Dalton(7) · T: Michael J Browne · draw 15
2yo · F · bpFT P
25.0
25/1·26.00
SP
1514
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 17
2yo · F · b
57
14.0
20/1·21.00
SP
1613
J: Gavin Ryan · T: Rory Anthony Devine · draw 9
2yo · C · b
15.0
80/1·81.00
SP
173
2yo · G · b
22.5
18/1·19.00
SP
184
J: Leigh Roche · T: Sean Davis · draw 13
2yo · C · b
00
23.5
300/1·301.00
SP
2yo · F · b
15.0

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 14:10 Curragh on 16 August 2026?

Fighting Tears (IRE) won the 14:10 Curragh at SP 6.50. Ridden by Ronan Whelan. Trained by A Oliver.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:10 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (The Pipeman) finished 7.

What were the placings in the 14:10 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Fighting Tears (IRE) (6.50), 2. Roeillaun (IRE) (51.00), 3. Kindacan (IRE) (13.00).

What was the winning time for the 14:10 Curragh?

The winning time was 1m 12.89s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org