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Next · 5h 18m19:08Worcester

17:30 Carlisle

Knights Handicap Stakes

1m · Flat · Class 5 · Good To Soft · 9 runners · £4,187 · Wednesday, 19 August 2026

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Furlong's verdict

Reading the form…

AI-written, grounded in our data on this race. May be wrong. Verify before staking. Opinion, not advice.

Top rated
No. 1 · score 58.2 · +8.0 clear of next best · best 12/1·13.00
Best value vs consensus
15·15.00 Matchbook · +7% vs fair (consensus 13.99)

One book stands out from the de-overrounded consensus of 30 bookmakers. A price check, not a tip — the market can be wrong about a horse.

Each-way58.2/100 rating
Between Me And U
13.0010 Bet
Place portion settles at 3.40 · 1/5 odds · 3 places

Top-half AI rating in the EW price sweet spot. Each-way splits stake: half on the win, half on the place portion.

Pundit corner

Racing Post · third-party
Pundit pick: Keep An Eye On ItDiffers from our pick

Keep An Eye On It is narrowly behind Barley on ratings but is preferred on the strength of a progressive profile and a likely fitness edge that makes the bare one-point gap look misleading. Barley, Ephron and Hostility are the principal dangers in an open Class 5 over eight furlongs at Carlisle, though none has the combination of recent form and upward trajectory that makes our selection so compelling here. Keep An Eye On It is the pick.

Editorial from Racing Post analysts via the Racing API — not generated by Racing Alpha. Formbook forecast prices are estimates, not market prices.

Why the model rates this top

Between Me And U

David Allan · Michael Herrington · 5yo

Top-rated of 11
score 58.2 · +8.0 clear of next best (50.2)
Scores compare runners within this race only

The Racing Alpha rating combines four signals. Below is the breakdown — components driving this pick first.

  • Freshness10% weight
    100very strong
    20d since last run (race-fit window)
  • Form20% weight
    67strong
    Last 6: 6-6-7-1-1
  • Trainer20% weight
    58average
    Michael Herrington: 3/13 winners last 14d (23%)
  • Ratings50% weight
    47below average
    OR 70 — highest combined rating in the field
MarketBest price 13.00 (10 Bet) · 5th in the market of 11.

v1.3 rating — a field-relative score, not a win probability; for market-derived value see the Fair column in the runners table. Weights and method on /about. Tips are opinions, not advice.

Pace map

inferred from last 6 runs

Shape: Lone front-runner — could dictate from the front if unchallenged.

Bucketed from the opening clause of each past run's comment. Front-runner / prominent / mid / hold-up — the classic race-shape framework. Unknown = no usable comments parsed.

Draw bias — Carlisle 1m

full course data →

Moderate: high (outside) favoured (IV 1.16).

Low (1–4)
IV 1.00
Mid (5–8)
IV 0.83
High (9–11)
IV 1.16

Today: Keep An Eye On It (draw 11) and Ephron (draw 10) get the bias; Between Me And U (draw 6) is in the least-favoured band.

IV = impact value: 1.00 is neutral, above it a stall band wins more often than its share of runners predicts. 96 qualifying races at this course and trip, 3-year window.

Runners · sorted by AI score

Fair price = de-overrounded market consensus · green best price = beats fair
No.HorseFormORAIFairBestAdd to betslip
1
J: David Allan · T: Michael Herrington · draw 6
5yo · G · btDOnly runner
66711
7058.214/1·15.2612/1·13.00
10 Bet · -15% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
3
J: David Nolan · T: Tony Coyle & Kaine Wood · draw 11 · combo 2/17 (12%)
3yo · G · chOn last winning markD
45231
6750.24/1·5.094.4·4.40
Matchbook · -13% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
5
J: Conor Whiteley(5) · T: David O'Meara · draw 7 · combo 7/29 (24%)
4yo · G · bOn last winning markC&DOnly ride
972151
6550.211/2·6.365.6·5.60
Betfair Exchange · -12% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
6
J: Connor Beasley · T: Gemma Tutty · draw 10 · combo 0/13 (0%)
3yo · G · chDOnly runner
15271
7049.611/2·6.365.2·5.20
Matchbook · -18% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
2
J: Sean Kirrane · T: Tim Easterby · draw 8 · combo 7/103 (7%)
7yo · G · bpClass dropOnly pairing
233324
6945.29/2·5.725.8·5.80
Smarkets
All 30 books ▾
8
J: Sam James · T: Craig Lidster · draw 1 · combo 0/15 (0%)
5yo · M · bOnly runner
463293
6243.420/1·21.6222·22.00
Matchbook · +2% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
4
J: Zak Wheatley · T: Declan Carroll · draw 2 · combo 6/65 (9%)
5yo · G · bOnly rideOnly runner
01347
6640.516/1·16.5315.5·15.50
Matchbook · -6% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
7
J: Jack Garritty · T: Jedd O'Keeffe · draw 4 · combo 1/13 (8%)
5yo · M · bvFT VC&DOnly ride
871334
6439.312/1·13.9915·15.00
Matchbook · +7% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
9
J: Tom Eaves · T: Susan Corbett · draw 3
3yo · F · chOnly runner
31639
6636.9100/1·103.00110·110.00
Matchbook · +7% vs fair
All 30 books ▾
J: Paul Mulrennan · T: Alan Brown · draw 9
6yo · M · bpOnly runner
356537
6033.622/1·24.1620/1·21.00
Paddy Power · -13% vs fair
All 19 books ▾
J: Tom Kiely-Marshall(5) · T: Julie Camacho · draw 5 · combo 3/25 (12%)
9yo · G · chpFirst after wind opOnly ride
65900
5827.650/1·52.1370/1·71.00
SmarketsSBK · +36% vs fair
All 20 books ▾

OR = official rating · AI = model score (0–100) · form reads oldest → latest · Fair= the market's own consensus: median price across 19–30 bookmakers per horse with the 27% overround stripped out. A green best price pays above that consensus — a price check, not a tip: the market can be wrong about a horse, this only tells you when a book stands out from it.

Frequently asked questions

What time is the Knights Handicap Stakes?

The Knights Handicap Stakes is off at 17:30 on 19 August 2026 at Carlisle (Great Britain).

What is the field size and distance of the 17:30 Carlisle?

1m, Class 5, Flat, 9 runners declared.

What is the going for the 17:30 Carlisle?

Going is reported as Good To Soft on Turf.

What is the Racing Alpha AI top pick for the 17:30 Carlisle?

The AI top-rated runner is Between Me And U (score 58.2, best price 13.00). Methodology: ratings combine OR, RPR, TS, trainer 14-day form, days since last run and going.

Who is the favourite for the 17:30 Carlisle?

The market favourite is Keep An Eye On It at a best price of 4.40. The Racing Alpha AI top pick is a different horse — Between Me And U.

Best price shown is the highest decimal price across bookmakers we track. Odds update every few minutes; settle at SP if unavailable. 18+ only · Bet responsibly · BeGambleAware.org