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RacingAlpha

15:15 Chepstow

Bailey Family Investments / EBF Maiden Stakes (GBB Race)

7f · Flat · Class 3 · Good To Firm · 5 runners · £7,020 · Tuesday, 18 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick wonat SP 13/2·7.50
  1. 1st
    Avionics (IRE)AI top pick · 50.7
    Tom Marquand·Andrew Balding
    13/2·7.50
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Grove Street (GB)
    Joe Leavy·Brian Meehan·beaten 0.3 lengths
    2/5F·1.40
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Talamon (USA)
    Billy Loughnane·George Boughey·beaten 5.5 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
Race time
1m 22.11s

Race time recorded.

Settled · 1pt level stake = 6.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Why the model rates this top

Avionics

Tom Marquand · Andrew Balding · 2yo

Top-rated of 6
score 50.7 · +19.6 clear of next best (31.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    14d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Ratings50% weight
    54average
    OR 81 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Form20% weight
    44below average
    Last 6: 4-2-6
  • Trainer20% weight
    25weak
    Andrew Balding: 5/49 winners last 14d (10%)
MarketBest price 9.20 (Smarkets) · 2nd in the market of 6.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 7f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–2)
IV 1.06
Mid (3–4)
IV 0.95
High (5–6)
IV 0.98

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
11
Avionics
J: Tom Marquand · T: Andrew Balding · draw 5
2yo · C · b
426
8150.7
13/2·7.50
SP
22
Grove Street
J: Joe Leavy · T: Brian Meehan · draw 1
2yo · C · b
2
—31.1
2/5F·1.40
SP
35
Talamon
J: Billy Loughnane · T: George Boughey · draw 4
2yo · C · ch
——26.5
11/1·12.00
SP
46
La Bassette
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 3
2yo · F · b
0
—25.0
5/1·6.00
SP
54
It's A Dream
J: Ben Ffrench Davis(5) · T: Dominic Ffrench Davis · draw 6
2yo · C · b
59
—9.3
150/1·151.00
SP
——
Highland Frost
J: Rob Hornby · T: Jonathan Portman · draw 2
2yo · C · gr
——15.0—

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 15:15 Chepstow on 18 August 2026?

Avionics (IRE) won the 15:15 Chepstow at SP 7.50. Ridden by Tom Marquand. Trained by Andrew Balding.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:15 Chepstow?

Yes — the AI top-rated horse, Avionics, won the race (AI score 50.7).

What were the placings in the 15:15 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Avionics (IRE) (7.50), 2. Grove Street (GB) (1.40), 3. Talamon (USA) (12.00).

What was the winning time for the 15:15 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 22.11s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org