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RacingAlpha

20:15 Roscommon

Ireland

Class Grass Handicap

1m4f · Flat · Good To Yielding · 16 runners · €7,200 · Tuesday, 18 August 2026

Result

Race report

AI top pick placed 2nd
  1. 1st
    Fianna (IRE)
    James Ryan·Aidan Anthony Howard
    14/1·15.00
    SP
  2. 2nd
    Lady Plimsoll (IRE)AI top pick · 49.7
    Jamie Powell·M D O'Callaghan·beaten 1.5 lengths
    7/2J·4.50
    SP
  3. 3rd
    Summer Snow (IRE)
    Patrick McGettigan·Peter Lawlor·beaten 2.25 lengths
    14/1·15.00
    SP
Race time
2m 45.17s

Race time recorded.

In-running (Fianna (IRE))

Sat handy behind the front group - 5th at halfway - urged forward into 4th with 2f left - up to 2nd inside the final furlong - hit the front close home and stayed on strongly to win

Settled · 1pt level stake = 3.50 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →

Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Each-way49.7/100 rating
Lady Plimsoll
5.90Betfair Exchange

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Catherine Magennis

Catherine Magennis heads the ratings alongside Duke Of Leggagh on 79, but her overall profile across a competitive 18-runner field at Roscommon over twelve furlongs on good ground gives her the edge in a race where form consistency matters most; Summer Snow and Autocrat are worthy dangers at 77 and 76 respectively, while Duke Of Leggagh must be respected as the chief rival given he shares the top rating. The selection is Catherine Magennis.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Lady Plimsoll

Jamie Powell · M D O'Callaghan · 4yo

Top-rated of 18
score 49.7 · +2.1 clear of next best (47.6)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    18d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    59average
    Last 6: 2-6-2-3-3
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 70 — above field median
  • Trainer20% weight
    23weak
    M D O'Callaghan: 1/11 winners last 14d (9%)
MarketBest price 5.90 (Betfair Exchange) · 2nd in the market of 18.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Draw bias — Roscommon 1m4f

full course data →

No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.

Low (1–6)
IV 0.91
Mid (7–12)
IV 0.96
High (13–18)
IV 1.13

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 64 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by finishing position

PosNo.HorseFormORAISP
115
J: James Ryan · T: Aidan Anthony Howard · draw 1
5yo · M · btp
56357
5631.1
14/1·15.00
SP
25
J: Jamie Powell · T: M D O'Callaghan · draw 14
4yo · F · b
26233
7049.7
7/2J·4.50
SP
37
6yo · M · gt
90508
6931.9
14/1·15.00
SP
416
J: Jack Cleary(5) · T: Richard Brabazon · draw 15
4yo · F · b
589134
5036.5
6/1·7.00
SP
512
J: Wesley Joyce(3) · T: Philip M Byrne · draw 9
10yo · G · b
02070
6243.5
10/1·11.00
SP
64
J: Robbie Colgan · T: A J Martin · draw 5
4yo · G · b
52770
7037.2
66/1·67.00
SP
76
J: Sam Coen(5) · T: A Oliver · draw 4
4yo · F · bpFT P
04579
6947.6
10/1·11.00
SP
814
J: Nathan Crosse · T: John C McConnell · draw 3
6yo · G · btp
34090
5733.8
20/1·21.00
SP
99
J: Jack Kearney(3) · T: Patrick Magee · draw 7
4yo · F · b
2803U
6541.7
7/2J·4.50
SP
1010
4yo · F · ch
54406
6536.4
15/2·8.50
SP
111
J: Seamie Heffernan · T: Joseph G Murphy · draw 13
4yo · F · ch
723
7244.2
10/1·11.00
SP
1211
J: Robert Whearty · T: Paul W Flynn · draw 8
5yo · M · bp
40608
6330.1
20/1·21.00
SP
138
4yo · C · ch
978
6835.4
50/1·51.00
SP
143
J: Reese Holohan(7) · T: Mark Fahey · draw 6
6yo · G · chtp
142079
7038.4
14/1·15.00
SP
1513
J: Sean Davis · T: C Byrnes · draw 18
7yo · G · bvFT V
63361
6142.3
20/1·21.00
SP
162
6yo · G · gt
15790
7237.0
50/1·51.00
SP
J: · T: P Sweeney · draw 17
6yo · G · btb
170009
4434.7
J: · T: S M Duffy · draw 10
5yo · M · bp
00058
4423.9

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest

Frequently asked questions

Who won the 20:15 Roscommon on 18 August 2026?

Fianna (IRE) won the 20:15 Roscommon at SP 15.00. Ridden by James Ryan. Trained by Aidan Anthony Howard.

Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 20:15 Roscommon?

No — the AI top pick (Lady Plimsoll) finished 2.

What were the placings in the 20:15 Roscommon?

Top finishers: 1. Fianna (IRE) (15.00), 2. Lady Plimsoll (IRE) (4.50), 3. Summer Snow (IRE) (15.00).

What was the winning time for the 20:15 Roscommon?

The winning time was 2m 45.17s.

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