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Next · 6h 32m19:08Worcester

17:00 Chepstow

Saxon Automobiles Handicap Stakes

6f · Flat · Class 6 · Good To Firm · 10 runners · £3,454 · Tuesday, 18 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick finished 9th
  1. 1st
    Arnaz (GB)
    Billy Loughnane·Mark Loughnane
    6/5F·2.20
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Some Nightmare (IRE)
    Gina Mangan·John O'Shea·beaten 4 lengths
    11/1·12.00
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Connie's Rose (GB)
    Rossa Ryan·Grace Harris·beaten 3.5 lengths
    5/1·6.00
    SP
Race time
1m 10.56s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Arnaz (GB))

Settled up in second early - hit the front after a furlong - opened up the field from inside the final furlong and a half - eased through the line in command

AI top-rated Savannah Smiles (score 43.4) finished 9th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 20.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Benavente

Benavente holds a clear edge over this Class 6 field at Chepstow, sitting narrowly ahead of the nearest challengers on form and looking the most accomplished performer in a competitive six-furlong contest on good-to-firm ground. Connie's Rose and Le Beau Garcon, both rated eight pounds behind, represent the chief threats and will need to find improvement to close that gap, while Zoulu Warrior also merits respect if travelling smoothly through the race. The step back to this level should suit, and although the medium confidence reflects a field that is unlikely to fold without a fight, Benavente holds enough in hand to come out on top. The selection is Benavente.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Savannah Smiles

Harry Vigors(5) · Grace Harris · 6yo

Top-rated of 10
score 43.4 · +0.2 clear of next best (43.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    25d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    60average
    Last 6: 6-2-3-1-2-6
  • Ratings50% weight
    43below average
    OR 64 — highest combined rating in the field
  • Trainer20% weight
    0weak
    Grace Harris: 0/17 winners last 14d (0%)
MarketBest price 101.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 2nd in the market of 10.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Chepstow 6f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–4)
IV 1.00
Mid (5–7)
IV 0.90
High (8–10)
IV 1.08

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 106 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
18
J: Billy Loughnane · T: Mark Loughnane · draw 8
5yo · G · b
078781
5438.8
6/5F·2.20
SP
210
J: Gina Mangan · T: John O'Shea · draw 6
9yo · G · bp
543373
4932.6
11/1·12.00
SP
33
J: Rossa Ryan · T: Grace Harris · draw 7
7yo · M · btp
272444
6340.7
5/1·6.00
SP
49
J: Ashley Lewis(3) · T: John O'Shea · draw 2
6yo · M · bp
756152
5034.6
14/1·15.00
SP
54
J: Lewis Edmunds · T: Heather Main · draw 10
4yo · G · chp
14707
6333.6
16/1·17.00
SP
65
5yo · M · grtp
91551
6343.2
7/2·4.50
SP
72
7yo · G · b
45096
6435.9
18/1·19.00
SP
87
9yo · G · grp
20046
5737.3
33/1·34.00
SP
91
J: Harry Vigors(5) · T: Grace Harris · draw 5
6yo · M · bp
623126
6443.4
20/1·21.00
SP
106
J: Nicola Currie · T: Gary Brown · draw 1
8yo · G · b
642381
5937.9
100/1·101.00
SP

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 17:00 Chepstow on 18 August 2026?

Arnaz (GB) won the 17:00 Chepstow at SP 2.20. Ridden by Billy Loughnane. Trained by Mark Loughnane.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 17:00 Chepstow?

No — the AI top pick (Savannah Smiles) finished 9.

What were the placings in the 17:00 Chepstow?

Top finishers: 1. Arnaz (GB) (2.20), 2. Some Nightmare (IRE) (12.00), 3. Connie's Rose (GB) (6.00).

What was the winning time for the 17:00 Chepstow?

The winning time was 1m 10.56s.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org