Who won the 16:25 Chepstow on 18 August 2026?
Too Much Trevor (GB) won the 16:25 Chepstow at SP 10.00. Ridden by Ashley Lewis. Trained by Grace Harris.
16:25 Chepstow
Trade Centre Uk Handicap Stakes
7f · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Firm · 7 runners · £4,187 · Tuesday, 18 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stToo Much Trevor (GB)Ashley Lewis·Grace Harris9/1·10.00SP
- 2ndVon Trotter (GB)Joanna Mason·Michael & David Easterby·beaten 0.3 lengths11/4F·3.75SP
- 3rdEspona Bay (IRE)Kieran O'Neill·Scott Dixon·beaten 2 lengths7/2·4.50SP
Race time
1m 23.04s
Race time recorded.
AI top-rated Rogue Exile (score 64.4) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way49.5/100 rating
Espona Bay
6.50Bet MGM
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Evie Ross
Evie Ross heads this seven-runner Class 5 contest at Chepstow on a rating narrowly ahead of Espona Bay, with Von Trotter and Name The Day also meriting respect as the chief dangers in what looks a competitive enough heat over seven furlongs on good-to-firm ground. Espona Bay and Von Trotter in particular could make life difficult if Evie Ross fails to reproduce her best, and at low confidence this is no banker. That said, Evie Ross holds the strongest credentials on ratings and is the call here, with the selection being Evie Ross.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Rogue Exile
Harry Davies · James Owen · 3yo
Top-rated of 7
score 64.4 · +10.5 clear of next best (53.9)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong17d since last run (race-fit window)
- Form20% weight93very strongLast 6: 2-1
- Trainer20% weight58averageJames Owen: 9/40 winners last 14d (23%)
- Ratings50% weight49below averageOR 73
MarketBest price 101.00 (Virgin Bet) · 6th in the market of 7.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Chepstow 7f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 1.06
Mid (4–5)
IV 0.95
High (6–7)
IV 0.98
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 108 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 7 | J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: Grace Harris · draw 6 5yo · G · br | 144173 | 56 | 36.7 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 2 | 5 | J: Joanna Mason · T: Michael & David Easterby · draw 3 3yo · G · br | 007621 | 67 | 47.5 | 11/4F·3.75 SP |
| 3 | 3 | J: Kieran O'Neill · T: Scott Dixon · draw 5 3yo · G · ch | 313351 | 70 | 49.5 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Billy Loughnane · T: Oliver Cole · draw 7 3yo · F · ch | 59431 | 63 | 46.7 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 5 | 1 | J: Rossa Ryan · T: Clive Cox · draw 1 3yo · F · bvFT V | 16955 | 74 | 53.9 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
| 6 | 4 | J: Oliver Carmichael(7) · T: Eve Johnson Houghton · draw 4 3yo · F · ch | 49104 | 70 | 47.1 | 40/1·41.00 SP |
| 7 | 2 | J: Harry Davies · T: James Owen · draw 2 3yo · C · b | 21 | 73 | 64.4 | 7/2·4.50 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:25 Chepstow?
No — the AI top pick (Rogue Exile) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 16:25 Chepstow?
Top finishers: 1. Too Much Trevor (GB) (10.00), 2. Von Trotter (GB) (3.75), 3. Espona Bay (IRE) (4.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:25 Chepstow?
The winning time was 1m 23.04s.
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