Who won the 16:55 Carlisle on 19 August 2026?
Dream Forever (IRE) won the 16:55 Carlisle at SP 34.00. Ridden by James Sullivan. Trained by Jedd O'Keeffe.
16:55 Carlisle
Armstrong Watson Handicap Stakes
6f · Flat · Class 6 · Soft · 8 runners · £4,187 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026
Result
AI top pick finished 8thRace report
- 1stDream Forever (IRE)James Sullivan·Jedd O'Keeffe33/1·34.00SP
- 2ndYellow Diamonds (IRE)Ryan Sexton·Julie Camacho·beaten 0.3 lengths15/8F·2.88SP
- 3rdHares Bredth (GB)David Allan·Tim Easterby·beaten 0.3 lengths5/2·3.50SP
Race time
1m 15.43s
Race time recorded.
In-running (Dream Forever (IRE))
“Held a forward spot early - drifted left approaching 3f out - closed on the pace inside 2f - pushed along and up to third with a furlong left - finished full of running in the closing stages to snatch it right on the line”
AI top-rated Oasis Cover (score 48.5) finished 8th.
Settled · 1pt level stake = 25.00 pt return on the winnerTipping P&L →
Furlong's verdict
Reading the form…
AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.
Pundit corner
Racing Post · third-partyPundit pick: Yellow Diamonds
Yellow Diamonds heads this eight-runner Class 6 sprint at Carlisle narrowly ahead of the field on form, holding a five-point edge over the chief danger Kilmac Air, and that advantage looks meaningful at this level over six furlongs on good ground. Kilmac Air is the obvious threat and Northern Tempest, along with Maximum Velocity, could make life interesting if Yellow Diamonds fails to reproduce best. The confidence is tempered slightly by the nature of the opposition, but the form reading points clearly enough in one direction. Yellow Diamonds is the selection.
Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.
Why the model rates this top
Oasis Cover
Aiden Brookes · Micky Hammond · 3yo
Top-rated of 8
score 48.5 · +4.5 clear of next best (44.0)
Scores compare runners within this race only
The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.
- Trainer20% weight83small sample (n=3)Micky Hammond: 1/3 winners last 14d (33%) — too few recent runs to judge the yard
- Freshness10% weight70strong8d since last run (quick turnaround)
- Ratings50% weight39below averageOR 58
- Form20% weight28weakLast 6: 3-0-2-8-7-5
MarketNo market price available yet.
v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.
Draw bias — Carlisle 6f
full course data →No meaningful draw bias at this course and trip.
Low (1–3)
IV 0.99
Mid (4–6)
IV 1.10
High (7–8)
IV 0.91
IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 99 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.
Runners · sorted by finishing position
| Pos | No. | Horse | Form | OR | AI | SP |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 8 | J: James Sullivan · T: Jedd O'Keeffe · draw 2 3yo · G · chbFT B | 24000 | 46 | 24.1 | 33/1·34.00 SP |
| 2 | 2 | J: Ryan Sexton · T: Julie Camacho · draw 8 3yo · F · b | 044452 | 64 | 40.6 | 15/8F·2.88 SP |
| 3 | 5 | J: David Allan · T: Tim Easterby · draw 6 3yo · G · bt | 437176 | 56 | 39.3 | 5/2·3.50 SP |
| 4 | 3 | J: Dougie Costello · T: John & Sean Quinn · draw 3 3yo · F · ch | 0436 | 58 | 37.3 | 17/2·9.50 SP |
| 5 | 7 | J: Connor Beasley · T: Michael Dods · draw 1 3yo · G · btFirst after wind op | 083465 | 54 | 37.3 | 8/1·9.00 SP |
| 6 | 1 | J: Alex Jary(3) · T: Nigel Tinkler · draw 5 3yo · G · bp | 019325 | 65 | 44.0 | 4/1·5.00 SP |
| 7 | 6 | J: Barry McHugh · T: Tracy Waggott · draw 4 3yo · G · ch | 6468 | 55 | 32.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
| 8 | 4 | J: Aiden Brookes · T: Micky Hammond · draw 7 3yo · F · b | 302875 | 58 | 48.5 | 25/1·26.00 SP |
OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest
Frequently asked questions
Did the Racing Alpha AI tip win the 16:55 Carlisle?
No — the AI top pick (Oasis Cover) finished 8.
What were the placings in the 16:55 Carlisle?
Top finishers: 1. Dream Forever (IRE) (34.00), 2. Yellow Diamonds (IRE) (2.88), 3. Hares Bredth (GB) (3.50).
What was the winning time for the 16:55 Carlisle?
The winning time was 1m 15.43s.
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