18:30 Newbury

UAE President Cup Series - Group 3 Pure Arabian Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 1 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £85,065 · Friday, 14 August 2026

E/W terms2 places at 1/4 odds in a 5-runner field — the place half of an each-way bet has historically returned −14% to −22% at these terms· the study →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated

Amir Athbah (A)

No. 2 · score 44.1 · +5.6 clear of next best · best 9/1·10.00

Drawn 3, inside the favoured middle third at this course and trip.

Best value vs consensus

Amir Athbah (A) (also top rated)

9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK · +22% vs fair (consensus 8.23)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 21 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

No pundit verdict published for this race — the Racing Post covers most but not all races. Our model's view is above.

Why the model rates this top

Amir Athbah (A)

Jean-Bernard Eyquem · P Collington · 3yo

Top-rated of 5

score 44.1 · +5.6 clear of next best (38.5)

Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

Trainer20% weight
100small sample (n=2)
P Collington: 1/2 winners last 14d (50%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
Freshness10% weight
85very strong
36d since last run (fresh)
Form20% weight
78strong
Last 6: 2-2
Ratings50% weight
0weak
no Racing Post ratings on file

MarketBest price 10.00 (SmarketsSBK) · 4th in the market of 5.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Newbury 1m

full course data →

Moderate: middle favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–2)

IV 0.99

Mid (3–4)

IV 1.16

High (5–5)

IV 0.86

Today: Amir Athbah (A) (draw 3) and Lella De La Gloire (A) (draw 4) get the bias; Eljas Du Bienn (A) (draw 5) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 147 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair

No.	Horse	Form	Wt	OR	RPR	TS	AI	Fair	Best
2	Amir Athbah (A)Pick J: Jean-Bernard Eyquem · T: P Collington · draw 3 3yo · C · btOnly ride	22	9-00	—	—	—	44.1	7/1·8.23	9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK · +22% vs fair All 21 books ▾ SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Midnite13/2·7.50 Betfred6/1·7.00 talkSPORT BET6/1·7.00 BetWright6/1·7.00 PricedUp Bet6/1·7.00 Bet Victor6/1·7.00Virgin Bet6/1·7.00Dragon Bet6/1·7.00 CopyBet6/1·7.00 BresBet6/1·7.00BestOdds6/1·7.007Bet6/1·7.00 Star Sports6/1·7.00 Quinn Bet6/1·7.00 10 Bet6/1·7.00 Betano6/1·7.00 Bet36511/2·6.50 William Hill11/2·6.50 Unibet11/2·6.50 Betfair Exchange3.45·3.45
5	RB Tryst (A) J: Sean Levey · T: P Collington · draw 1 3yo · F · ghOnly pairing	3	8-10	—	—	—	38.5	11/1·11.76	9/1·10.00 Star Sports · -15% vs fair All 21 books ▾ Star Sports9/1·10.00 Midnite9/1·10.00 Betano9/1·10.00 Dragon Bet9/1·10.00 Bet Victor9/1·10.00 10 Bet9/1·10.00Virgin Bet9/1·10.00talkSPORT BET9/1·10.00 BetWright9/1·10.00 CopyBet9/1·10.00 PricedUp Bet9/1·10.00 BresBet9/1·10.00BestOdds9/1·10.007Bet9/1·10.00 Quinn Bet9/1·10.00 SmarketsSBK9/1·10.00 Bet3659/1·10.00 Betfred9/1·10.00 Unibet17/2·9.50 William Hill17/2·9.50 Betfair Exchange7·7.00
3	Eljas Du Bienn (A) J: Antoine Werle · T: Mme J-F Bernard · draw 5 3yo · C · chOnly ride	123	9-00	—	—	—	31.5	5/2·3.53	9/4·3.25 SmarketsSBK · -8% vs fair All 24 books ▾ SmarketsSBK9/4·3.25 Bet3659/4·3.25 Betfair Exchange3.05·3.05 PricedUp Bet2/1·3.00 Unibet2/1·3.00 Bet Victor2/1·3.00 10 Bet2/1·3.00 Dragon Bet2/1·3.00 CopyBet2/1·3.00 BetAhoy2/1·3.00 Star Sports2/1·3.00 Midnite2/1·3.00 Quinn Bet2/1·3.00 William Hill2/1·3.00 Betfred2/1·3.00 BetTom2/1·3.00Virgin Bet2/1·3.00talkSPORT BET2/1·3.00 BetWright2/1·3.00 Betano2/1·3.00Octobet2/1·3.00BresBet2/1·3.00BestOdds2/1·3.007Bet2/1·3.00
1	Nehmo De Carrere (A) J: Guillaume Guedj-Gay · T: X Thomas-Demeaulte · draw 2 3yo · C · grpFT POnly rideOnly runner	11	9-05	—	—	—	30.0	2/1·2.94	7/4·2.75 Bet365 · -6% vs fair All 21 books ▾ Bet3657/4·2.75 William Hill13/8·2.63 Bet Victor6/4·2.50 Betfred6/4·2.50 Betano6/4·2.50 Dragon Bet6/4·2.50 Quinn Bet6/4·2.50 Unibet6/4·2.50 10 Bet6/4·2.50Virgin Bet6/4·2.50talkSPORT BET6/4·2.50 BetWright6/4·2.50 CopyBet6/4·2.50 PricedUp Bet6/4·2.50 BresBet6/4·2.50BestOdds6/4·2.507Bet6/4·2.50 Star Sports6/4·2.50 Midnite6/4·2.50 SmarketsSBK5/4·2.25 Betfair Exchange2.24·2.24
4	Lella De La Gloire (A) J: Mickael Forest · T: Mme J-F Bernard · draw 4 3yo · F · bpFT POnly ride	15	8-10	—	—	—	27.7	5/1·5.88	5.6·5.60 Betfair Exchange · -5% vs fair All 21 books ▾ Betfair Exchange5.6·5.60 Bet3659/2·5.50 William Hill4/1·5.00 PricedUp Bet4/1·5.00 Betano4/1·5.00 Dragon Bet4/1·5.00 CopyBet4/1·5.00 BresBet4/1·5.00BestOdds4/1·5.007Bet4/1·5.00 Star Sports4/1·5.00 Midnite4/1·5.00 Quinn Bet4/1·5.00 SmarketsSBK4/1·5.00 Betfred4/1·5.00 Unibet4/1·5.00 Bet Victor4/1·5.00 10 Bet4/1·5.00Virgin Bet4/1·5.00talkSPORT BET4/1·5.00 BetWright4/1·5.00

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 21–24 bookmakers per horse with the 18% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the UAE President Cup Series - Group 3 Pure Arabian Stakes?

The UAE President Cup Series - Group 3 Pure Arabian Stakes is off at 18:30 on 14 August 2026 at Newbury (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 18:30 Newbury?

1m, Class 1, Flat, 5 runners declared.

What is the going for the 18:30 Newbury?

Going is reported as Good To Firm on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 18:30 Newbury?

The AI top-rated runner is Amir Athbah (A) (score 44.1, best price 10.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 18:30 Newbury?

The market favourite is Nehmo De Carrere (A) at a best price of 2.75. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Amir Athbah (A).

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org