Who won the 14:45 Curragh on 16 August 2026?
Comfort Line (IRE) won the 14:45 Curragh at SP 6.00. Ridden by Adam Caffrey. Trained by Adrian McGuinness.
14:45 Curragh
IrelandMelbourne Cup Carnival Handicap
1m · Flat · Good · 13 runners · €10,800 · Sunday, 16 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stComfort Line (IRE)Adam Caffrey·Adrian McGuinness5/1·6.00SP
- 2ndAvec Grand Plaisir (FR)Ronan Whelan·Jarlath P Fahey·beaten 0.3 lengths12/1·13.00SP
- 3rdSherekiya (IRE)Chris Hayes·D K Weld·beaten 0.05 lengths11/1·12.00SP
Race time
1m 39.80s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Comfort Line (IRE))
“Held up towards the back of the pack - squeezed for space and driven out with 2f left before angling left approaching the final furlong - finished strongly in the last 150 yards to get up and score”
AI top-rated Tofino (score 47.3) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 5.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way47.3/100 rating
Tofino
8.60Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Bundle Of Interest
Bundle Of Interest holds a clear advantage over the rest of this sixteen-runner Curragh field on ratings, sitting narrowly ahead of Tofino, Pallatine Hills and Neo Smart, who are all grouped together and represent the principal dangers to our selection. Those three rivals will need to find significant improvement to bridge the gap, and on current form Bundle Of Interest looks the standout proposition over this good-ground mile. The selection is Bundle Of Interest.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Tofino
Gary Carroll · Gavin Cromwell · 4yo
Top-rated of 13
score 47.3 · +3.3 clear of next best (44.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight85very strong33d since last run (fresh)
- Trainer20% weight60averageGavin Cromwell: 4/17 winners last 14d (24%)
- Ratings50% weight43below averageOR 64
- Form20% weight27weakLast 6: 7-5-2-0-6
MarketBest price 8.60 (Betfair Exchange) · 3rd in the market of 13.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Curragh 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–6)
IV 0.96
Mid (7–11)
IV 0.99
High (12–16)
IV 1.04
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 211 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 6 | J: Adam Caffrey · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 12 9yo · G · gv | 312564 | 62 | 44.0 | 5/1·6.00 SP |
| 2 | 11 | J: Ronan Whelan · T: Jarlath P Fahey · draw 4 3yo · G · b | 07538 | 64 | 33.8 | 12/1·13.00 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Chris Hayes · T: D K Weld · draw 13 3yo · F · b | 7547 | 68 | 38.1 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Orla Tynan(7) · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 15 4yo · F · b | 710880 | 65 | 39.1 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Jamie Powell · T: Eddie & Patrick Harty · draw 2 4yo · G · bt | 55060 | 62 | 29.9 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Declan McDonogh · T: J S Bolger · draw 7 5yo · M · bt | 977454 | 68 | 36.1 | 7/2F·4.50 SP |
| 7 | 1 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: W McCreery · draw 6 4yo · F · bv | 43707 | 71 | 42.5 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 10 4yo · F · b | 75206 | 64 | 47.3 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 9 | 15 | J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Peter Fahey · draw 8 5yo · G · bb | 541925 | 52 | 35.5 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 10 | 13 | J: Robbie Colgan · T: Matthew J Smith · draw 1 3yo · F · chpFT P | 22023 | 62 | 40.5 | 15/2·8.50 SP |
| 11 | 9 | J: Luke McAteer · T: David Marnane · draw 3 3yo · F · cht | 95804 | 67 | 35.1 | 18/1·19.00 SP |
| 12 | 5 | J: James Ryan · T: Chris Timmons · draw 5 4yo · G · bt | 4450 | 63 | 34.0 | 125/1·126.00 SP |
| 13 | 10 | J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Michael Mulvany · draw 16 8yo · G · chp | 039517 | 59 | 34.7 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Ben Coen · T: Martin Hassett · draw 11 4yo · G · b | 60842 | 56 | 33.9 | — |
| — | — | J: Andrew Slattery · T: Andrew Slattery · draw 9 3yo · G · btpFT TP | 6609 | 63 | 33.7 | — |
| — | — | J: Nathan Crosse · T: S M Duffy · draw 14 4yo · F · b | 00004 | 46 | 25.3 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 14:45 Curragh?
No — the AI top pick (Tofino) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 14:45 Curragh?
Top finishers: 1. Comfort Line (IRE) (6.00), 2. Avec Grand Plaisir (FR) (13.00), 3. Sherekiya (IRE) (12.00).
What was the winning time for the 14:45 Curragh?
The winning time was 1m 39.80s.
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