Who won the 15:50 Chepstow on 18 August 2026?
Rating (IRE) won the 15:50 Chepstow at SP 4.50. Ridden by Rossa Ryan. Trained by Grace Harris.
15:50 Chepstow
Trade Centre Wales Handicap Stakes (Chepstow Mile Series Qualifier)
1m · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 8 runners · £3,454 · Tuesday, 18 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stRating (IRE)Rossa Ryan·Grace Harris7/2·4.50SP
- 2ndRisen Again (FR)William Carson·John & Rhys Flint·beaten 1.25 lengths17/2·9.50SP
- 3rdScarfo (IRE)Zoe Lewis·Bernard Llewellyn·beaten 1.25 lengths7/1·8.00SP
Race time
1m 35.14s
Race time recorded.
AI top-rated Bobby Dassler (score 45.3) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 28.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way42.1/100 rating
Risen Again
12.00Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Look Back Smiling
Look Back Smiling heads this Chepstow mile contest on good-to-firm ground with the highest rating in the line-up, sitting five points ahead of Counting Cards and a more comfortable margin clear of Risen Again and Rating, who represent the chief dangers should anything go amiss. Counting Cards and Risen Again will likely push hardest in the straight, but Look Back Smiling's superior form profile gives her connections every reason for confidence on this surface and trip. Our selection is Look Back Smiling.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Bobby Dassler
Mason Paetel(5) · Barry John Murphy · 7yo
Top-rated of 8
score 45.3 · +3.3 clear of next best (42.1)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong21d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight50no sampleBarry John Murphy — no runners last 14 days — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Form20% weight37below averageLast 6: 4-8-1-3-7-7
- Ratings50% weight36below averageOR 54
MarketBest price 46.00 (Smarkets) · 7th in the market of 8.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 1m
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–6)
IV 0.95
High (7–8)
IV 0.98
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 4 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Grace Harris · draw 2 5yo · M · chp | 315535 | 62 | 39.7 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: William Carson · T: John & Rhys Flint · draw 1 5yo · G · chp | 00662 | 60 | 42.1 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 3 | 8 | J: Zoe Lewis(7) · T: Bernard Llewellyn · draw 5 5yo · G · ch | 913226 | 49 | 41.8 | 7/1·8.00 SP |
| 4 | 7 | J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Rod Millman · draw 4 8yo · G · chp | 656535 | 53 | 34.2 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Ian Williams · draw 7 4yo · G · chp | 85955 | 65 | 40.4 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 6 | 2 | J: Tom Marquand · T: Neil Mulholland · draw 8 6yo · G · chp | 90437 | 65 | 37.7 | 9/2·5.50 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Ed de Giles · draw 3 4yo · G · b | 74908 | 64 | 32.1 | 80/1·81.00 SP |
| 8 | 6 | J: Mason Paetel(5) · T: Barry John Murphy · draw 6 7yo · G · b | 481377 | 54 | 45.3 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 15:50 Chepstow?
No — the AI top pick (Bobby Dassler) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 15:50 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. Rating (IRE) (4.50), 2. Risen Again (FR) (9.50), 3. Scarfo (IRE) (8.00).
What was the winning time for the 15:50 Chepstow?
The winning time was 1m 35.14s.
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