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RacingAlpha

16:55 Curragh

Ireland

William Hill Irish EBF Juvenile Sprint Stakes (Listed)

5f · Flat · Class 1 · Good · 10 runners · €30,000 · Sunday, 16 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Armor Supreme (IRE)
    Rossa Ryan·Diego Dias
    13/8F·2.62
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Grayrobin (GB)AI top pick · 57.7
    Chris Hayes·Miss Kate McGivern·beaten 1.25 lengths
    15/2·8.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    New Bond Street (GB)
    Oisin Murphy·P Twomey·beaten .75 lengths
    3/1·4.00
    SP
Race time
59.04s

Race time recorded.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 7.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way57.7/100 rating
Grayrobin
8.00Octobet
Place portion settles at 2.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Star Prospect

Star Prospect heads this ten-runner sprint at the Curragh on a rating eight points clear of Armor Supreme, who represents the most pressing threat alongside the unexposed Concorde Landed and the consistent Grayrobin, though the confidence in the selection is not high given the quality lurking beneath. Star Prospect's rating advantage over the field is real if modest against the principals, and on good ground over five furlongs the selection ought to have the pace to assert. The danger from Armor Supreme in particular cannot be dismissed lightly, and Concorde Landed may prove sharper than her rating suggests. Star Prospect is the selection.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Grayrobin

Chris Hayes · Miss Kate McGivern · 2yo

Top-rated of 10
score 57.7 · +0.6 clear of next best (57.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    23d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    85very strong
    Last 6: 8-1-1
  • Ratings50% weight
    61average
    OR 92
  • Trainer20% weight
    0small sample (n=2)
    Miss Kate McGivern: 0/2 winners last 14d (0%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
MarketBest price 8.00 (Octobet) · 4th in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Curragh 5f

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.12).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.03
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.84
High (8–10)
IV 1.12

Today: April Mist (draw 8) and New Bond Street (draw 10) get the bias; Brazilian Diva (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 182 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
14
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Diego Dias · draw 2
2yo · F · b
129
9549.3
13/8F·2.62
SP
21
J: Chris Hayes · T: Miss Kate McGivern · draw 3
2yo · C · gr
811
9257.7
15/2·8.50
SP
38
J: Oisin Murphy · T: P Twomey · draw 10
2yo · F · b
533
8753.5
3/1·4.00
SP
42
2yo · C · b
13037
8948.8
22/1·23.00
SP
55
J: Ben Coen · T: Daniel McLoughlin · draw 4
2yo · F · b
6544
8342.6
80/1·81.00
SP
66
J: Diego Lima · T: Diego Dias · draw 6
2yo · F · ch
375126
9150.7
10/1·11.00
SP
73
J: Gary Carroll · T: G M Lyons · draw 8
2yo · F · ch
217
8857.1
33/1·34.00
SP
87
J: Wayne Lordan · T: P Twomey · draw 7
2yo · F · chhFT H
14
29.2
3/1·4.00
SP
910
J: Gavin Ryan · T: Diego Dias · draw 9
2yo · F · b
15.0
125/1·126.00
SP
109
J: Shane Foley · T: Kieran P Cotter · draw 1
2yo · F · chtp
9889
5727.6
250/1·251.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 16:55 Curragh on 16 August 2026?

Armor Supreme (IRE) won the 16:55 Curragh at SP 2.62. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Diego Dias.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:55 Curragh?

No — the AI top pick (Grayrobin) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 16:55 Curragh?

Top finishers: 1. Armor Supreme (IRE) (2.62), 2. Grayrobin (GB) (8.50), 3. New Bond Street (GB) (4.00).

What was the winning time for the 16:55 Curragh?

The winning time was 59.04s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org