Who won the 19:15 Roscommon on 18 August 2026?
Sagasti (IRE) won the 19:15 Roscommon at SP 29.00. Ridden by Colin Keane. Trained by M D O'Callaghan.
19:15 Roscommon
IrelandWTW Willis Handicap
7½f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 14 runners · €9,600 · Tuesday, 18 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 7thRace report
- 1stSagasti (IRE)Colin Keane·M D O'Callaghan28/1·29.00SP
- 2ndCool Azul (IRE)W J Lee·A Oliver·beaten 1.5 lengths11/2·6.50SP
- 3rdThenandnow (IRE)Shane Foley·Mrs John Harrington·beaten 3.25 lengths9/1·10.00SP
Race time
1m 33.30s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Sagasti (IRE))
“Settled midfield early - moved through to the front after the opening furlong - challenged hard with 2f remaining - pushed along and overtaken a furlong out - slipped back to third with 200 yards left before fighting back to score right on the line”
AI top-rated Earls (score 62.8) finished 7th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Other selections
Head-to-head dashboard →Each-way58.5/100 rating
Cool Azul
7.80Betfair Exchange
Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Contrary To Law
Contrary To Law arrives here with a progressive profile that hints at more to come, and a fitness edge over some of the higher-rated rivals gives connections genuine cause for optimism around the mile trip on good ground at Roscommon. Cool Azul heads the field on ratings, with Flaming Rib and Thenandnow also holding clear numerical advantages, so Contrary To Law will need to run to the top of his ability to get involved, and the confidence in this call is modest. That said, a horse still on the upgrade can outrun a bare rating, and if the fitness advantage translates into a strong finish through the final furlong of this competitive eighteen-runner contest, the gap to the principals may prove smaller than it looks on paper. Contrary To Law is our selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Earls
Gary Carroll · Gavin Cromwell · 9yo
Top-rated of 18
score 62.8 · +1.2 clear of next best (61.7)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Freshness10% weight100very strong19d since last run (race-fit window)
- Trainer20% weight73strongGavin Cromwell: 4/14 winners last 14d (29%)
- Form20% weight62averageLast 6: 0-0-2-2-2-3
- Ratings50% weight52averageOR 78
MarketBest price 29.00 (LiveScore Bet) · 5th in the market of 18.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Roscommon 7½f
full course data →Strong: low (inside) favoured (IV 1.26).
Low (1–6)
IV 1.26
Mid (7–12)
IV 1.09
High (13–18)
IV 0.64
Today: Earls (draw 3) and Cool Azul (draw 4) get the bias; Contrary To Law (draw 18) is in the least-favoured band.
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 66 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15 | J: Colin Keane · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 10 3yo · F · chv | 63020 | 72 | 44.5 | 28/1·29.00 SP |
| 2 | 10 | 3yo · G · bpFT P | 22371 | 78 | 58.5 | 11/2·6.50 SP |
| 3 | 9 | J: Shane Foley · T: Mrs John Harrington · draw 13 3yo · F · b | 15035 | 79 | 45.7 | 9/1·10.00 SP |
| 4 | 6 | J: Julian Pietropaolo(7) · T: P F O'Donnell · draw 8 9yo · G · btb | 08045 | 75 | 49.7 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Gavin Ryan · T: P J F Murphy · draw 5 7yo · G · chp | 292300 | 75 | 48.9 | 20/1·21.00 SP |
| 6 | 12 | J: Ben Coen · T: J P Murtagh · draw 18 3yo · C · ch | 46714 | 77 | 49.2 | 7/2J·4.50 SP |
| 7 | 3 | J: Gary Carroll · T: Gavin Cromwell · draw 3 9yo · G · btb | 002223 | 78 | 62.8 | 7/2J·4.50 SP |
| 8 | 16 | J: Darragh O'Sullivan(7) · T: John J Nallen · draw 1 7yo · G · bp | 42942 | 70 | 40.4 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 9 | 2 | J: Dylan Browne McMonagle · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 17 4yo · G · b | 631215 | 79 | 47.0 | 13/2·7.50 SP |
| 10 | 4 | J: Ronan Whelan · T: John James Feane · draw 11 4yo · G · b | 31020 | 78 | 43.6 | 14/1·15.00 SP |
| 11 | 14 | J: Luke McAteer · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 15 3yo · G · b | 433020 | 74 | 40.2 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 12 | 8 | J: Paddy Harnett(5) · T: Gillian Scott · draw 9 5yo · G · brtb | 08148 | 73 | 61.7 | 16/1·17.00 SP |
| 13 | 5 | J: Patrick McGettigan(5) · T: Patrick T Foley · draw 7 4yo · G · bt | 83872 | 77 | 40.8 | 11/1·12.00 SP |
| 14 | 11 | J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Ross O'Sullivan · draw 14 4yo · F · b | 73453 | 72 | 45.7 | 22/1·23.00 SP |
| — | — | J: Wayne Lordan · T: Miss Natalia Lupini · draw 2 4yo · F · bb | 2030 | 70 | 35.0 | — |
| — | — | J: Reserve 3 · T: Adrian McGuinness · draw 12 7yo · G · bv | 05487 | 69 | 47.1 | — |
| — | — | J: Chris Hayes · T: John Andrew Kinsella · draw 6 6yo · G · chtp | 31000 | 82 | 47.3 | — |
| — | — | J: Reserve 2 · T: K Smith · draw 16 6yo · G · g | 401307 | 69 | 39.4 | — |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 19:15 Roscommon?
No — the AI top pick (Earls) finished 7.
What were the placings in the 19:15 Roscommon?
Top finishers: 1. Sagasti (IRE) (29.00), 2. Cool Azul (IRE) (6.50), 3. Thenandnow (IRE) (10.00).
What was the winning time for the 19:15 Roscommon?
The winning time was 1m 33.30s.
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